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21.11.2026 15:00
Easter Road

Hibernian vs Dundee Utd Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 69.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
69.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Hibernian Win 46.1%
Draw 23.5%
Dundee Utd Win 30.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hibernian1.47
Dundee Utd1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hibernian Hibernian
W D L L L
7 GF / 6 GA
Dundee Utd Dundee Utd
D D W D W
8 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
1.46
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.54
14
BTTS Yes
7
13
Over 2.5
7
3.39
Shots on Goal
5.58

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hibernian Hibernian 21 matches
Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 13 matches
Hibernian Statistic Dundee Utd
7 Wins 4
4 Draws 5
10 Losses 4
30 Goals For 19
27 Goals Against 20
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 1.46
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1.54
14 BTTS Yes 7
16 Over 1.5 12
13 Over 2.5 7
5 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 3
6 Failed To Score 3
3.39 Shots On Goal 5.58
11.33 Total Shots 15.83
4.94 Corners 6.5
45.7% Ball Possession 48.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Hibernian expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Dundee Utd in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Dundee Utd having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Dundee Utd. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Hibernian have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Hibernian Analysis

Hibernian sit 10 with 11 points after 12 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 15:17, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through C. Wright (3 goals), M. Boyle (3 goals), J. Campbell (3 goals), with creative support from F. Passlack (2 assists), J. Newell (2 assists), C. Wright (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Dundee Utd Analysis

From their first 12 matches, Dundee Utd have collected 17 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Their overall return of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 17:17 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Randall (3 goals), Z. Sapsford (3 goals), L. Cameron (2 goals), with creative support from J. Randall (3 assists), L. Cameron (3 assists), D. Tait (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Hibernian won 6 times, Dundee Utd won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:23 from Hibernian's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.6%)
Predicted formations: Hibernian 4-2-3-1 / Dundee Utd 4-3-3
H2H summary: Hibernian wins 6, draws 5, Dundee Utd wins 4

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 10 1 2 28:10 18 31
W L D W W
2 12 8 3 1 21:9 12 27
W D W D W
3 13 6 3 4 20:14 6 21
W W W W W
4 12 6 2 4 26:22 4 20
L D W L W
5 12 5 2 5 18:15 3 17
L W L D W
6 12 4 5 3 17:17 0 17
D D W D W
7 13 4 5 4 17:20 -3 17
W D D L D
8 13 4 2 7 12:22 -10 14
L L D W L
9 13 3 4 6 15:21 -6 13
D W D L L
10 12 3 2 7 15:17 -2 11
W D L L L
11 12 3 2 7 12:18 -6 11
L L L W L
12 13 2 3 8 13:29 -16 9
L D L L W
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Premiership (Relegation Group)