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17.10.2026 14:00
Easter Road

Hibernian vs Falkirk Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 70.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
70.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
88%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Hibernian Win 29.6%
Draw 31.7%
Falkirk Win 38.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hibernian1.29
Falkirk1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hibernian Hibernian
WWDLW
23 GF / 22 GA
Falkirk Falkirk
WLDWL
10 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.35
Average Goals Scored
1
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
11
BTTS Yes
7
10
Over 2.5
5
3.5
Shots on Goal
3.13

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hibernian Hibernian 17 matches
Falkirk Falkirk 10 matches
Hibernian Statistic Falkirk
6 Wins 3
3 Draws 3
8 Losses 4
23 Goals For 10
22 Goals Against 12
1.35 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
11 BTTS Yes 7
12 Over 1.5 8
10 Over 2.5 5
4 Over 3.5 0
2 Clean Sheets 2
6 Failed To Score 2
3.5 Shots On Goal 3.13
10.29 Total Shots 11.25
5 Corners 4.5
42.6% Ball Possession 47.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Falkirk. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Hibernian expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Falkirk in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Falkirk having the stronger overall control. Hibernian have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Hibernian Analysis

Hibernian approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 7 points from 7 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats with a 8:11 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Boyle (3 goals), C. Wright (2 goals), N. Lowe (1 goals), with creative support from N. Lowe (1 assists), J. Mulligan (1 assists), F. Passlack (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Falkirk Analysis

Falkirk are currently 11 in the standings with 6 points from 7 matches. The record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 6:9 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Owen Eames (1 goals), E. Ross (1 goals), J. Murrell (1 goals), with creative support from R. Strain (2 assists), Owen Eames (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Hibernian won 7 times, Falkirk won 2 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:19 from Hibernian's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (70.4%)
Predicted formations: Hibernian 3-4-1-2 / Falkirk 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Hibernian wins 7, draws 6, Falkirk wins 2

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 7 0 1 16:4 12 21
W L W W W
2 8 6 1 1 11:5 6 19
W W W W W
3 8 5 1 2 19:8 11 16
W D L W W
4 8 4 1 3 11:8 3 13
W W L D L
5 8 3 2 3 10:10 0 11
W D L W D
6 8 3 2 3 10:11 -1 11
W W D L W
7 8 3 1 4 8:14 -6 10
L L L L W
8 8 2 2 4 7:9 -2 8
L D W D L
9 8 2 2 4 9:13 -4 8
L L L L W
10 8 2 1 5 8:12 -4 7
L D L L L
11 8 1 3 4 7:11 -4 6
L D W D L
12 8 1 2 5 7:18 -11 5
L D W D L
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Premiership (Relegation Group)