FINLAND VEIKKAUSLIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Bolt Arena
Referee: P. Simani
HJK Helsinki
Match Timeline
Inter Turku
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
2'
J. Tuominen · Assist: A. Conteh
Inter Turku
19'
M. Ylitolva
Inter Turku
25'
L. Moller · Assist: J. Kallinen
HJK Helsinki
🔄
46'
L. Essomba ↔ V. Ulundu
Inter Turku
🟨
48'
Ville Tikkanen
HJK Helsinki
🔄
60'
T. Pukki ↔ A. Cicale
HJK Helsinki
🔄
62'
J. Tuominen ↔ J. Yli-Kokko
Inter Turku
🔄
62'
A. Conteh ↔ J. Botue
Inter Turku
🔄
70'
J. Kallinen ↔ D. Ezeh
HJK Helsinki
🔄
70'
T. Cissokho ↔ E. Levealahti
HJK Helsinki
71'
A. Cicale
Inter Turku
🟨
75'
Emil Levealahti
HJK Helsinki
🔄
80'
L. Moller ↔ L. Lappalainen
HJK Helsinki
85'
M. Borchers
HJK Helsinki
🔄
87'
J. Niska ↔ S. Saarinen
Inter Turku
🔄
90+2'
C. Jephta ↔ H. Salomaa
Inter Turku
90'
M. Borchers · Assist: A. Cicale
HJK Helsinki

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 87.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
87.4%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 8.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
HJK Helsinki Win 39.9%
Draw 12.6%
Inter Turku Win 47.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
HJK Helsinki1.33
Inter Turku1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki
WWDLW
25 GF / 16 GA
Inter Turku Inter Turku
WLDWL
20 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
0.81
7
BTTS Yes
7
8
Over 2.5
6
2.27
Shots on Goal
2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 15 matches
Inter Turku Inter Turku 16 matches
HJK Helsinki Statistic Inter Turku
7 Wins 9
3 Draws 4
5 Losses 3
25 Goals For 20
16 Goals Against 13
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.07 Avg Goals Conceded 0.81
7 BTTS Yes 7
10 Over 1.5 11
8 Over 2.5 6
3 Over 3.5 2
6 Clean Sheets 6
2 Failed To Score 5
2.27 Shots On Goal 2
6.18 Total Shots 5.58
2.09 Corners 3.08
25.5% Ball Possession 28.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Inter Turku carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 24 points while HJK Helsinki sit 4 on 15, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Inter Turku. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

HJK Helsinki Analysis

HJK Helsinki come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 15 points from 10 matches. The record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 13:8 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through T. Pukki (3 goals), M. Borchers (2 goals), A. Cicale (1 goals), with creative support from D. Ezeh (2 assists), L. Lingman (2 assists), P. Mentu (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Inter Turku Analysis

Inter Turku come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 24 points from 11 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, while the 17:8 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on A. Conteh (5 goals), C. Jephta (2 goals), J. Tuominen (2 goals), with creative support from C. Jephta (3 assists), Johannes Yli-Kokko (2 assists), L. Essomba (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, HJK Helsinki won 7 times, Inter Turku won 2 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:20 from HJK Helsinki's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.4%)
Predicted formations: HJK Helsinki 4-3-3 / Inter Turku 4-3-3
H2H summary: HJK Helsinki wins 7, draws 6, Inter Turku wins 2

Lineups

HJK Helsinki
Formation
Inter Turku
M. Markovic
M. Markovic
M. Ylitolva
M. Ylitolva
T. Cissokho
T. Cissokho
V. Tikkanen
V. Tikkanen
L. Montano
L. Montano
L. Lingman
L. Lingman
A. Ring
A. Ring
J. Kallinen
🎯
J. Kallinen
L. Moller
L. Moller
T. Pukki
T. Pukki
M. Borchers
⚽ 2
M. Borchers
E. Huuhtanen
E. Huuhtanen
A. Granlund
A. Granlund
I. Kangasniemi
I. Kangasniemi
J. Hamalainen
J. Hamalainen
J. Niska
J. Niska
J. Laine
J. Laine
P. Ahiabu
P. Ahiabu
L. Essomba
L. Essomba
C. Jephta
C. Jephta
A. Conteh
🎯
A. Conteh
J. Tuominen
J. Tuominen
HJK Helsinki 4-3-3
Starting XI
44
M. Markovic
G
28
M. Ylitolva
⚽ 19'
D
3
T. Cissokho
↓ 70'
D
6
V. Tikkanen
🟨 48'
D
14
L. Montano
D
10
L. Lingman
M
4
A. Ring
M
15
J. Kallinen
🎯 25' ↓ 70'
M
22
L. Moller
⚽ 25' ↓ 80'
M
20
T. Pukki
↓ 60'
F
9
M. Borchers
⚽ 85' ⚽ 90'
F
Substitutes
1
J. Ost
G
26
L. Lappalainen
↑ 80'
M
31
M. Bogicevic
D
19
D. Ezeh
↑ 70'
F
24
E. Levealahti
↑ 70' 🟨 75'
D
18
T. Mero
M
62
L. Palmula
M
2
B. Lyons-Foster
D
7
A. Cicale
⚽ 71' 🎯 90' ↑ 60'
M
Inter Turku 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
E. Huuhtanen
G
5
A. Granlund
D
21
I. Kangasniemi
3
J. Hamalainen
D
2
J. Niska
↓ 87'
D
14
J. Laine
M
4
P. Ahiabu
M
23
L. Essomba
↓ 46'
16
C. Jephta
↓ 90+2'
10
A. Conteh
🎯 2' ↓ 62'
9
J. Tuominen
⚽ 2' ↓ 62'
F
Substitutes
12
E. Vuorjoki
G
18
S. Saarinen
↑ 87'
D
8
J. Yli-Kokko
↑ 62'
M
25
H. Salomaa
↑ 90+2'
M
11
J. Botue
↑ 62'
F
19
I. Jarvinen
M
24
J. Tauriainen
D
22
L. Kuittinen
D
27
V. Ulundu
↑ 46'
M
Last matches: HJK Helsinki
26.07.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
1
0
W
23.07.26
UEF
HJK Helsinki
Coleraine FC
5
0
W
18.07.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
VPS
2
1
W
11.07.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
0
2
L
27.06.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
0
4
L
23.06.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
4
0
W
13.06.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
5
2
W
30.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
1
0
W
22.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
VPS
1
2
L
16.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Ilves
2
2
D
08.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
0
1
L
04.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
1
0
W
29.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
1
1
D
26.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
3
0
W
11.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
AC Oulu
0
1
L
04.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
SJK
3
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
HJK Helsinki
Djurgardens IF
2
4
L
21.03.26
Fri
HJK Helsinki
SJK
1
0
W
10.03.26
Fri
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
3
0
W
Last matches: Inter Turku
26.07.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Gnistan
1
2
L
22.07.26
UEF
Inter Turku
Başakşehir
1
1
D
19.07.26
Vei
Inter Turku
FF Jaro
0
0
D
16.07.26
UEF
Inter Turku
FK Sarajevo
2
1
W
09.07.26
UEF
Inter Turku
FK Sarajevo
1
1
D
27.06.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Mariehamn
2
0
W
23.06.26
Vei
Inter Turku
SJK
1
1
D
13.06.26
Vei
Inter Turku
AC Oulu
0
0
D
30.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
KuPS
1
1
D
23.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Turku PS
2
1
W
20.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Ilves
3
1
W
16.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
SJK
3
1
W
09.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
FF Jaro
2
0
W
05.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Gnistan
0
2
L
29.04.26
Vei
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
1
1
D
25.04.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Mariehamn
1
0
W
18.04.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Lahti
2
0
W
11.04.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Ilves
2
1
W
04.04.26
Vei
Inter Turku
VPS
0
0
D
28.03.26
Fri
Inter Turku
Sirius
1
0
W
H2H: HJK Helsinki vs Inter Turku
17.06.26
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
3
3
D
29.04.26
H2H
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
1
1
D
30.01.26
H2H
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
1
3
W
26.10.25
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
1
1
D
23.09.25
H2H
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
0
0
D
04.08.25
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
1
4
L
03.05.25
H2H
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
1
1
D
29.03.25
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
4
4
D
17.01.25
H2H
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
1
2
W
25.08.24
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
1
0
W
11.05.24
H2H
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
0
1
W
17.02.24
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
1
2
L
16.09.23
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
2
0
W
20.08.23
H2H
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
1
3
W
13.05.23
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
4
1
W
Last matches: HJK Helsinki
26.07.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
1
0
W
23.07.26
UEF
HJK Helsinki
Coleraine FC
5
0
W
18.07.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
VPS
2
1
W
27.06.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
0
4
L
30.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
1
0
W
16.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Ilves
2
2
D
04.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
1
0
W
11.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
AC Oulu
0
1
L
04.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
SJK
3
0
W
21.03.26
Fri
HJK Helsinki
SJK
1
0
W
10.03.26
Fri
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
3
0
W
13.02.26
Fri
HJK Helsinki
Hammarby FF
1
2
L
31.07.25
UEF
HJK Helsinki
Arda Kardzhali
2
2
D
17.07.25
UEF
HJK Helsinki
NSI Runavik
5
0
W
H2H at home: HJK Helsinki
17.06.26
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
3
3
D
26.10.25
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
1
1
D
04.08.25
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
1
4
L
29.03.25
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
4
4
D
25.08.24
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
1
0
W
17.02.24
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
1
2
L
16.09.23
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
2
0
W
13.05.23
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
4
1
W
Last matches: Inter Turku
22.07.26
UEF
Inter Turku
Başakşehir
1
1
D
19.07.26
Vei
Inter Turku
FF Jaro
0
0
D
09.07.26
UEF
Inter Turku
FK Sarajevo
1
1
D
27.06.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Mariehamn
2
0
W
30.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
KuPS
1
1
D
20.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Ilves
3
1
W
16.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
SJK
3
1
W
05.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Gnistan
0
2
L
18.04.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Lahti
2
0
W
28.03.26
Fri
Inter Turku
Sirius
1
0
W
08.03.26
Fri
Inter Turku
ODD Ballklubb
0
1
L
H2H away: Inter Turku
17.06.26
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
3
3
D
26.10.25
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
1
1
D
04.08.25
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
1
4
W
29.03.25
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
4
4
D
25.08.24
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
1
0
L
17.02.24
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
1
2
W
16.09.23
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
2
0
L
13.05.23
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
4
1
L

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 10 6 1 32:16 16 36
W W W W W
2 17 8 7 2 24:14 10 31
L D W D D
3 17 8 4 5 28:20 8 28
W W L L W
4 17 8 4 5 27:21 6 28
W W W L D
5 17 7 6 4 24:16 8 27
L L W W D
6 17 8 3 6 21:21 0 27
D L L D L
7 17 6 4 7 20:16 4 22
L W W W D
8 17 6 4 7 20:20 0 22
L L W L W
9 17 6 4 7 29:30 -1 22
W W L D L
10 17 3 6 8 17:33 -16 15
W D W L D
11 17 3 5 9 19:27 -8 14
L L L W D
12 17 0 5 12 9:36 -27 5
D L L L L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)