HFX Wanderers FC vs York United Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
78%
|
1.17 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
1.50 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
1.51 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
84%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.62 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.00 |
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
HFX Wanderers FC
23 matches
York United
21 matches
| HFX Wanderers FC | Statistic | York United |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 6 |
| 6 | Draws | 8 |
| 11 | Losses | 7 |
| 31 | Goals For | 30 |
| 37 | Goals Against | 42 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.43 |
| 1.61 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 2.36 | Shots On Goal | 2.2 |
| 6.14 | Total Shots | 5 |
| 2.45 | Corners | 1.35 |
| 29.1% | Ball Possession | 20.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward York United. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. HFX Wanderers FC have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with HFX Wanderers FC expected to line up in 4-3-3 and York United in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward York United having the stronger overall control.
HFX Wanderers FC sit 5 with 23 points after 22 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 31:37, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through I. Johnston (2 goals), J. Bahamboula (1 goals), with creative support from L. Callegari (1 assists), I. A. Hassan (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
York United are currently 7 in the standings with 20 points from 19 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, while the 26:41 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on L. Singh (1 goals), K. Clarke (1 goals), K. Kibato (1 goals), with creative support from O. Bassett (1 assists), O. León (1 assists), J. Almagro (1 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, HFX Wanderers FC won 5 times, York United won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:23 from HFX Wanderers FC's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 42:13 | 29 | 50 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 34:16 | 18 | 46 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 34:37 | -3 | 34 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 31:29 | 2 | 31 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 5 |
HFX Wanderers FC
Home
|
22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 31:37 | -6 | 23 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
| 6 |
York United
Away
|
20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 29:42 | -13 | 23 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
| 7 | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 29:38 | -9 | 22 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 26:44 | -18 | 11 |
D
L
D
D
W
|