FINLAND VEIKKAUSLIIGA
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Bolt Arena

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 87.4%
Odds 1.30
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.85
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
87.4%
1.30
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.67
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.85
Corners O/U Under 8.5 Corners
92%
2.80
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
HJK Helsinki Win 39.9%
Draw 12.6%
Inter Turku Win 47.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
HJK Helsinki1.33
Inter Turku1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki
WWDLW
25 GF / 16 GA
Inter Turku Inter Turku
WLDWL
20 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
0.81
7
BTTS Yes
7
8
Over 2.5
6
2.27
Shots on Goal
2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 15 matches
Inter Turku Inter Turku 16 matches
HJK Helsinki Statistic Inter Turku
7 Wins 9
3 Draws 4
5 Losses 3
25 Goals For 20
16 Goals Against 13
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.07 Avg Goals Conceded 0.81
7 BTTS Yes 7
10 Over 1.5 11
8 Over 2.5 6
3 Over 3.5 2
6 Clean Sheets 6
2 Failed To Score 5
2.27 Shots On Goal 2
6.18 Total Shots 5.58
2.09 Corners 3.08
25.5% Ball Possession 28.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Inter Turku carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 24 points while HJK Helsinki sit 4 on 15, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Inter Turku. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

HJK Helsinki Analysis

HJK Helsinki come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 15 points from 10 matches. The record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 13:8 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through T. Pukki (3 goals), M. Borchers (2 goals), A. Cicale (1 goals), with creative support from D. Ezeh (2 assists), L. Lingman (2 assists), P. Mentu (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Inter Turku Analysis

Inter Turku come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 24 points from 11 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, while the 17:8 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on A. Conteh (5 goals), C. Jephta (2 goals), J. Tuominen (2 goals), with creative support from C. Jephta (3 assists), Johannes Yli-Kokko (2 assists), L. Essomba (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, HJK Helsinki won 7 times, Inter Turku won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:21 from HJK Helsinki's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.4%)
Predicted formations: HJK Helsinki 4-3-3 / Inter Turku 4-3-3
H2H summary: HJK Helsinki wins 7, draws 5, Inter Turku wins 3

Lineups

HJK Helsinki
Formation
Inter Turku
Matej Marković
Matej Marković
Miska Ylitolva
Miska Ylitolva
Till Cissokho
Till Cissokho
Ville Tikkanen
Ville Tikkanen
Leonel Montano
Leonel Montano
Lucas Lingman
Lucas Lingman
Alexander Ring
Alexander Ring
Jere Kallinen
Jere Kallinen
Liam Möller
Liam Möller
Teemu Pukki
Teemu Pukki
Mads Borchers
Mads Borchers
Eetu Huuhtanen
Eetu Huuhtanen
Albin Granlund
Albin Granlund
Ilari Kangasniemi
Ilari Kangasniemi
Juuso Hämäläinen
Juuso Hämäläinen
Jussi Niska
Jussi Niska
Janne-Pekka Laine
Janne-Pekka Laine
Prosper Ahiabu
Prosper Ahiabu
Antoin Loic Essomba
Antoin Loic Essomba
Alie Conteh
Alie Conteh
Clinton Jephta
Clinton Jephta
Jasse Tuominen
Jasse Tuominen
HJK Helsinki 4-3-3
Starting XI
44
Matej Marković
G
28
Miska Ylitolva
D
3
Till Cissokho
D
6
Ville Tikkanen
D
14
Leonel Montano
D
10
Lucas Lingman
M
4
Alexander Ring
M
15
Jere Kallinen
M
22
Liam Möller
M
20
Teemu Pukki
F
9
Mads Borchers
F
Substitutes
1
Jesse Öst
G
31
Mihailo Bogićević
D
24
Emil Levealahti
D
2
Brooklyn Lyons-Foster
D
26
Lassi Lappalainen
M
18
Toivo Mero
M
7
Alfie Cicale
M
62
Leevi Palmula
M
19
David Ezeh
F
Inter Turku 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Eetu Huuhtanen
G
5
Albin Granlund
D
21
Ilari Kangasniemi
D
3
Juuso Hämäläinen
D
2
Jussi Niska
D
14
Janne-Pekka Laine
M
4
Prosper Ahiabu
M
23
Antoin Loic Essomba
F
10
Alie Conteh
F
16
Clinton Jephta
F
9
Jasse Tuominen
F
Substitutes
12
Eero Vuorjoki
G
24
Julius Tauriainen
D
22
Luka Kuittinen
D
18
Seth Saarinen
D
8
Johannes Yli-Kokko
M
19
Iiro Järvinen
M
25
Henri Salomaa
M
27
Vincent Ulundu
M
11
Jean Fiacre Kouamé Botué
F
Last matches: HJK Helsinki
13.06.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
5
2
W
30.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
1
0
W
22.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
VPS
1
2
L
16.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Ilves
2
2
D
08.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
0
1
L
04.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
1
0
W
29.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
1
1
D
26.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
3
0
W
11.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
AC Oulu
0
1
L
04.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
SJK
3
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
HJK Helsinki
Djurgardens IF
2
4
L
21.03.26
Fri
HJK Helsinki
SJK
1
0
W
10.03.26
Fri
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
3
0
W
13.02.26
Fri
HJK Helsinki
Hammarby FF
1
2
L
31.07.25
UEF
HJK Helsinki
Arda Kardzhali
2
2
D
24.07.25
UEF
HJK Helsinki
Arda Kardzhali
0
0
D
17.07.25
UEF
HJK Helsinki
NSI Runavik
5
0
W
10.07.25
UEF
HJK Helsinki
NSI Runavik
0
4
L
Last matches: Inter Turku
13.06.26
Vei
Inter Turku
AC Oulu
0
0
D
30.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
KuPS
1
1
D
23.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Turku PS
2
1
W
20.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Ilves
3
1
W
16.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
SJK
3
1
W
09.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
FF Jaro
2
0
W
05.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Gnistan
0
2
L
29.04.26
Vei
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
1
1
D
25.04.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Mariehamn
1
0
W
18.04.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Lahti
2
0
W
11.04.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Ilves
2
1
W
04.04.26
Vei
Inter Turku
VPS
0
0
D
28.03.26
Fri
Inter Turku
Sirius
1
0
W
08.03.26
Fri
Inter Turku
ODD Ballklubb
0
1
L
28.02.26
Fri
Inter Turku
FF Jaro
2
1
W
04.02.26
Fri
Inter Turku
PK-35
0
3
L
H2H: HJK Helsinki vs Inter Turku
29.04.26
H2H
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
1
1
D
30.01.26
H2H
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
1
3
W
26.10.25
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
1
1
D
23.09.25
H2H
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
0
0
D
04.08.25
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
1
4
L
03.05.25
H2H
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
1
1
D
29.03.25
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
4
4
D
17.01.25
H2H
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
1
2
W
25.08.24
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
1
0
W
11.05.24
H2H
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
0
1
W
17.02.24
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
1
2
L
16.09.23
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
2
0
W
20.08.23
H2H
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
1
3
W
13.05.23
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
4
1
W
22.02.23
H2H
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
4
0
L
Last matches: HJK Helsinki
30.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
1
0
W
16.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Ilves
2
2
D
04.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
1
0
W
11.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
AC Oulu
0
1
L
04.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
SJK
3
0
W
21.03.26
Fri
HJK Helsinki
SJK
1
0
W
10.03.26
Fri
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
3
0
W
13.02.26
Fri
HJK Helsinki
Hammarby FF
1
2
L
31.07.25
UEF
HJK Helsinki
Arda Kardzhali
2
2
D
17.07.25
UEF
HJK Helsinki
NSI Runavik
5
0
W
H2H at home: HJK Helsinki
26.10.25
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
1
1
D
04.08.25
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
1
4
L
29.03.25
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
4
4
D
25.08.24
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
1
0
W
17.02.24
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
1
2
L
16.09.23
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
2
0
W
13.05.23
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
4
1
W
Last matches: Inter Turku
30.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
KuPS
1
1
D
20.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Ilves
3
1
W
16.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
SJK
3
1
W
05.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Gnistan
0
2
L
18.04.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Lahti
2
0
W
28.03.26
Fri
Inter Turku
Sirius
1
0
W
08.03.26
Fri
Inter Turku
ODD Ballklubb
0
1
L
H2H away: Inter Turku
26.10.25
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
1
1
D
04.08.25
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
1
4
W
29.03.25
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
4
4
D
25.08.24
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
1
0
L
17.02.24
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
1
2
W
16.09.23
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
2
0
L
13.05.23
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
4
1
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.72
Draw 3.52
Home 2.62
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.32
Draw 2.33
Home 3.25
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.26
Over 2.0 1.40
Over 2.25 1.62
Over 2.5 1.85
Over 2.75 2.07
Over 3.0 2.46
Over 3.5 3.11
Over 4.5 6.02
Under 1.5 4.03
Under 2.0 3.12
Under 2.25 2.40
Under 2.5 2.04
Under 2.75 1.81
Under 3.0 1.59
Under 3.5 1.39
Under 4.5 1.15
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.55
Draw 3.30
Home 2.50
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.25
Draw 2.20
Home 3.10
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.88
Draw 2.50
Home 2.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 1.5 1.25
Over 2.5 1.80
Over 3.5 3.00
Over 4.5 6.00
Over 5.5 13.00
Over 6.5 26.00
Over 7.5 51.00
Under 0.5 13.00
Under 1.5 3.75
Under 2.5 2.00
Under 3.5 1.36
Under 4.5 1.12
Under 5.5 1.04
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.64
Draw 3.34
Home 2.54
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.26
Draw 2.10
Home 3.10
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.90
Draw 2.51
Home 2.76
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 0.75 1.01
Over 1.0 1.01
Over 1.25 1.11
Over 1.5 1.21
Over 1.75 1.27
Over 2.0 1.35
Over 2.25 1.60
Over 2.5 1.80
Over 2.75 2.00
Over 3.0 2.29
Over 3.25 2.57
Over 3.5 2.85
Over 3.75 3.42
Over 4.0 4.60
Over 4.25 4.94
Over 4.5 5.30
Over 4.75 6.30
Over 5.0 8.50
Over 5.5 10.50
Over 6.5 26.00
Over 7.5 50.00
Under 0.5 10.00
Under 0.75 8.65
Under 1.0 8.70
Under 1.25 4.91
Under 1.5 3.62
Under 1.75 3.25
Under 2.0 2.85
Under 2.25 2.30
Under 2.5 1.98
Under 2.75 1.78
Under 3.0 1.53
Under 3.25 1.40
Under 3.5 1.33
Under 3.75 1.23
Under 4.0 1.13
Under 4.25 1.11
Under 4.5 1.09
Under 4.75 1.06
Under 5.0 1.03
Under 5.5 1.04
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.65
Draw 3.35
Home 2.43
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.05
Draw 2.25
Home 2.90
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.90
Draw 2.60
Home 2.70
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.21
Over 2.0 1.32
Over 2.25 1.50
Over 2.5 1.70
Over 2.75 1.88
Over 3.0 2.18
Over 3.25 2.45
Over 3.5 2.70
Over 3.75 3.25
Over 4.0 4.30
Over 4.25 4.60
Over 4.5 4.90
Over 4.75 6.00
Over 5.0 8.50
Under 1.5 3.85
Under 2.0 3.05
Under 2.25 2.35
Under 2.5 2.00
Under 2.75 1.80
Under 3.0 1.58
Under 3.25 1.47
Under 3.5 1.38
Under 3.75 1.28
Under 4.0 1.17
Under 4.25 1.15
Under 4.5 1.13
Under 4.75 1.08
Under 5.0 1.04

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 7 4 1 17:8 9 25
D D W W W
2 11 7 1 3 16:8 8 22
D W W W L
3 12 5 6 1 17:11 6 21
D D W W D
4 11 5 3 3 18:10 8 18
W W L D L
5 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
L W L L W
6 10 4 2 4 16:15 1 14
W W L W D
7 10 3 5 2 9:8 1 14
D L W D D
8 11 3 3 5 14:21 -7 12
W L W L D
9 10 3 2 5 14:13 1 11
L W L D D
10 10 2 3 5 11:16 -5 9
W L L L D
11 11 1 4 6 10:22 -12 7
L L W L L
12 10 0 4 6 5:17 -12 4
L L L D D
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)