CANADA CANADIAN PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Wanderers Grounds
Referee: S. Noshinravani
HFX Wanderers FC
Match Timeline
Forge
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
34'
H. Massunda
Forge
🟨
35'
A. Batisse
Forge
🔄
39'
C. Kachwele ↔ J. Bahamboula
HFX Wanderers FC
🟨
45+3'
D. Nimick
Forge
🟨
51'
I. Johnston
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
64'
B. Wright ↔ A. Sadek
Forge
🔄
64'
A. Aromatario ↔ N. Jensen
Forge
🔄
69'
S. Zitman ↔ A. Reid
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
69'
M. Arilla ↔ F. Troisi
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
72'
H. Massunda ↔ I. Oketokoun
Forge
🔄
74'
N. Ampomah ↔ M. Babouli
Forge
🟨
79'
T. Borges
Forge
🟨
80'
A. Reid
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
85'
I. Johnston ↔ A. Rampersad
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
85'
L. Olguin ↔ T. Ciccarelli
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
85'
T. Borges ↔ D. Krutzen
Forge
🟨
90+4'
I. Oketokoun
Forge

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 61.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
61.6%
-
BTTS Yes
78.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
77%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
HFX Wanderers FC Win 31.6%
Draw 6.8%
Forge Win 61.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
HFX Wanderers FC1.07
Forge1.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
HFX Wanderers FC HFX Wanderers FC
WWDLW
20 GF / 24 GA
Forge Forge
WLDWL
24 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.6
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
0.8
10
BTTS Yes
7
8
Over 2.5
7
2.07
Shots on Goal
2.87

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

HFX Wanderers FC HFX Wanderers FC 16 matches
Forge Forge 15 matches
HFX Wanderers FC Statistic Forge
4 Wins 11
5 Draws 2
7 Losses 2
20 Goals For 24
24 Goals Against 12
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 0.8
10 BTTS Yes 7
11 Over 1.5 8
8 Over 2.5 7
6 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 8
4 Failed To Score 2
2.07 Shots On Goal 2.87
5.53 Total Shots 8.27
2.73 Corners 3.33
29.5% Ball Possession 25%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Forge's more proactive style and HFX Wanderers FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Forge. Forge look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with HFX Wanderers FC expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Forge in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Forge having the stronger overall control. Forge carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 31 points while HFX Wanderers FC sit 5 on 16, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

HFX Wanderers FC Analysis

HFX Wanderers FC arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 16 points after 15 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, while the 20:24 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Forge Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 31 points from 12 games, Forge bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 10 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 20:7, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, HFX Wanderers FC won 2 times, Forge won 9 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:25 from HFX Wanderers FC's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.2%)
Predicted formations: HFX Wanderers FC 4-3-3 / Forge 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: HFX Wanderers FC wins 2, draws 4, Forge wins 9

Lineups

HFX Wanderers FC
Formation
Forge
M. Carducci
M. Carducci
J. Alphonse
J. Alphonse
T. Meilleur-Gigeuere
T. Meilleur-Gigeuere
F. Linder
F. Linder
R. Telfer
R. Telfer
L. Callegari
L. Callegari
L. Olguin
L. Olguin
S. Zitman
S. Zitman
I. Johnston
I. Johnston
C. Kachwele
C. Kachwele
M. Arilla
M. Arilla
D. Bertaud
D. Bertaud
R. Rama
R. Rama
D. Nimick
D. Nimick
A. Batisse
A. Batisse
M. Jevremovic
M. Jevremovic
A. Aromatario
A. Aromatario
B. Paton
B. Paton
N. Ampomah
N. Ampomah
T. Borges
T. Borges
H. Massunda
H. Massunda
B. Wright
B. Wright
HFX Wanderers FC 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
M. Carducci
21
J. Alphonse
26
T. Meilleur-Gigeuere
2
F. Linder
7
R. Telfer
6
L. Callegari
5
L. Olguin
↓ 85'
22
S. Zitman
↓ 69'
8
I. Johnston
↓ 85' 🟨 51'
24
C. Kachwele
↓ 39'
23
M. Arilla
↓ 69'
Substitutes
12
S. Astridge
11
A. Reid
↑ 69' 🟨 80'
18
A. Rampersad
↑ 85'
14
J. Bahamboula
↑ 39'
20
T. Ciccarelli
↑ 85'
17
F. Troisi
↑ 69'
33
I. A. Hassan
Forge 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
16
D. Bertaud
24
R. Rama
5
D. Nimick
🟨 45+3'
8
A. Batisse
🟨 35'
3
M. Jevremovic
23
A. Aromatario
↓ 64'
6
B. Paton
11
N. Ampomah
↓ 74'
19
T. Borges
↓ 85' 🟨 79'
17
H. Massunda
↓ 72' 🟨 34'
9
B. Wright
↓ 64'
Substitutes
36
D. Bontis
10
K. Bekker
18
M. Babouli
↑ 74'
26
A. Sadek
↑ 64'
4
D. Krutzen
↑ 85'
22
N. Jensen
↑ 64'
7
I. Oketokoun
↑ 72' 🟨 90+4'
Last matches: HFX Wanderers FC
22.08.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
16.08.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
3
4
L
08.08.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
2
L
24.07.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Supra du Quebec
2
3
L
18.07.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Cavalry FC
1
1
D
05.07.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
2
1
W
01.07.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
3
L
26.06.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
5
2
W
10.06.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
0
1
L
06.06.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Cavalry FC
0
2
L
30.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
23.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
1
1
D
17.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
0
1
L
02.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
1
3
L
24.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Supra du Quebec
1
2
L
18.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
2
2
D
11.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
2
2
D
04.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
21.03.26
Fri
HFX Wanderers FC
Leiknir R.
0
0
D
Last matches: Forge
22.08.26
Can
Forge
Pacific FC
2
0
W
19.08.26
Can
Forge
Supra du Quebec
3
2
W
15.08.26
Can
Forge
Cavalry FC
1
2
L
07.08.26
Can
Forge
Vancouver FC
0
1
L
26.07.26
Can
Forge
York United
3
1
W
05.07.26
Can
Forge
Supra du Quebec
2
1
W
01.07.26
Can
Forge
Vancouver FC
3
2
W
10.06.26
Can
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
1
0
W
07.06.26
Can
Forge
York United
4
1
W
31.05.26
Can
Forge
Cavalry FC
1
0
W
24.05.26
Can
Forge
Atlético Ottawa
1
2
L
13.05.26
Can
Forge
Supra du Quebec
1
0
W
02.05.26
Can
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
3
1
W
26.04.26
Can
Forge
Pacific FC
1
0
W
18.04.26
Can
Forge
Cavalry FC
0
0
D
12.04.26
Can
Forge
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
04.04.26
Can
Forge
Atlético Ottawa
2
0
W
11.02.26
CON
Forge
Tigres UANL
1
4
L
04.02.26
CON
Forge
Tigres UANL
0
0
D
H2H: HFX Wanderers FC vs Forge
02.08.26
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
0
0
D
10.06.26
H2H
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
1
0
L
09.05.26
H2H
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
4
0
L
02.05.26
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
1
3
L
06.09.25
H2H
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
1
0
L
25.07.25
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
1
2
L
08.06.25
H2H
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
2
1
L
07.05.25
H2H
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
3
1
L
03.05.25
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
0
0
D
14.09.24
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
3
0
W
14.08.24
H2H
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
2
0
L
27.07.24
H2H
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
3
0
L
15.06.24
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
2
2
D
30.09.23
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
2
1
W
19.08.23
H2H
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
1
1
D
Last matches: HFX Wanderers FC
22.08.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
24.07.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Supra du Quebec
2
3
L
01.07.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
3
L
26.06.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
5
2
W
30.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
23.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
1
1
D
02.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
1
3
L
18.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
2
2
D
21.03.26
Fri
HFX Wanderers FC
Leiknir R.
0
0
D
H2H at home: HFX Wanderers FC
02.08.26
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
0
0
D
02.05.26
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
1
3
L
25.07.25
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
1
2
L
03.05.25
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
0
0
D
14.09.24
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
3
0
W
15.06.24
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
2
2
D
30.09.23
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
2
1
W
Last matches: Forge
15.08.26
Can
Forge
Cavalry FC
1
2
L
26.07.26
Can
Forge
York United
3
1
W
05.07.26
Can
Forge
Supra du Quebec
2
1
W
07.06.26
Can
Forge
York United
4
1
W
24.05.26
Can
Forge
Atlético Ottawa
1
2
L
02.05.26
Can
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
3
1
W
26.04.26
Can
Forge
Pacific FC
1
0
W
12.04.26
Can
Forge
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
11.02.26
CON
Forge
Tigres UANL
1
4
L
H2H away: Forge
02.08.26
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
0
0
D
02.05.26
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
1
3
W
25.07.25
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
1
2
W
03.05.25
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
0
0
D
14.09.24
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
3
0
L
15.06.24
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
2
2
D
30.09.23
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
2
1
L

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Forge Away
18 13 2 3 29:13 16 41
W W L L D
2 18 12 4 2 36:11 25 40
W W D W W
3 19 9 3 7 32:33 -1 30
L W W W L
4 19 8 3 8 26:22 4 27
L L D W W
5 19 5 5 9 25:30 -5 20
W L L D L
6 18 5 4 9 26:33 -7 19
D L L D W
7 16 4 6 6 21:35 -14 18
D W D L L
8 17 0 5 12 18:36 -18 5
L D D L L