CANADA CANADIAN PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Wanderers Grounds
Referee: Y. Rudolf
HFX Wanderers FC
Match Timeline
Atlético Ottawa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
3'
B. Tabla · Assist: E. Myklebust
Atlético Ottawa
VAR
6'
Ballou Tabla
Atlético Ottawa
26'
G. Antinoro · Assist: B. Tabla
Atlético Ottawa
VAR
31'
Jonantan Villal
Atlético Ottawa
36'
B. Tabla
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
46'
S. Zitman ↔ R. Telfer
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
46'
F. Troisi ↔ K. Sow
HFX Wanderers FC
VAR
48'
Ryan Telfer
HFX Wanderers FC
🟨
56'
Sergei Kozlovskiy
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
64'
M. Arilla ↔ T. Ciccarelli
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
64'
E. Myklebust ↔ E. Garcia
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
64'
J. Villal ↔ J. Coulanges
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
67'
R. Mbomio ↔ J. Assi
Atlético Ottawa
68'
T. Ciccarelli
HFX Wanderers FC
🟨
76'
Marcus Godinho
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
78'
M. Godinho ↔ A. Rampersad
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
82'
C. Kachwele ↔ V. Akinwale
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
83'
G. Antinoro ↔ K. Habibullah
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
83'
J. Castro ↔ T. Arnaud
Atlético Ottawa
VAR
90+7'
Jefferson Alphonse
HFX Wanderers FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 74.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
74.7%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
HFX Wanderers FC Win 38.8%
Draw 25.3%
Atlético Ottawa Win 35.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
HFX Wanderers FC1.53
Atlético Ottawa1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
HFX Wanderers FC HFX Wanderers FC
WWDLW
14 GF / 16 GA
Atlético Ottawa Atlético Ottawa
WLDWL
15 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
2.08
6
BTTS Yes
7
5
Over 2.5
7
1.27
Shots on Goal
1

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

HFX Wanderers FC HFX Wanderers FC 12 matches
Atlético Ottawa Atlético Ottawa 12 matches
HFX Wanderers FC Statistic Atlético Ottawa
3 Wins 4
4 Draws 2
5 Losses 6
14 Goals For 15
16 Goals Against 25
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 2.08
6 BTTS Yes 7
7 Over 1.5 10
5 Over 2.5 7
4 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 3
1.27 Shots On Goal 1
3.82 Total Shots 3.08
2 Corners 1.08
20.8% Ball Possession 30.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Atlético Ottawa. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. HFX Wanderers FC have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with HFX Wanderers FC expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Atlético Ottawa in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atlético Ottawa having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

HFX Wanderers FC Analysis

HFX Wanderers FC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 7 with 9 points from 10 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats with a 9:14 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on I. Johnston (4 goals), T. Ciccarelli (2 goals), C. Kachwele (1 goals), with creative support from I. Johnston (2 assists), M. Arilla (1 assists), Victor Akinwale (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Atlético Ottawa Analysis

Atlético Ottawa come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 14 points after 10 matches. They have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a 15:18 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on B. Tabla (3 goals), E. Garcia (3 goals), A. S. Abatneh N. (1 goals), with creative support from Manny Aparicio (2 assists), B. Tabla (1 assists), E. Garcia (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, HFX Wanderers FC won 3 times, Atlético Ottawa won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:24 from HFX Wanderers FC's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (74.7%)
Predicted formations: HFX Wanderers FC 4-2-3-1 / Atlético Ottawa 3-4-3
H2H summary: HFX Wanderers FC wins 3, draws 5, Atlético Ottawa wins 7
Stats
HFX Wanderers FC HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa Atlético Ottawa
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
2
8 Corner Kicks 2
6 Fouls 7
1 Offsides 0
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Goal 3
6 Shots off Goal 4
3 Blocked Shots 2
7 Shots insidebox 5
7 Shots outsidebox 4
0 Goalkeeper Saves 4
568 Total passes 327
498 Passes accurate 267
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

HFX Wanderers FC
Formation
Atlético Ottawa
M. Carducci
M. Carducci
F. Troisi
F. Troisi
J. Alphonse
J. Alphonse
F. Linder
F. Linder
M. Godinho
M. Godinho
L. Callegari
L. Callegari
L. Olguin
L. Olguin
S. Zitman
S. Zitman
I. Johnston
I. Johnston
C. Kachwele
C. Kachwele
M. Arilla
M. Arilla
C. Kalongo
C. Kalongo
R. Mbomio
R. Mbomio
L. Cloutier
L. Cloutier
S. Kozlovskiy
S. Kozlovskiy
D. Aguilar
D. Aguilar
G. Antinoro
G. Antinoro
J. Castro
J. Castro
J. Villal
J. Villal
M. Aparicio
M. Aparicio
B. Tabla
⚽ 2 🎯
B. Tabla
E. Myklebust
🎯
E. Myklebust
HFX Wanderers FC 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
M. Carducci
G
17
F. Troisi
↓ 46'
D
21
J. Alphonse
D
2
F. Linder
D
28
M. Godinho
↓ 78' 🟨 76'
D
6
L. Callegari
M
5
L. Olguin
M
22
S. Zitman
↓ 46'
M
8
I. Johnston
F
24
C. Kachwele
↓ 82'
23
M. Arilla
↓ 64'
F
Substitutes
12
S. Astridge
7
R. Telfer
↑ 46'
F
9
V. Akinwale
↑ 82'
F
18
A. Rampersad
↑ 78'
M
14
J. Bahamboula
16
K. Sow
↑ 46'
D
20
T. Ciccarelli
⚽ 68' ↑ 64'
Atlético Ottawa 4-3-2-1
Starting XI
31
C. Kalongo
G
18
R. Mbomio
↓ 67'
D
28
L. Cloutier
84
S. Kozlovskiy
5
D. Aguilar
D
11
G. Antinoro
⚽ 26' ↓ 83'
M
2
J. Castro
↓ 83'
M
8
J. Villal
↓ 64'
M
10
M. Aparicio
M
13
B. Tabla
⚽ 3' ⚽ 36' 🎯 26'
M
9
E. Myklebust
🎯 3' ↓ 64'
F
Substitutes
1
T. Crampton
7
E. Garcia
↑ 64'
F
20
J. Coulanges
↑ 64'
30
K. Habibullah
↑ 83'
M
14
J. Assi
↑ 67'
F
23
A. S. Abatneh N.
D
37
T. Arnaud
↑ 83'
M
Last matches: HFX Wanderers FC
08.08.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
2
L
02.08.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
0
0
D
24.07.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Supra du Quebec
2
3
L
18.07.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Cavalry FC
1
1
D
05.07.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
2
1
W
26.06.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
5
2
W
10.06.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
0
1
L
06.06.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Cavalry FC
0
2
L
30.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
23.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
1
1
D
17.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
0
1
L
02.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
1
3
L
24.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Supra du Quebec
1
2
L
18.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
2
2
D
11.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
2
2
D
04.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
21.03.26
Fri
HFX Wanderers FC
Leiknir R.
0
0
D
Last matches: Atlético Ottawa
08.08.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
2
1
W
01.08.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Vancouver FC
1
3
L
26.07.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Pacific FC
3
2
W
17.07.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
York United
1
1
D
04.07.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
0
3
L
09.06.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Supra du Quebec
5
3
W
06.06.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Vancouver FC
1
2
L
30.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Pacific FC
2
2
D
24.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Forge
2
1
W
17.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
1
0
W
01.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
York United
1
4
L
26.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Vancouver FC
1
1
D
19.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Supra du Quebec
1
0
W
12.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
1
3
L
04.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Forge
0
2
L
25.02.26
CON
Atlético Ottawa
Nashville SC
0
5
L
18.02.26
CON
Atlético Ottawa
Nashville SC
0
2
L
H2H: HFX Wanderers FC vs Atlético Ottawa
01.07.26
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
3
L
17.05.26
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
1
0
L
18.10.25
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
0
1
L
18.07.25
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
2
0
L
24.05.25
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
2
0
W
05.04.25
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
2
2
D
29.09.24
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
1
1
D
24.08.24
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
1
D
02.06.24
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
2
2
D
27.04.24
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
3
L
18.09.23
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
3
2
W
23.07.23
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
0
W
03.06.23
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
2
0
L
19.04.23
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
3
L
15.04.23
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
1
1
D
Last matches: HFX Wanderers FC
02.08.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
0
0
D
24.07.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Supra du Quebec
2
3
L
26.06.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
5
2
W
30.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
23.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
1
1
D
02.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
1
3
L
18.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
2
2
D
21.03.26
Fri
HFX Wanderers FC
Leiknir R.
0
0
D
H2H at home: HFX Wanderers FC
01.07.26
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
3
L
18.10.25
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
0
1
L
24.05.25
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
2
0
W
24.08.24
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
1
D
27.04.24
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
3
L
18.09.23
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
3
2
W
23.07.23
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
0
W
19.04.23
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
3
L
Last matches: Atlético Ottawa
01.08.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Vancouver FC
1
3
L
06.06.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Vancouver FC
1
2
L
30.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Pacific FC
2
2
D
01.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
York United
1
4
L
19.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Supra du Quebec
1
0
W
12.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
1
3
L
04.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Forge
0
2
L
25.02.26
CON
Atlético Ottawa
Nashville SC
0
5
L
H2H away: Atlético Ottawa
01.07.26
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
3
W
18.10.25
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
0
1
W
24.05.25
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
2
0
L
24.08.24
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
1
D
27.04.24
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
3
W
18.09.23
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
3
2
L
23.07.23
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
0
L
19.04.23
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
3
W

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 11 2 2 23:9 14 35
L D W W W
2 15 10 3 2 30:8 22 33
W W L D W
3 16 8 2 6 25:16 9 26
W W W W W
4 16 7 3 6 25:29 -4 24
W L W D L
5 17 4 5 8 21:26 -5 17
L D L D W
6 14 5 2 7 21:26 -5 17
W L W L L
7 14 3 5 6 16:31 -15 14
D L L D L
8 15 0 4 11 17:33 -16 4
D L L L L