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CHINA › SUPER LEAGUE
29.08.2026 12:00
Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium
Referee: Meng Xiangkun, China
Henan Jianye
Match Timeline
Chongqing Tongliang Long
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
17'
Gustavo · Assist: Bruno Nazario
Henan Jianye
🟨
34'
Gustavo
Henan Jianye
🔄
46'
He Chao ↔ A. Abudulam
Henan Jianye
🔄
46'
Zhang Zhixiong ↔ Lucao
Chongqing Tongliang Long
🔄
57'
Liu Jiale ↔ G. Cimpanu
Chongqing Tongliang Long
🔄
57'
Jin Pengxiang ↔ Li Zhenquan
Chongqing Tongliang Long
🔄
57'
Du Yuezheng ↔ L. Dimata
Chongqing Tongliang Long
⚽
58'
Ruan Qilong · Assist: G. Cimpanu
Chongqing Tongliang Long
🔄
63'
Chen Chunxin ↔ Liu Mingshi
Chongqing Tongliang Long
🔄
77'
Zhong Yihao ↔ Osman Ekber
Henan Jianye
🟨
78'
Lucas Maia
Henan Jianye
🟨
81'
Lucão
Chongqing Tongliang Long
🔄
85'
Ruan Qilong ↔ M. Ngadeu
Chongqing Tongliang Long
🔄
90+1'
Shinar Yeljan ↔ Liu Yixin
Henan Jianye

Henan Jianye vs Chongqing Tongliang Long Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Henan Jianye Win 54%
Draw 8.6%
Chongqing Tongliang Long Win 37.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Henan Jianye1.28
Chongqing Tongliang Long1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Henan Jianye Henan Jianye
WWDLW
31 GF / 33 GA
Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long
WLDWL
25 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.35
Average Goals Scored
1.04
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
14
BTTS Yes
12
14
Over 2.5
8
4.09
Shots on Goal
3.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 23 matches
Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long 24 matches
Henan Jianye Statistic Chongqing Tongliang Long
8 Wins 7
6 Draws 9
9 Losses 8
31 Goals For 25
33 Goals Against 28
1.35 Avg Goals Scored 1.04
1.43 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
14 BTTS Yes 12
18 Over 1.5 14
14 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 6
4 Clean Sheets 8
7 Failed To Score 7
4.09 Shots On Goal 3.17
12.13 Total Shots 9.17
5.35 Corners 3.96
51.1% Ball Possession 48.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Chongqing Tongliang Long. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Chongqing Tongliang Long having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Chongqing Tongliang Long arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Henan Jianye Analysis

So far, Henan Jianye have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 23 points from 22 matches. The record of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 27:29 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Bruno Nazário (4 goals), Gustavo (3 goals), Yihao Zhong (1 goals), with creative support from Bruno Nazário (2 assists), Maranhão (2 assists), Yihao Zhong (1 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Chongqing Tongliang Long Analysis

With 30 points from 23 games and a place of 7, Chongqing Tongliang Long still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 7 wins, 9 draws, and 7 defeats with a 25:27 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Nany Dimata (1 goals), with creative support from Zhang Yingkai (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Henan Jianye won 1 times, Chongqing Tongliang Long won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:3 from Henan Jianye's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.4%)
Predicted formations: Henan Jianye 4-2-3-1 / Chongqing Tongliang Long 4-4-2
H2H summary: Henan Jianye wins 1, draws 2, Chongqing Tongliang Long wins 0

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 15 7 6 51:34 17 52
L L D W L
2 28 14 4 10 45:43 2 46
W W W D W
3 28 13 10 5 53:33 20 44
W W D D D
4 28 14 5 9 52:44 8 41
W D D W L
5 28 12 8 8 47:35 12 39
W W D W W
6 28 11 6 11 56:59 -3 39
D L W L D
7 28 8 14 6 31:37 -6 38
L L D D W
8 28 14 5 9 62:48 14 37
W W W L W
9 28 7 12 9 29:34 -5 33
D D L D L
10 28 11 8 9 38:32 6 31
W W W W D
11 28 10 6 12 47:52 -5 31
L L W L W
12 28 8 5 15 37:50 -13 29
L D D L D
13 28 8 5 15 39:48 -9 29
W D L L L
14 28 8 10 10 35:38 -3 28
L D D D D
15 28 5 12 11 41:50 -9 22
L D L D D
16 28 6 3 19 34:60 -26 14
L L L L L
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation