FINLAND VEIKKAUSLIIGA
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Bolt Arena

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 87.8%
Odds 1.30
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.75
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds 1.44
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
87.8%
1.30
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.75
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
1.44
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
3.89
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.80
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
HJK Helsinki Win 87.8%
Draw 6.1%
FF Jaro Win 6.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
HJK Helsinki1.77
FF Jaro1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki
WWDLW
45 GF / 32 GA
FF Jaro FF Jaro
WLDWL
24 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1
1.19
Average Goals Conceded
1.92
10
BTTS Yes
14
15
Over 2.5
14
1.57
Shots on Goal
2.05

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 27 matches
FF Jaro FF Jaro 24 matches
HJK Helsinki Statistic FF Jaro
13 Wins 4
5 Draws 7
9 Losses 13
45 Goals For 24
32 Goals Against 46
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.19 Avg Goals Conceded 1.92
10 BTTS Yes 14
20 Over 1.5 20
15 Over 2.5 14
7 Over 3.5 7
11 Clean Sheets 4
6 Failed To Score 8
1.57 Shots On Goal 2.05
3.57 Total Shots 5.32
1.7 Corners 2.11
21.2% Ball Possession 24.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by HJK Helsinki's more proactive style and FF Jaro's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. HJK Helsinki arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 28 points compared to FF Jaro in 11 on 15, which underlines the gap in season consistency. HJK Helsinki have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward FF Jaro. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with HJK Helsinki expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and FF Jaro in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FF Jaro having the stronger overall control.

HJK Helsinki Analysis

HJK Helsinki approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 28 points from 18 matches. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 28:23 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Brooklyn Lyons-Foster (1 goals), M. Borchers (1 goals), with creative support from T. Pukki (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

FF Jaro Analysis

So far, FF Jaro have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 15 points from 19 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 18:38 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by H. Sjögrell (3 goals), R. Vikström (1 goals), with creative support from F. Østigård Ness (2 assists), H. Sjögrell (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, HJK Helsinki won 10 times, FF Jaro won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 37:13 from HJK Helsinki's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (93.9%)
Predicted formations: HJK Helsinki 4-2-3-1 / FF Jaro 4-3-3
H2H summary: HJK Helsinki wins 10, draws 4, FF Jaro wins 1
Last matches: HJK Helsinki
13.08.26
UEF
HJK Helsinki
Motherwell
0
2
L
09.08.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
AC Oulu
1
0
W
06.08.26
UEF
HJK Helsinki
Motherwell
1
1
D
03.08.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
SJK
0
3
L
30.07.26
UEF
HJK Helsinki
Coleraine FC
3
0
W
26.07.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
1
0
W
23.07.26
UEF
HJK Helsinki
Coleraine FC
5
0
W
18.07.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
VPS
2
1
W
11.07.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
0
2
L
27.06.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
0
4
L
23.06.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
4
0
W
17.06.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
3
3
D
13.06.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
5
2
W
30.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
1
0
W
22.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
VPS
1
2
L
16.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Ilves
2
2
D
08.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
0
1
L
04.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
1
0
W
29.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
1
1
D
26.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
1
1
D
Last matches: FF Jaro
08.08.26
Vei
FF Jaro
VPS
1
3
L
01.08.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Lahti
0
2
L
24.07.26
Vei
FF Jaro
SJK
2
1
W
19.07.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Inter Turku
0
0
D
04.07.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Ilves
2
1
W
27.06.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Turku PS
2
3
L
23.06.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Gnistan
1
1
D
17.06.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Ilves
0
5
L
13.06.26
Vei
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
2
5
L
31.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
1
2
L
23.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Mariehamn
3
0
W
20.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
KuPS
0
3
L
16.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Gnistan
0
5
L
09.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Inter Turku
0
2
L
02.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Turku PS
2
2
D
24.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
SJK
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
KuPS
1
1
D
10.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
VPS
0
0
D
04.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Lahti
0
1
L
28.03.26
Fri
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
2
3
L
H2H: HJK Helsinki vs FF Jaro
13.06.26
H2H
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
2
5
W
02.07.25
H2H
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
2
3
L
11.05.25
H2H
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
0
3
W
13.09.15
H2H
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
1
1
D
22.06.15
H2H
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
4
0
W
03.05.15
H2H
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
3
0
W
31.08.14
H2H
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
1
4
W
08.06.14
H2H
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
0
2
W
06.04.14
H2H
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
1
0
W
01.09.13
H2H
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
1
5
W
24.06.13
H2H
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
0
0
D
05.05.13
H2H
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
2
3
W
05.04.13
H2H
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
2
1
W
14.09.12
H2H
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
0
0
D
28.06.12
H2H
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
2
2
D
Last matches: HJK Helsinki
06.08.26
UEF
HJK Helsinki
Motherwell
1
1
D
26.07.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
1
0
W
23.07.26
UEF
HJK Helsinki
Coleraine FC
5
0
W
18.07.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
VPS
2
1
W
27.06.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
0
4
L
17.06.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
3
3
D
30.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
1
0
W
16.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Ilves
2
2
D
04.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
1
0
W
11.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
AC Oulu
0
1
L
04.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
SJK
3
0
W
21.03.26
Fri
HJK Helsinki
SJK
1
0
W
10.03.26
Fri
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
3
0
W
13.02.26
Fri
HJK Helsinki
Hammarby FF
1
2
L
31.07.25
UEF
HJK Helsinki
Arda Kardzhali
2
2
D
17.07.25
UEF
HJK Helsinki
NSI Runavik
5
0
W
H2H at home: HJK Helsinki
02.07.25
H2H
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
2
3
L
22.06.15
H2H
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
4
0
W
03.05.15
H2H
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
3
0
W
06.04.14
H2H
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
1
0
W
24.06.13
H2H
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
0
0
D
05.04.13
H2H
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
2
1
W
14.09.12
H2H
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
0
0
D
Last matches: FF Jaro
01.08.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Lahti
0
2
L
27.06.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Turku PS
2
3
L
17.06.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Ilves
0
5
L
31.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
1
2
L
20.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
KuPS
0
3
L
16.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Gnistan
0
5
L
09.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Inter Turku
0
2
L
24.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
SJK
1
1
D
10.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
VPS
0
0
D
18.03.26
Fri
FF Jaro
SJK
1
2
L
28.02.26
Fri
FF Jaro
Inter Turku
1
2
L
17.01.26
Fri
FF Jaro
JBK
1
0
W
H2H away: FF Jaro
02.07.25
H2H
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
2
3
W
22.06.15
H2H
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
4
0
L
03.05.15
H2H
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
3
0
L
06.04.14
H2H
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
1
0
L
24.06.13
H2H
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
0
0
D
05.04.13
H2H
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
2
1
L
14.09.12
H2H
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
0
0
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 8.51
Draw 5.82
Home 1.30
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 7.94
Draw 2.98
Home 1.67
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.14
Over 2.5 1.44
Over 2.75 1.54
Over 3.0 1.68
Over 3.25 1.93
Over 3.5 2.14
Over 3.75 2.44
Over 4.5 3.54
Over 5.5 6.50
Under 1.5 5.94
Under 2.5 2.79
Under 2.75 2.52
Under 3.0 2.23
Under 3.25 1.93
Under 3.5 1.74
Under 3.75 1.57
Under 4.5 1.30
Under 5.5 1.12
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 8.50
Draw 5.00
Home 1.27
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 7.50
Draw 2.88
Home 1.67
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 6.50
Draw 3.20
Home 1.53
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.5 1.12
Over 2.5 1.44
Over 3.5 2.10
Over 4.5 3.50
Over 5.5 6.50
Over 6.5 13.00
Over 7.5 26.00
Over 8.5 51.00
Under 0.5 19.00
Under 1.5 6.00
Under 2.5 2.70
Under 3.5 1.67
Under 4.5 1.28
Under 5.5 1.11
Under 6.5 1.04
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 8.70
Draw 5.55
Home 1.30
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 7.11
Draw 2.70
Home 1.71
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 6.82
Draw 3.34
Home 1.54
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.0 1.01
Over 1.5 1.09
Over 1.75 1.11
Over 2.0 1.14
Over 2.25 1.27
Over 2.5 1.40
Over 2.75 1.50
Over 3.0 1.63
Over 3.25 1.88
Over 3.5 2.10
Over 3.75 2.31
Over 4.0 2.73
Over 4.25 2.98
Over 4.5 3.24
Over 4.75 3.90
Over 5.0 5.10
Over 5.25 5.35
Over 5.5 5.65
Over 6.0 9.30
Over 6.5 13.00
Over 7.5 26.00
Over 8.5 50.00
Under 0.5 15.50
Under 1.0 11.50
Under 1.5 5.25
Under 1.75 4.86
Under 2.0 4.45
Under 2.25 3.14
Under 2.5 2.57
Under 2.75 2.37
Under 3.0 2.10
Under 3.25 1.88
Under 3.5 1.71
Under 3.75 1.52
Under 4.0 1.38
Under 4.25 1.30
Under 4.5 1.26
Under 4.75 1.18
Under 5.0 1.10
Under 5.25 1.09
Under 5.5 1.08
Under 6.0 1.00
Under 6.5 1.04
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 7.50
Draw 5.10
Home 1.32
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.00
Draw 2.75
Home 1.64
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.80
Draw 3.25
Home 1.60
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.10
Over 2.0 1.14
Over 2.25 1.26
Over 2.5 1.38
Over 2.75 1.46
Over 3.0 1.58
Over 3.25 1.79
Over 3.5 2.00
Over 3.75 2.25
Over 4.0 2.65
Over 4.25 2.95
Over 4.5 3.20
Over 4.75 3.80
Over 5.0 4.90
Over 5.25 5.20
Over 5.5 5.40
Over 5.75 6.50
Over 6.0 9.50
Under 1.5 5.40
Under 2.0 4.70
Under 2.25 3.35
Under 2.5 2.70
Under 2.75 2.45
Under 3.0 2.18
Under 3.25 1.88
Under 3.5 1.70
Under 3.75 1.55
Under 4.0 1.40
Under 4.25 1.33
Under 4.5 1.29
Under 4.75 1.21
Under 5.0 1.13
Under 5.25 1.12
Under 5.5 1.10
Under 5.75 1.07
Under 6.0 1.04

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 11 7 1 34:17 17 40
D W W W W
2 19 9 8 2 25:14 11 35
D W L D W
3 19 9 4 6 29:23 6 31
W L W W L
4 20 8 6 6 28:21 7 30
L W L L L
5 19 9 3 7 22:22 0 30
L W D L L
6 19 8 5 6 29:24 5 29
D L W W W
7 20 8 5 7 27:22 5 29
W D W L L
8 19 7 5 7 22:16 6 26
D W L W W
9 19 7 4 8 31:31 0 25
W L W W L
10 20 4 6 10 24:31 -7 18
L D W L L
11 19 3 6 10 18:38 -20 15
L L W D W
12 20 1 5 14 11:41 -30 8
W L L D L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)