Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
90.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
74.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
60.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 9.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
HJK Helsinki
Ilves
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
HJK Helsinki
11 matches
Ilves
10 matches
| HJK Helsinki | Statistic | Ilves |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 4 |
| 2 | Draws | 2 |
| 4 | Losses | 4 |
| 16 | Goals For | 21 |
| 10 | Goals Against | 13 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.1 |
| 0.91 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.3 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 7 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 2 | Shots On Goal | 1.83 |
| 5.71 | Total Shots | 5.5 |
| 2.43 | Corners | 2 |
| 24% | Ball Possession | 22.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by HJK Helsinki's more proactive style and Ilves's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Ilves. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. HJK Helsinki arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 11 points compared to Ilves in 9 on 5, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with HJK Helsinki expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Ilves in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Ilves having the stronger overall control.
Placed 5 with 11 points from 7 outings, HJK Helsinki continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 9:4 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by T. Pukki (3 goals), A. Cicale (1 goals), D. Ezeh (1 goals), with creative support from D. Ezeh (2 assists), L. Lingman (2 assists), P. Mentu (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Ilves are currently 9 in the standings with 5 points from 6 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, while the 8:11 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on T. Hytonen (3 goals), Jardell Kanga (1 goals), M. Stjopin (1 goals), with creative support from J. Kilo (3 assists), O. Pettersson (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, HJK Helsinki won 6 times, Ilves won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:20 from HJK Helsinki's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.21 goals per game.
HJK Helsinki
5
6
3
4
6
3
Lineups
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
VPS
HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
AC Oulu
HJK Helsinki
SJK
HJK Helsinki
Djurgardens IF
HJK Helsinki
SJK
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
Hammarby FF
HJK Helsinki
Arda Kardzhali
HJK Helsinki
Arda Kardzhali
HJK Helsinki
NSI Runavik
HJK Helsinki
NSI Runavik
Ilves
FF Jaro
Ilves
Turku PS
Ilves
Lahti
Ilves
Gnistan
Ilves
Inter Turku
Ilves
AC Oulu
Ilves
SJK
Ilves
VPS
Ilves
Mariehamn
Ilves
Inter Turku
Ilves
KuPS
Ilves
MP
Ilves
Haka
Ilves
Gnistan
Ilves
Ilves II
Ilves
AZ Alkmaar
Ilves
AZ Alkmaar
Ilves
Shakhtar Donetsk
Ilves
Shakhtar Donetsk
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
AC Oulu
HJK Helsinki
SJK
HJK Helsinki
SJK
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
Hammarby FF
HJK Helsinki
Arda Kardzhali
HJK Helsinki
NSI Runavik
Ilves
Lahti
Ilves
SJK
Ilves
VPS
Ilves
Mariehamn
Ilves
Inter Turku
Ilves
AZ Alkmaar
Ilves
Shakhtar Donetsk
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 20:11 | 9 | 26 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 18:9 | 9 | 25 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 19:12 | 7 | 24 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
HJK Helsinki
Home
|
12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 21:13 | 8 | 19 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
| 5 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 17 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 17 |
W
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 8 |
Ilves
Away
|
12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19:21 | -2 | 15 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
| 9 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14:14 | 0 | 11 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 9 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10:27 | -17 | 7 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 6:19 | -13 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
D
|