Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
87.8%
|
1.30 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.8%
|
1.75 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
70.3%
|
1.44 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
3.89 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
1.80 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.00 |
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
HJK Helsinki
27 matches
FF Jaro
24 matches
| HJK Helsinki | Statistic | FF Jaro |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 4 |
| 5 | Draws | 7 |
| 9 | Losses | 13 |
| 45 | Goals For | 24 |
| 32 | Goals Against | 46 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.19 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.92 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 1.57 | Shots On Goal | 2.05 |
| 3.57 | Total Shots | 5.32 |
| 1.7 | Corners | 2.11 |
| 21.2% | Ball Possession | 24.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by HJK Helsinki's more proactive style and FF Jaro's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. HJK Helsinki arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 28 points compared to FF Jaro in 11 on 15, which underlines the gap in season consistency. HJK Helsinki have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward FF Jaro. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with HJK Helsinki expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and FF Jaro in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FF Jaro having the stronger overall control.
HJK Helsinki approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 28 points from 18 matches. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 28:23 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Brooklyn Lyons-Foster (1 goals), M. Borchers (1 goals), with creative support from T. Pukki (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.
So far, FF Jaro have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 15 points from 19 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 18:38 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by H. Sjögrell (3 goals), R. Vikström (1 goals), with creative support from F. Østigård Ness (2 assists), H. Sjögrell (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, HJK Helsinki won 10 times, FF Jaro won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 37:13 from HJK Helsinki's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.
HJK Helsinki
Motherwell
HJK Helsinki
AC Oulu
HJK Helsinki
Motherwell
HJK Helsinki
SJK
HJK Helsinki
Coleraine FC
HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
Coleraine FC
HJK Helsinki
VPS
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
VPS
HJK Helsinki
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
FF Jaro
VPS
FF Jaro
Lahti
FF Jaro
SJK
FF Jaro
Inter Turku
FF Jaro
Ilves
FF Jaro
Turku PS
FF Jaro
Gnistan
FF Jaro
Ilves
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
FF Jaro
Mariehamn
FF Jaro
KuPS
FF Jaro
Gnistan
FF Jaro
Inter Turku
FF Jaro
Turku PS
FF Jaro
SJK
FF Jaro
KuPS
FF Jaro
VPS
FF Jaro
Lahti
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
HJK Helsinki
Motherwell
HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
Coleraine FC
HJK Helsinki
VPS
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
AC Oulu
HJK Helsinki
SJK
HJK Helsinki
SJK
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
Hammarby FF
HJK Helsinki
Arda Kardzhali
HJK Helsinki
NSI Runavik
FF Jaro
Lahti
FF Jaro
Turku PS
FF Jaro
Ilves
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
FF Jaro
KuPS
FF Jaro
Gnistan
FF Jaro
Inter Turku
FF Jaro
SJK
FF Jaro
VPS
FF Jaro
SJK
FF Jaro
Inter Turku
FF Jaro
JBK
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 34:17 | 17 | 40 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 25:14 | 11 | 35 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 3 |
HJK Helsinki
Home
|
19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 29:23 | 6 | 31 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
| 4 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 28:21 | 7 | 30 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 22:22 | 0 | 30 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 29:24 | 5 | 29 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 27:22 | 5 | 29 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 22:16 | 6 | 26 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 31:31 | 0 | 25 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 24:31 | -7 | 18 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 11 |
FF Jaro
Away
|
19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 18:38 | -20 | 15 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
| 12 | 20 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 11:41 | -30 | 8 |
W
L
L
D
L
|