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CHINA › SUPER LEAGUE
09.08.2026 11:00
Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium
Referee: Kai He, China
Henan Jianye
Match Timeline
Qingdao Youth Island
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
-5'
Abraham Halik
Henan Jianye
🟨
40'
Abdurasul Abudulam
Henan Jianye
🟨
45+3'
Xiuwei Zhang
Qingdao Youth Island
🔄
46'
Nan Song ↔ N. Da Luz
Qingdao Youth Island
🟨
75'
Yu Dong
Qingdao Youth Island
🔄
80'
Zhong Yihao ↔ Zheng Dalun
Henan Jianye
🔄
85'
X. Zhang ↔ Meng Jingchao
Qingdao Youth Island
🔄
89'
A. Abudulam ↔ Osman Ekber
Henan Jianye
🔄
90+1'
Zhang Chengdong ↔ S. Jin
Qingdao Youth Island
🔄
90+1'
Peng Xinli ↔ Yang Zhanpeng
Qingdao Youth Island

Henan Jianye vs Qingdao Youth Island Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
85.4%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Henan Jianye Win 38.2%
Draw 8.1%
Qingdao Youth Island Win 53.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Henan Jianye1.34
Qingdao Youth Island1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Henan Jianye Henan Jianye
WWDLW
26 GF / 25 GA
Qingdao Youth Island Qingdao Youth Island
WLDWL
27 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.3
Average Goals Scored
1.17
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.39
12
BTTS Yes
15
12
Over 2.5
8
3.9
Shots on Goal
3.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 20 matches
Qingdao Youth Island Qingdao Youth Island 23 matches
Henan Jianye Statistic Qingdao Youth Island
8 Wins 7
4 Draws 11
8 Losses 5
26 Goals For 27
25 Goals Against 32
1.3 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1.39
12 BTTS Yes 15
16 Over 1.5 19
12 Over 2.5 8
2 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 5
3.9 Shots On Goal 3.67
11.9 Total Shots 10.76
5.25 Corners 4.38
51% Ball Possession 44.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Henan Jianye's more proactive style and Qingdao Youth Island's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Qingdao Youth Island. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Henan Jianye expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Qingdao Youth Island in 4-4-1-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Qingdao Youth Island having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Henan Jianye Analysis

Henan Jianye sit 9 with 22 points after 20 league matches. The record of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 26:25 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Bruno Nazário (4 goals), Gustavo (3 goals), Iago Maidana (1 goals), with creative support from Bruno Nazário (2 assists), Maranhão (2 assists), Shangyuan Wang (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Qingdao Youth Island Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 28 points from 20 games, Qingdao Youth Island bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 6 wins, 10 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 24:29, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Nelson Luz (1 goals), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Henan Jianye won 1 times, Qingdao Youth Island won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:6 from Henan Jianye's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.83 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.9%)
Predicted formations: Henan Jianye 4-2-3-1 / Qingdao Youth Island 4-4-1-1
H2H summary: Henan Jianye wins 1, draws 3, Qingdao Youth Island wins 2

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 15 7 6 51:34 17 52
L L D W L
2 28 14 4 10 45:43 2 46
W W W D W
3 28 13 10 5 53:33 20 44
W W D D D
4 28 14 5 9 52:44 8 41
W D D W L
5 28 12 8 8 47:35 12 39
W W D W W
6 28 11 6 11 56:59 -3 39
D L W L D
7 28 8 14 6 31:37 -6 38
L L D D W
8 28 14 5 9 62:48 14 37
W W W L W
9 28 7 12 9 29:34 -5 33
D D L D L
10 28 11 8 9 38:32 6 31
W W W W D
11 28 10 6 12 47:52 -5 31
L L W L W
12 28 8 5 15 37:50 -13 29
L D D L D
13 28 8 5 15 39:48 -9 29
W D L L L
14 28 8 10 10 35:38 -3 28
L D D D D
15 28 5 12 11 41:50 -9 22
L D L D D
16 28 6 3 19 34:60 -26 14
L L L L L
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation