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NETHERLANDS › EERSTE DIVISIE
26.09.2026 14:30
Polman Stadion
Heracles
Match Timeline
Vitesse
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
6'
Jeredy Hilterman
Vitesse
⚽
11'
J. N'djoli · Assist: T. van Gilst
Heracles
🟨
24'
Marco Schikora
Vitesse
⚽
39'
O. Achouitar
Heracles
🔄
46'
T. van Gilst ↔ T. Bruns
Heracles
🔄
46'
M. Hauswirth ↔ D. Tomic
Heracles
🔄
66'
C. Abbas ↔ J. Reine-Adelaide
Heracles
🔄
66'
M. Marschalk ↔ Y. Ouallil
Vitesse
🔄
66'
J. Hilterman ↔ N. Zonneveld
Vitesse
🔄
66'
F. de Carvalho ↔ J. Pinto
Vitesse
🟨
76'
Manny Rodríguez
Heracles
🔄
78'
O. Achouitar ↔ A. Buttner
Vitesse
🔄
78'
X. Thenu ↔ E. Probst
Vitesse
🟨
79'
Ayman Sellouf
Vitesse
🔄
80'
J. N'djoli ↔ M. Engels
Heracles
🟨
81'
Thomas Bruns
Heracles
🟨
83'
Nathan Markelo
Vitesse

Heracles vs Vitesse Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Heracles Win 60.1%
Draw 3.4%
Vitesse Win 36.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Heracles2.3
Vitesse1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
Heracles Heracles
WWDLW
31 GF / 16 GA
Vitesse Vitesse
WLDWL
16 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
3.1
Average Goals Scored
1.45
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
1.09
7
BTTS Yes
7
8
Over 2.5
6
8.43
Shots on Goal
5.43

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Heracles Heracles 10 matches
Vitesse Vitesse 11 matches
Heracles Statistic Vitesse
8 Wins 5
0 Draws 3
2 Losses 3
31 Goals For 16
16 Goals Against 12
3.1 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
1.6 Avg Goals Conceded 1.09
7 BTTS Yes 7
9 Over 1.5 8
8 Over 2.5 6
7 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 3
8.43 Shots On Goal 5.43
21.43 Total Shots 17.29
7.71 Corners 5.14
55.4% Ball Possession 49.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Vitesse. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Heracles arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 18 points compared to Vitesse in 10 on 10, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Heracles come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Heracles Analysis

Heracles come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 18 points after 7 matches. With 6 wins, 0 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 24:10, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by T. van Gilst (6 goals), Jean-Paul N'Djoli (6 goals), J. N'djoli (4 goals), with creative support from C. Abbas (3 assists), T. Bruns (3 assists), S. Scheperman (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Vitesse Analysis

So far, Vitesse have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 10 points from 6 matches. The record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 10:8 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through N. Bannis (6 goals), F. de Carvalho (1 goals), A. Sellouf (1 goals), with creative support from F. de Carvalho (2 assists), N. Bannis (1 assists), O. Achouitar (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Heracles won 2 times, Vitesse won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:24 from Heracles's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.36 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.7%)
Predicted formations: Heracles 4-2-3-1 / Vitesse 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Heracles wins 2, draws 4, Vitesse wins 8

Standings

Eerste Divisie: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 1 1 31:12 19 25
W D W L W
2 10 7 1 2 22:7 15 22
W W L W W
3 10 7 0 3 26:14 12 21
W W L W W
4 10 6 1 3 22:18 4 19
W D W L L
5 10 5 2 3 20:19 1 17
W D W W L
6 10 4 4 2 10:8 2 16
D L W D W
7 10 5 1 4 13:20 -7 16
L L W L L
8 10 5 0 5 22:17 5 15
W L W L W
9 10 3 5 2 19:15 4 14
L D L W W
10 10 4 2 4 15:15 0 14
L D L W L
11 10 4 1 5 22:18 4 13
L W D L W
12 10 3 4 3 15:17 -2 13
D L D L W
13 10 4 0 6 15:15 0 12
W W L W L
14 10 3 2 5 14:18 -4 11
W D L W L
15 10 3 2 5 15:22 -7 11
L D L W W
16 10 3 2 5 13:23 -10 11
W D W L W
17 10 2 3 5 16:19 -3 9
L D L L W
18 10 2 2 6 13:25 -12 8
L D L L W
19 10 2 2 6 13:27 -14 8
L D W L L
20 10 2 1 7 16:23 -7 7
L L W W D
Promotion - Eredivisie
Promotion - Eredivisie (Promotion)