CANADA CANADIAN PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Wanderers Grounds
Referee: M. Venne
HFX Wanderers FC
Match Timeline
Vancouver FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
29'
L. Callegari
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
60'
T. Campbell ↔ L. Mousset
Vancouver FC
🔄
67'
V. Akinwale ↔ C. Kachwele
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
74'
M. Godinho ↔ J. Bahamboula
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
75'
Y. Bai ↔ M. Arilla
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
75'
D. Pecile ↔ L. Toomey
Vancouver FC
🟨
76'
I. Johnston
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
84'
S. Zitman ↔ T. Ciccarelli
HFX Wanderers FC
🟨
87'
E. Bah
Vancouver FC
🟨
90+2'
T. Ciccarelli
HFX Wanderers FC
🟨
90+5'
T. Ciccarelli
HFX Wanderers FC
🟥
90+5'
T. Ciccarelli
HFX Wanderers FC
90'
T. Ciccarelli · Assist: M. Arilla
HFX Wanderers FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw or Away
Probability 77.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw or Away
77.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
-
Corners O/U Under 10.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
HFX Wanderers FC Win 22.6%
Draw 44.8%
Vancouver FC Win 32.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
HFX Wanderers FC1.31
Vancouver FC0.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
HFX Wanderers FC HFX Wanderers FC
WWDLW
8 GF / 11 GA
Vancouver FC Vancouver FC
WLDWL
5 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.56
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.78
5
BTTS Yes
3
4
Over 2.5
3
1.29
Shots on Goal
1.78

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

HFX Wanderers FC HFX Wanderers FC 8 matches
Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 9 matches
HFX Wanderers FC Statistic Vancouver FC
1 Wins 1
4 Draws 2
3 Losses 6
8 Goals For 5
11 Goals Against 16
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.56
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.78
5 BTTS Yes 3
5 Over 1.5 6
4 Over 2.5 3
3 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 6
1.29 Shots On Goal 1.78
3.71 Total Shots 6.78
1.57 Corners 2.22
20.1% Ball Possession 22.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Vancouver FC. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with HFX Wanderers FC expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Vancouver FC in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Vancouver FC having the stronger overall control.

HFX Wanderers FC Analysis

With 5 points from 6 games and a place of 6, HFX Wanderers FC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats with a 7:10 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on I. Johnston (3 goals), C. Kachwele (1 goals), K. Sow (1 goals), with creative support from I. Johnston (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Vancouver FC Analysis

Vancouver FC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 7 with 4 points from 6 matches. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 4:7 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Amissi (2 goals), T. Campbell (2 goals), with creative support from M. Doner (2 assists), E. Bah (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, HFX Wanderers FC won 7 times, Vancouver FC won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:15 from HFX Wanderers FC's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.57 goals per game.

1X2: Draw or Away
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (77.4%)
Predicted formations: HFX Wanderers FC 3-5-2 / Vancouver FC 4-4-2
H2H summary: HFX Wanderers FC wins 7, draws 2, Vancouver FC wins 5

Lineups

HFX Wanderers FC
Formation
Vancouver FC
M. Carducci
M. Carducci
J. Alphonse
J. Alphonse
F. Linder
F. Linder
K. Sow
K. Sow
M. Godinho
M. Godinho
Y. Bai
Y. Bai
L. Callegari
L. Callegari
S. Zitman
S. Zitman
R. Telfer
R. Telfer
I. Johnston
I. Johnston
V. Akinwale
V. Akinwale
C. Irving
C. Irving
M. Doner
M. Doner
M. Campagna
M. Campagna
T. Field
T. Field
K. Proctor
K. Proctor
I. Ssewankambo
I. Ssewankambo
M. Polisi
M. Polisi
D. Pecile
D. Pecile
N. Mezquida
N. Mezquida
E. Bah
E. Bah
T. Campbell
T. Campbell
HFX Wanderers FC 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
M. Carducci
21
J. Alphonse
2
F. Linder
16
K. Sow
28
M. Godinho
↓ 74'
10
Y. Bai
↓ 75'
6
L. Callegari
🟨 29'
22
S. Zitman
↓ 84'
7
R. Telfer
8
I. Johnston
🟨 76'
9
V. Akinwale
↓ 67'
Substitutes
12
S. Astridge
23
M. Arilla
🎯 90' ↑ 75'
18
A. Rampersad
14
J. Bahamboula
↑ 74'
24
C. Kachwele
↑ 67'
20
T. Ciccarelli
⚽ 90' ↑ 84' 🟨 90+2' 🟨 90+5' 🟥 90+5'
17
F. Troisi
Vancouver FC 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
C. Irving
3
M. Doner
5
M. Campagna
30
T. Field
23
K. Proctor
4
I. Ssewankambo
21
M. Polisi
6
D. Pecile
↓ 75'
20
N. Mezquida
7
E. Bah
🟨 87'
14
T. Campbell
↓ 60'
Substitutes
33
H. Regitnig
8
L. Toomey
↑ 75'
12
T. Crawford
9
L. Mousset
↑ 60'
15
A. Ouattara
18
T. Powell
24
H. Godbout
Last matches: HFX Wanderers FC
05.07.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
2
1
W
01.07.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
3
L
26.06.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
5
2
W
10.06.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
0
1
L
06.06.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Cavalry FC
0
2
L
23.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
1
1
D
17.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
0
1
L
02.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
1
3
L
24.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Supra du Quebec
1
2
L
18.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
2
2
D
11.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
2
2
D
04.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
21.03.26
Fri
HFX Wanderers FC
Leiknir R.
0
0
D
Last matches: Vancouver FC
04.07.26
Can
Vancouver FC
York United
4
0
W
01.07.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Forge
2
3
L
14.06.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Pacific FC
2
1
W
06.06.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Atlético Ottawa
2
1
W
23.05.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Supra du Quebec
1
1
D
18.05.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Cavalry FC
0
2
L
03.05.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Pacific FC
3
1
W
26.04.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
1
D
19.04.26
Can
Vancouver FC
York United
0
1
L
12.04.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Forge
0
1
L
04.04.26
Can
Vancouver FC
HFX Wanderers FC
0
1
L
13.02.26
CON
Vancouver FC
Cruz Azul
0
5
L
05.02.26
CON
Vancouver FC
Cruz Azul
0
3
L
H2H: HFX Wanderers FC vs Vancouver FC
30.05.26
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
04.04.26
H2H
Vancouver FC
HFX Wanderers FC
0
1
W
28.09.25
H2H
Vancouver FC
HFX Wanderers FC
3
1
L
04.08.25
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
1
2
L
21.06.25
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
18.05.25
H2H
Vancouver FC
HFX Wanderers FC
0
2
W
05.10.24
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
1
1
D
05.08.24
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
3
2
W
23.06.24
H2H
Vancouver FC
HFX Wanderers FC
0
4
W
19.04.24
H2H
Vancouver FC
HFX Wanderers FC
2
0
L
23.09.23
H2H
Vancouver FC
HFX Wanderers FC
2
1
L
12.08.23
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
3
0
W
08.07.23
H2H
Vancouver FC
HFX Wanderers FC
2
1
L
29.04.23
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
1
1
D
Last matches: HFX Wanderers FC
01.07.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
3
L
26.06.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
5
2
W
23.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
1
1
D
02.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
1
3
L
18.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
2
2
D
21.03.26
Fri
HFX Wanderers FC
Leiknir R.
0
0
D
H2H at home: HFX Wanderers FC
30.05.26
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
04.08.25
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
1
2
L
21.06.25
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
05.10.24
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
1
1
D
05.08.24
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
3
2
W
12.08.23
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
3
0
W
29.04.23
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
1
1
D
Last matches: Vancouver FC
01.07.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Forge
2
3
L
03.05.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Pacific FC
3
1
W
26.04.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
1
D
19.04.26
Can
Vancouver FC
York United
0
1
L
13.02.26
CON
Vancouver FC
Cruz Azul
0
5
L
H2H away: Vancouver FC
30.05.26
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
1
0
L
04.08.25
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
1
2
W
21.06.25
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
1
0
L
05.10.24
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
1
1
D
05.08.24
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
3
2
L
12.08.23
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
3
0
L
29.04.23
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
1
1
D

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 10 1 1 20:7 13 31
W W W W W
2 11 8 2 1 22:5 17 26
W W W L W
3 12 5 2 5 18:22 -4 17
L W W L D
4 13 4 3 6 17:20 -3 15
W L W L L
5 12 4 2 6 15:14 1 14
W L W W L
6 10 3 3 4 13:21 -8 12
L L L L D
7 10 3 2 5 14:16 -2 11
L L D W D
8 12 0 3 9 13:27 -14 3
L L L D D
Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)