CANADA CANADIAN PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Wanderers Grounds
Referee: F. Stasolla
HFX Wanderers FC
Match Timeline
Supra du Quebec
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
28'
C. Kachwele · Assist: M. Arilla
HFX Wanderers FC
VAR
30'
Cyprian Kachwele
HFX Wanderers FC
🟨
40'
Matisse Chretien
Supra du Quebec
45'
F. Linder · Assist: M. Arilla
HFX Wanderers FC
VAR
63'
Alessandro Biello
Supra du Quebec
🔄
65'
D. Abzi ↔ A. Sissoko
Supra du Quebec
🔄
65'
D. Choiniere ↔ I. Conde
Supra du Quebec
65'
L. A. Kwemi
Supra du Quebec
67'
L. A. Kwemi
Supra du Quebec
VAR
75'
Ibrahim Condé
Supra du Quebec
🟨
76'
Thomas Meilleur Giguère
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
77'
M. Arilla ↔ J. Bahamboula
HFX Wanderers FC
77'
L. A. Kwemi
Supra du Quebec
🔄
78'
S. Zitman ↔ A. Reid
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
78'
C. Kachwele ↔ T. Ciccarelli
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
80'
L. A. Kwemi ↔ Y. W. Wandje Djomze
Supra du Quebec
🔄
82'
C. Auguste ↔ S. Deslandes
Supra du Quebec
🔄
88'
L. Olguin ↔ A. Rampersad
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
88'
J. Alphonse ↔ F. Troisi
HFX Wanderers FC
VAR
90+8'
Jason Bahamboula
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
90+4'
S. Rea ↔ O. Boughanmi
Supra du Quebec

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.7%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Under 10.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
HFX Wanderers FC Win 56.7%
Draw 11.1%
Supra du Quebec Win 32.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
HFX Wanderers FC1.48
Supra du Quebec1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
HFX Wanderers FC HFX Wanderers FC
WWDLW
18 GF / 21 GA
Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec
WLDWL
15 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
1.36
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.91
9
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
6
1.93
Shots on Goal
1.27

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

HFX Wanderers FC HFX Wanderers FC 15 matches
Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec 11 matches
HFX Wanderers FC Statistic Supra du Quebec
4 Wins 3
5 Draws 2
6 Losses 6
18 Goals For 15
21 Goals Against 21
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.91
9 BTTS Yes 8
10 Over 1.5 8
7 Over 2.5 6
5 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 0
4 Failed To Score 3
1.93 Shots On Goal 1.27
5 Total Shots 6.09
2.5 Corners 2.18
27.9% Ball Possession 25.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Supra du Quebec having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Supra du Quebec. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. HFX Wanderers FC have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

HFX Wanderers FC Analysis

HFX Wanderers FC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 4 with 15 points from 13 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 17:20, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Supra du Quebec Analysis

From their first 10 matches, Supra du Quebec have collected 11 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. The record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 14:16 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, HFX Wanderers FC won 0 times, Supra du Quebec won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:5 from HFX Wanderers FC's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.9%)
Predicted formations: HFX Wanderers FC 4-3-3 / Supra du Quebec -
H2H summary: HFX Wanderers FC wins 0, draws 0, Supra du Quebec wins 2
Stats
HFX Wanderers FC HFX Wanderers FC
Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
3
6 Corner Kicks 2
7 Fouls 7
1 Offsides 0
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Goal 4
7 Shots off Goal 3
2 Blocked Shots 3
10 Shots insidebox 5
3 Shots outsidebox 5
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
513 Total passes 484
451 Passes accurate 425
1.89 expected_goals 1.93
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

HFX Wanderers FC
Formation
Supra du Quebec
M. Carducci
M. Carducci
J. Alphonse
J. Alphonse
T. Meilleur-Gigeuere
T. Meilleur-Gigeuere
F. Linder
F. Linder
R. Telfer
R. Telfer
L. Callegari
L. Callegari
L. Olguin
L. Olguin
S. Zitman
S. Zitman
I. Johnston
I. Johnston
C. Kachwele
C. Kachwele
M. Arilla
🎯
M. Arilla
J. Milli
J. Milli
C. Auguste
C. Auguste
K. Ferdinand
K. Ferdinand
M. Chretien
M. Chretien
D. Abzi
D. Abzi
S. Mlah
S. Mlah
A. Biello
A. Biello
C. Bayiha
C. Bayiha
S. Rea
S. Rea
D. Choiniere
D. Choiniere
L. A. Kwemi
⚽ 3
L. A. Kwemi
HFX Wanderers FC 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
M. Carducci
G
21
J. Alphonse
↓ 88'
D
26
T. Meilleur-Gigeuere
🟨 76'
D
2
F. Linder
⚽ 45'
D
7
R. Telfer
D
6
L. Callegari
M
5
L. Olguin
↓ 88'
M
22
S. Zitman
↓ 78'
M
8
I. Johnston
F
24
C. Kachwele
⚽ 28' ↓ 78'
23
M. Arilla
🎯 28' 🎯 45' ↓ 77'
F
Substitutes
12
S. Astridge
11
A. Reid
↑ 78'
F
18
A. Rampersad
↑ 88'
M
14
J. Bahamboula
↑ 77'
20
T. Ciccarelli
↑ 78'
17
F. Troisi
↑ 88'
D
33
I. A. Hassan
D
Supra du Quebec 3-5-1 (estimated)
Starting XI
32
J. Milli
G
2
C. Auguste
↓ 82'
D
5
K. Ferdinand
4
M. Chretien
🟨 40'
D
11
D. Abzi
↓ 65'
D
24
S. Mlah
M
6
A. Biello
M
12
C. Bayiha
M
10
S. Rea
↓ 90+4'
M
7
D. Choiniere
↓ 65'
M
9
L. A. Kwemi
⚽ 65' ⚽ 67' ⚽ 77' ↓ 80'
F
Substitutes
80
M. Diop
G
33
A. Sissoko
↑ 65'
M
64
Y. W. Wandje Djomze
↑ 80'
M
20
O. Boughanmi
↑ 90+4'
M
99
I. Conde
↑ 65'
F
8
O. El Kalkouli
M
37
S. Deslandes
↑ 82'
D
Last matches: HFX Wanderers FC
16.08.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
3
4
L
08.08.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
2
L
02.08.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
0
0
D
18.07.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Cavalry FC
1
1
D
05.07.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
2
1
W
01.07.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
3
L
26.06.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
5
2
W
10.06.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
0
1
L
06.06.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Cavalry FC
0
2
L
30.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
23.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
1
1
D
17.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
0
1
L
02.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
1
3
L
24.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Supra du Quebec
1
2
L
18.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
2
2
D
11.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
2
2
D
04.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
21.03.26
Fri
HFX Wanderers FC
Leiknir R.
0
0
D
Last matches: Supra du Quebec
16.08.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
1
2
L
09.08.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Cavalry FC
1
1
D
01.08.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
2
1
W
29.07.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Cavalry FC
1
2
L
17.07.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Vancouver FC
1
5
L
05.07.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Forge
1
2
L
09.06.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
3
5
L
06.06.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
1
1
D
29.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
York United
3
1
W
23.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Vancouver FC
1
1
D
13.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Forge
0
1
L
03.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Cavalry FC
0
1
L
24.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
HFX Wanderers FC
2
1
W
19.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
0
1
L
11.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
3
2
W
H2H: HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec
24.07.26
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Supra du Quebec
2
3
L
24.04.26
H2H
Supra du Quebec
HFX Wanderers FC
2
1
L
Last matches: HFX Wanderers FC
02.08.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
0
0
D
01.07.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
3
L
26.06.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
5
2
W
30.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
23.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
1
1
D
02.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
1
3
L
18.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
2
2
D
21.03.26
Fri
HFX Wanderers FC
Leiknir R.
0
0
D
H2H at home: HFX Wanderers FC
24.07.26
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Supra du Quebec
2
3
L
Last matches: Supra du Quebec
01.08.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
2
1
W
29.07.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Cavalry FC
1
2
L
09.06.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
3
5
L
23.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Vancouver FC
1
1
D
13.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Forge
0
1
L
11.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
3
2
W
H2H away: Supra du Quebec
24.07.26
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Supra du Quebec
2
3
W

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 11 4 2 33:10 23 37
W D W W L
2 16 11 2 3 24:11 13 35
L L D W W
3 17 8 3 6 26:17 9 27
D W W W W
4 17 8 3 6 27:30 -3 27
W W L W D
5 16 5 3 8 23:29 -6 18
L D W L W
6 18 4 5 9 24:30 -6 17
L L D L D
7 15 4 5 6 20:34 -14 17
W D L L D
8 16 0 5 11 18:34 -16 5
D D L L L