SCOTLAND PREMIERSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Easter Road
Referee: D. Dickinson
Hibernian
Match Timeline
Celtic
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
20'
Jamie McGrath
Hibernian
🟥
21'
Jamie McGrath
Hibernian
41'
D. Maeda · Assist: A. Johnston
Celtic
VAR
42'
Daizen Maeda
Celtic
45'
J. Newell
Hibernian
🔄
46'
N. Cadden ↔ J. Obita
Hibernian
🔄
46'
M. Boyle ↔ J. Campbell
Hibernian
🟨
48'
Jordan Obita
Hibernian
🟨
54'
Josh Campbell
Hibernian
🟨
54'
Liam Scales
Celtic
🔄
63'
S. Tounekti ↔ J. Forrest
Celtic
🔄
64'
A. Johnston ↔ L. McCowan
Celtic
🔄
70'
Yang Hyun-Jun ↔ K. Iheanacho
Celtic
72'
K. Iheanacho
Celtic
🔄
73'
J. Newell ↔ D. Barlaser
Hibernian
🔄
77'
B. Nygren ↔ A. Ralston
Celtic
🔄
81'
O. Elding ↔ D. Scarlett
Hibernian
🔄
81'
J. Iredale ↔ A. Suto
Hibernian
🟨
90+3'
Ante Šuto
Hibernian
🟨
90+4'
Luke McCowan
Celtic
🟨
90+2'
Arne Engels
Celtic

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 90.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
90.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
45.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
35.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
88.6%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Hibernian Win 41.3%
Draw 9.7%
Celtic Win 49%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hibernian1.41
Celtic1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hibernian Hibernian
WWDLW
62 GF / 50 GA
Celtic Celtic
WLDWL
77 GF / 55 GA
Key Stats
1.55
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
22
BTTS Yes
25
22
Over 2.5
29
4.3
Shots on Goal
5.22

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hibernian Hibernian 40 matches
Celtic Celtic 46 matches
Hibernian Statistic Celtic
14 Wins 26
14 Draws 8
12 Losses 12
62 Goals For 77
50 Goals Against 55
1.55 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
22 BTTS Yes 25
32 Over 1.5 36
22 Over 2.5 29
12 Over 3.5 18
12 Clean Sheets 16
10 Failed To Score 9
4.3 Shots On Goal 5.22
11.48 Total Shots 14.65
4.63 Corners 6.52
43.4% Ball Possession 62.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Celtic. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Hibernian expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Celtic in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Celtic having the stronger overall control. Celtic look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Celtic carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 70 points while Hibernian sit 5 on 51, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Hibernian Analysis

Hibernian come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 51 points from 34 matches. Their overall return of 13 wins, 12 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 52:39 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. McGrath (8 goals), K. Bowie (8 goals), M. Boyle (7 goals), with creative support from Josh Mulligan (5 assists), N. Cadden (5 assists), J. McGrath (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the record of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Celtic Analysis

Celtic come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 70 points after 34 matches. The return of 22 wins, 4 draws, and 8 defeats, together with goals at 62:36, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through B. Nygren (15 goals), D. Maeda (9 goals), Yang Hyun-Jun (7 goals), with creative support from K. Tierney (7 assists), D. Maeda (6 assists), B. Nygren (5 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 9 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Hibernian won 3 times, Celtic won 10 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:30 from Hibernian's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.3%)
Predicted formations: Hibernian 3-4-1-2 / Celtic 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Hibernian wins 3, draws 2, Celtic wins 10
Stats
Hibernian Hibernian
Celtic Celtic
Shots on Goal
1
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
14
0 Corner Kicks 13
7 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 2
19% Ball Possession 81%
4 Total Shots 27
1 Shots on Goal 6
3 Shots off Goal 7
0 Blocked Shots 14
2 Shots insidebox 13
2 Shots outsidebox 14
4 Goalkeeper Saves 0
162 Total passes 725
83 Passes accurate 647
0.38 expected_goals 2.78
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Hibernian
Formation
Celtic
J. Smith
J. Smith
W. O'Hora
W. O'Hora
R. Bushiri
R. Bushiri
J. Iredale
J. Iredale
K. Megwa
K. Megwa
M. Chaiwa
M. Chaiwa
J. Newell
J. Newell
N. Cadden
N. Cadden
J. McGrath
J. McGrath
M. Boyle
M. Boyle
O. Elding
O. Elding
V. Sinisalo
V. Sinisalo
A. Johnston
🎯
A. Johnston
A. Trusty
A. Trusty
L. Scales
L. Scales
K. Tierney
K. Tierney
C. McGregor
C. McGregor
A. Engels
A. Engels
Yang Hyun-Jun
Yang Hyun-Jun
B. Nygren
B. Nygren
S. Tounekti
S. Tounekti
D. Maeda
D. Maeda
Hibernian 3-4-1-2
Starting XI
13
J. Smith
G
5
W. O'Hora
D
33
R. Bushiri
D
15
J. Iredale
↓ 81'
D
27
K. Megwa
M
14
M. Chaiwa
M
11
J. Newell
⚽ 45' ↓ 73'
M
19
N. Cadden
↓ 46'
M
17
J. McGrath
🟥 21'
F
10
M. Boyle
↓ 46'
F
47
O. Elding
↓ 81'
F
Substitutes
39
F. Owens
G
21
J. Obita
↑ 46' 🟨 48'
D
22
D. Barlaser
↑ 73'
M
32
J. Campbell
↑ 46' 🟨 54'
M
44
D. Scarlett
↑ 81'
F
77
A. Suto
↑ 81' 🟨 90+3'
F
28
K. Andrews
M
12
C. Cadden
D
8
A. Manneh
M
Celtic 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
12
V. Sinisalo
G
2
A. Johnston
🎯 41' ↓ 64'
D
6
A. Trusty
D
5
L. Scales
🟨 54'
D
63
K. Tierney
D
42
C. McGregor
M
27
A. Engels
🟨 90+2'
M
13
Yang Hyun-Jun
↓ 70'
M
8
B. Nygren
↓ 77'
M
23
S. Tounekti
↓ 63'
M
38
D. Maeda
⚽ 41'
F
Substitutes
31
R. Doohan
G
49
J. Forrest
↑ 63'
M
17
K. Iheanacho
⚽ 72' ↑ 70'
F
56
A. Ralston
↑ 77'
D
21
A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
M
36
M. Saracchi
D
41
R. Hatate
M
14
L. McCowan
↑ 64' 🟨 90+4'
M
47
D. Murray
D
Last matches: Hibernian
23.07.26
UEF
Hibernian
Malisheva
0
2
L
18.07.26
Fri
Hibernian
Brondby
2
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Hibernian
Cliftonville FC
5
1
W
30.06.26
Fri
Hibernian
Shamrock Rovers
0
1
L
16.05.26
Pre
Hibernian
Motherwell
0
1
L
13.05.26
Pre
Hibernian
Rangers
2
1
W
09.05.26
Pre
Hibernian
Falkirk
3
1
W
26.04.26
Pre
Hibernian
Heart Of Midlothian
1
2
L
11.04.26
Pre
Hibernian
Aberdeen
0
2
L
04.04.26
Pre
Hibernian
Kilmarnock
3
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
Hibernian
Motherwell
0
0
D
14.03.26
Pre
Hibernian
Livingston
0
0
D
28.02.26
Pre
Hibernian
Dundee
3
3
D
22.02.26
Pre
Hibernian
Celtic
2
1
W
14.02.26
Pre
Hibernian
ST Mirren
2
0
W
10.02.26
Pre
Hibernian
Heart Of Midlothian
0
1
L
04.02.26
Pre
Hibernian
Dundee Utd
3
2
W
01.02.26
Pre
Hibernian
Rangers
0
0
D
24.01.26
Pre
Hibernian
Falkirk
1
4
L
10.01.26
Pre
Hibernian
Motherwell
1
1
D
Last matches: Celtic
18.07.26
Fri
Celtic
Middlesbrough
1
1
D
14.07.26
Fri
Celtic
Sporting CP
1
4
L
07.07.26
Fri
Celtic
Shelbourne
1
1
D
16.05.26
Pre
Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian
3
1
W
13.05.26
Pre
Celtic
Motherwell
3
2
W
10.05.26
Pre
Celtic
Rangers
3
1
W
25.04.26
Pre
Celtic
Falkirk
3
1
W
11.04.26
Pre
Celtic
ST Mirren
1
0
W
05.04.26
Pre
Celtic
Dundee
2
1
W
22.03.26
Pre
Celtic
Dundee Utd
0
2
L
14.03.26
Pre
Celtic
Motherwell
3
1
W
04.03.26
Pre
Celtic
Aberdeen
2
1
W
01.03.26
Pre
Celtic
Rangers
2
2
D
26.02.26
UEF
Celtic
VfB Stuttgart
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pre
Celtic
Hibernian
1
2
L
19.02.26
UEF
Celtic
VfB Stuttgart
1
4
L
15.02.26
Pre
Celtic
Kilmarnock
3
2
W
11.02.26
Pre
Celtic
Livingston
2
1
W
01.02.26
Pre
Celtic
Falkirk
2
0
W
29.01.26
UEF
Celtic
Utrecht
4
2
W
H2H: Hibernian vs Celtic
03.05.26
H2H
Hibernian
Celtic
1
2
L
22.02.26
H2H
Celtic
Hibernian
1
2
W
30.11.25
H2H
Hibernian
Celtic
1
2
L
27.09.25
H2H
Celtic
Hibernian
0
0
D
10.05.25
H2H
Celtic
Hibernian
3
1
L
09.03.25
H2H
Celtic
Hibernian
2
0
L
22.02.25
H2H
Hibernian
Celtic
2
1
W
07.12.24
H2H
Celtic
Hibernian
3
0
L
18.08.24
H2H
Celtic
Hibernian
3
1
L
11.08.24
H2H
Hibernian
Celtic
0
2
L
07.02.24
H2H
Hibernian
Celtic
1
2
L
06.12.23
H2H
Celtic
Hibernian
4
1
L
28.10.23
H2H
Hibernian
Celtic
0
0
D
24.05.23
H2H
Hibernian
Celtic
4
2
W
18.03.23
H2H
Celtic
Hibernian
3
1
L
Last matches: Hibernian
18.07.26
Fri
Hibernian
Brondby
2
1
W
16.05.26
Pre
Hibernian
Motherwell
0
1
L
26.04.26
Pre
Hibernian
Heart Of Midlothian
1
2
L
04.04.26
Pre
Hibernian
Kilmarnock
3
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Hibernian
Livingston
0
0
D
14.02.26
Pre
Hibernian
ST Mirren
2
0
W
04.02.26
Pre
Hibernian
Dundee Utd
3
2
W
01.02.26
Pre
Hibernian
Rangers
0
0
D
10.01.26
Pre
Hibernian
Motherwell
1
1
D
30.12.25
Pre
Hibernian
Aberdeen
2
0
W
27.12.25
Pre
Hibernian
Heart Of Midlothian
3
2
W
06.12.25
Pre
Hibernian
Falkirk
3
0
W
30.11.25
Pre
Hibernian
Celtic
1
2
L
22.11.25
Pre
Hibernian
Dundee
2
0
W
29.10.25
Pre
Hibernian
Rangers
0
1
L
18.10.25
Pre
Hibernian
Livingston
4
0
W
13.09.25
Pre
Hibernian
Dundee Utd
3
3
D
31.08.25
Pre
Hibernian
ST Mirren
1
1
D
21.08.25
UEF
Hibernian
Legia Warszawa
1
2
L
14.08.25
UEF
Hibernian
FK Partizan
2
3
L
H2H at home: Hibernian
03.05.26
H2H
Hibernian
Celtic
1
2
L
30.11.25
H2H
Hibernian
Celtic
1
2
L
22.02.25
H2H
Hibernian
Celtic
2
1
W
11.08.24
H2H
Hibernian
Celtic
0
2
L
07.02.24
H2H
Hibernian
Celtic
1
2
L
28.10.23
H2H
Hibernian
Celtic
0
0
D
24.05.23
H2H
Hibernian
Celtic
4
2
W
Last matches: Celtic
14.07.26
Fri
Celtic
Sporting CP
1
4
L
07.07.26
Fri
Celtic
Shelbourne
1
1
D
13.05.26
Pre
Celtic
Motherwell
3
2
W
05.04.26
Pre
Celtic
Dundee
2
1
W
22.03.26
Pre
Celtic
Dundee Utd
0
2
L
04.03.26
Pre
Celtic
Aberdeen
2
1
W
01.03.26
Pre
Celtic
Rangers
2
2
D
26.02.26
UEF
Celtic
VfB Stuttgart
1
0
W
15.02.26
Pre
Celtic
Kilmarnock
3
2
W
25.01.26
Pre
Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian
2
2
D
22.01.26
UEF
Celtic
Bologna
2
2
D
14.01.26
Pre
Celtic
Falkirk
1
0
W
30.12.25
Pre
Celtic
Motherwell
0
2
L
27.12.25
Pre
Celtic
Livingston
4
2
W
17.12.25
Pre
Celtic
Dundee Utd
1
2
L
30.11.25
Pre
Celtic
Hibernian
2
1
W
27.11.25
UEF
Celtic
Feyenoord
3
1
W
22.11.25
Pre
Celtic
ST Mirren
1
0
W
06.11.25
UEF
Celtic
FC Midtjylland
1
3
L
26.10.25
Pre
Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian
1
3
L
H2H away: Celtic
03.05.26
H2H
Hibernian
Celtic
1
2
W
30.11.25
H2H
Hibernian
Celtic
1
2
W
22.02.25
H2H
Hibernian
Celtic
2
1
L
11.08.24
H2H
Hibernian
Celtic
0
2
W
07.02.24
H2H
Hibernian
Celtic
1
2
W
28.10.23
H2H
Hibernian
Celtic
0
0
D
24.05.23
H2H
Hibernian
Celtic
4
2
L

Standings

Premiership
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 21 7 5 58:28 30 70
L W D W W
2 33 19 12 2 66:31 35 69
W L L L L
3 33 21 4 8 59:35 24 67
W W W W W
4 33 14 12 7 52:29 23 54
W L D L W
5 33 13 12 8 51:37 14 51
L W W L L
6 33 13 7 13 45:48 -3 46
L L L W L
7 33 9 13 11 45:54 -9 40
D D L L W
8 33 9 6 18 33:48 -15 33
L L W D W
9 33 8 9 16 34:53 -19 33
W L W W L
10 33 7 9 17 27:48 -21 30
W D D W L
11 33 6 10 17 37:65 -28 28
W W W W L
12 33 1 13 19 35:66 -31 16
L D L D W
Championship round
Relegation Round