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SCOTLAND › PREMIERSHIP
25.10.2026 12:00
Easter Road

Hibernian vs Celtic Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 83.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
83.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Hibernian Win 10.9%
Draw 6.1%
Celtic Win 83.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hibernian1.39
Celtic1.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hibernian Hibernian
WWDLW
24 GF / 24 GA
Celtic Celtic
WLDWL
34 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
2
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.47
12
BTTS Yes
11
11
Over 2.5
11
3.47
Shots on Goal
8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hibernian Hibernian 18 matches
Celtic Celtic 17 matches
Hibernian Statistic Celtic
6 Wins 9
3 Draws 3
9 Losses 5
24 Goals For 34
24 Goals Against 25
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.47
12 BTTS Yes 11
13 Over 1.5 14
11 Over 2.5 11
4 Over 3.5 7
2 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 1
3.47 Shots On Goal 8
10.73 Total Shots 18.31
5.07 Corners 8.54
44.5% Ball Possession 57.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Celtic's more proactive style and Hibernian's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Celtic. Celtic carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 21 points while Hibernian sit 12 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Celtic look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Hibernian Analysis

With 7 points from 9 games and a place of 12, Hibernian still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 9:14 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Boyle (3 goals), C. Wright (2 goals), N. Lowe (1 goals), with creative support from F. Passlack (2 assists), N. Lowe (1 assists), J. Mulligan (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Celtic Analysis

Celtic approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 21 points after 8 outings. The return of 7 wins, 0 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 16:4, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through B. Nygren (4 goals), C. Durán (4 goals), K. Høgh (3 goals), with creative support from B. Nygren (3 assists), C. Durán (3 assists), K. Tierney (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Hibernian won 3 times, Celtic won 10 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:30 from Hibernian's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94%)
Predicted formations: Hibernian 4-2-3-1 / Celtic 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Hibernian wins 3, draws 2, Celtic wins 10

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 8 0 1 23:5 18 24
W W L W W
2 9 6 2 1 13:7 6 20
D W W W W
3 9 5 1 3 20:15 5 16
L W D L W
4 9 4 2 3 13:10 3 14
D W W L D
5 9 3 3 3 11:11 0 12
D W D L W
6 9 3 3 3 11:12 -1 12
D W W D L
7 9 3 2 4 10:10 0 11
W L D W D
8 9 3 1 5 9:17 -8 10
L L L L L
9 9 2 3 4 9:12 -3 9
W L D W D
10 9 2 2 5 11:16 -5 8
L L L L L
11 9 2 2 5 10:20 -10 8
W L D W D
12 9 2 1 6 9:14 -5 7
L L D L L
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Premiership (Relegation Group)