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NETHERLANDS › EERSTE DIVISIE
09.10.2026 18:00
Polman Stadion
Heracles
Match Timeline
Waalwijk
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
3'
F. Al Mazyani
Waalwijk
🟨
5'
Sem Scheperman
Heracles
🟨
42'
Liam Van Gelderen
Waalwijk
⚽
51'
Tristan Van Gilst
Heracles
🔄
55'
Tristan Van Gilst ↔ David Tomic
Heracles
🟨
65'
Loek Postma
Waalwijk
⚽
65'
Damon Mirani · Assist: Chafik Abbas
Heracles
⚽
68'
Manny Rodriguez Baldera · Assist: Mimeirhel Benita
Heracles
🔄
69'
Ryan Fage ↔ Yoram van der Veen
Waalwijk
🔄
69'
Virgil Misidjan ↔ Azzedine Dkidak
Waalwijk
🔄
77'
Chafik Abbas ↔ Thomas Bruns
Heracles
🔄
77'
Mimeirhel Benita ↔ Mike te Wierik
Heracles
🔄
78'
Sem Scheperman ↔ Mario Borac
Heracles
🔄
78'
Jesse van de Haar ↔ Finn Stokkers
Waalwijk
🔄
78'
Tim van de Loo ↔ R. van Hedel
Waalwijk
🔄
86'
Manny Rodriguez Baldera ↔ Jeff Reine-Adélaïde
Heracles

Heracles vs Waalwijk Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.5%
Odds 1.50
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.42
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.5%
1.50 ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
1.50 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.42 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.17 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.25 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Heracles Win 69.5%
Draw 4.1%
Waalwijk Win 26.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Heracles2.25
Waalwijk1.63
Recent Form (Last 5)
Heracles Heracles
WWDLW
35 GF / 18 GA
Waalwijk Waalwijk
WLDWL
29 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
2.92
Average Goals Scored
1.71
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.24
8
BTTS Yes
12
9
Over 2.5
8
8.89
Shots on Goal
5.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Heracles Heracles 12 matches
Waalwijk Waalwijk 17 matches
Heracles Statistic Waalwijk
9 Wins 5
1 Draws 9
2 Losses 3
35 Goals For 29
18 Goals Against 21
2.92 Avg Goals Scored 1.71
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24
8 BTTS Yes 12
11 Over 1.5 16
9 Over 2.5 8
8 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 3
8.89 Shots On Goal 5.67
22.22 Total Shots 14.67
8.22 Corners 3.89
54.7% Ball Possession 50.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Heracles arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 22 points compared to Waalwijk in 7 on 14, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Waalwijk.

Heracles Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 22 points from 9 games, Heracles bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 28:12, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through T. van Gilst (6 goals), Jean-Paul N'Djoli (6 goals), J. N'djoli (5 goals), with creative support from D. van der Kust (3 assists), C. Abbas (3 assists), T. Bruns (3 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Waalwijk Analysis

So far, Waalwijk have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 14 points from 9 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 19:12 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. van de Haar (3 goals), Keyan Varela (3 goals), F. Al Mazyani (2 goals), with creative support from Juan Carlos Familia-Castillo (3 assists), J. Nap (3 assists), J. van de Haar (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Heracles won 8 times, Waalwijk won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:25 from Heracles's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.9%)
Predicted formations: Heracles 4-2-3-1 / Waalwijk 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Heracles wins 8, draws 2, Waalwijk wins 5

Standings

Eerste Divisie: Period 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
2 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
3 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
4 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
5 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
6 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
7 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
8 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
9 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
11 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
12 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
13 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
14 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
15 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
16 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
18 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
19 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
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