SCOTLAND › PREMIERSHIP
03.05.2026 11:00
Easter Road
Referee: D. Dickinson
Hibernian
Match Timeline
Celtic
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
20'
Jamie McGrath
Hibernian
🟥
21'
Jamie McGrath
Hibernian
⚽
41'
D. Maeda · Assist: A. Johnston
Celtic
VAR
42'
Daizen Maeda
Celtic
⚽
45'
J. Newell
Hibernian
🔄
46'
N. Cadden ↔ J. Obita
Hibernian
🔄
46'
M. Boyle ↔ J. Campbell
Hibernian
🟨
48'
Jordan Obita
Hibernian
🟨
54'
Josh Campbell
Hibernian
🟨
54'
Liam Scales
Celtic
🔄
63'
S. Tounekti ↔ J. Forrest
Celtic
🔄
64'
A. Johnston ↔ L. McCowan
Celtic
🔄
70'
Yang Hyun-Jun ↔ K. Iheanacho
Celtic
⚽
72'
K. Iheanacho
Celtic
🔄
73'
J. Newell ↔ D. Barlaser
Hibernian
🔄
77'
B. Nygren ↔ A. Ralston
Celtic
🔄
81'
O. Elding ↔ D. Scarlett
Hibernian
🔄
81'
J. Iredale ↔ A. Suto
Hibernian
🟨
90+3'
Ante Šuto
Hibernian
🟨
90+4'
Luke McCowan
Celtic
🟨
90+2'
Arne Engels
Celtic

Hibernian vs Celtic Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 90.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
90.3%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
45.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
35.4%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
88.6%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Hibernian Win 41.3%
Draw 9.7%
Celtic Win 49%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hibernian1.41
Celtic1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hibernian Hibernian
WWDLW
62 GF / 50 GA
Celtic Celtic
WLDWL
77 GF / 55 GA
Key Stats
1.55
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
22
BTTS Yes
25
22
Over 2.5
29
4.3
Shots on Goal
5.22

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hibernian Hibernian 40 matches
Celtic Celtic 46 matches
Hibernian Statistic Celtic
14 Wins 26
14 Draws 8
12 Losses 12
62 Goals For 77
50 Goals Against 55
1.55 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
22 BTTS Yes 25
32 Over 1.5 36
22 Over 2.5 29
12 Over 3.5 18
12 Clean Sheets 16
10 Failed To Score 9
4.3 Shots On Goal 5.22
11.48 Total Shots 14.65
4.63 Corners 6.52
43.4% Ball Possession 62.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Celtic. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Hibernian expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Celtic in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Celtic having the stronger overall control. Celtic look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Celtic carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 70 points while Hibernian sit 5 on 51, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Hibernian Analysis

Hibernian come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 51 points from 34 matches. Their overall return of 13 wins, 12 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 52:39 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. McGrath (8 goals), K. Bowie (8 goals), M. Boyle (7 goals), with creative support from Josh Mulligan (5 assists), N. Cadden (5 assists), J. McGrath (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the record of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Celtic Analysis

Celtic come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 70 points after 34 matches. The return of 22 wins, 4 draws, and 8 defeats, together with goals at 62:36, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through B. Nygren (15 goals), D. Maeda (9 goals), Yang Hyun-Jun (7 goals), with creative support from K. Tierney (7 assists), D. Maeda (6 assists), B. Nygren (5 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 9 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Hibernian won 3 times, Celtic won 10 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:30 from Hibernian's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.3%)
Predicted formations: Hibernian 3-4-1-2 / Celtic 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Hibernian wins 3, draws 2, Celtic wins 10

Standings

Premiership
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 21 7 5 58:28 30 70
L W D W W
2 33 19 12 2 66:31 35 69
W L L L L
3 33 21 4 8 59:35 24 67
W W W W W
4 33 14 12 7 52:29 23 54
W L D L W
5 33 13 12 8 51:37 14 51
L W W L L
6 33 13 7 13 45:48 -3 46
L L L W L
7 33 9 13 11 45:54 -9 40
D D L L W
8 33 9 6 18 33:48 -15 33
L L W D W
9 33 8 9 16 34:53 -19 33
W L W W L
10 33 7 9 17 27:48 -21 30
W D D W L
11 33 6 10 17 37:65 -28 28
W W W W L
12 33 1 13 19 35:66 -31 16
L D L D W
Championship round
Relegation Round