CHINA SUPER LEAGUE
06.09.2026 11:35
Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium
Referee: Yinhao Shen, China
Henan Jianye
Match Timeline
Chengdu Better City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
36'
Yang Li
Chengdu Better City
🟨
38'
Yang Ming-Yang
Chengdu Better City
🟨
40'
Chao He
Henan Jianye
🟨
44'
Wang Ziming
Chengdu Better City
🟨
45+4'
Maranhão
Henan Jianye
🟨
45+4'
Han Pengfei
Chengdu Better City
🔄
46'
Y. Li ↔ E. Sorokin
Chengdu Better City
🟨
47'
Rômulo
Chengdu Better City
🟨
61'
Wei Shihao
Chengdu Better City
🔄
73'
Zheng Dalun ↔ Zhong Yihao
Henan Jianye
🔄
75'
He Yiran ↔ Wang Dongsheng
Chengdu Better City
🔄
76'
He Chao ↔ Haliq Ablahan
Henan Jianye
🔄
80'
Wang Ziming ↔ Abduweli Behram
Chengdu Better City
🔄
89'
Yang Ming-Yang ↔ Liao Lisheng
Chengdu Better City
🟨
90+5'
Lucas Maia
Henan Jianye
🟨
90+4'
Baihelamu Abuduwaili
Chengdu Better City
🔄
90+1'
Pedro Maranhao ↔ O. Gerbig
Henan Jianye

Henan Jianye vs Chengdu Better City Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 55.9%
Odds 2.70
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.65
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
55.9%
2.70
BTTS Yes
86%
1.50
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.65
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.25
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Henan Jianye Win 28.3%
Draw 15.7%
Chengdu Better City Win 55.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Henan Jianye1.34
Chengdu Better City1.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
Henan Jianye Henan Jianye
WWDLW
32 GF / 34 GA
Chengdu Better City Chengdu Better City
WLDWL
52 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.86
1.42
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
15
BTTS Yes
17
14
Over 2.5
16
4.17
Shots on Goal
5.28

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 24 matches
Chengdu Better City Chengdu Better City 28 matches
Henan Jianye Statistic Chengdu Better City
8 Wins 15
7 Draws 7
9 Losses 6
32 Goals For 52
34 Goals Against 38
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.86
1.42 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
15 BTTS Yes 17
19 Over 1.5 22
14 Over 2.5 16
4 Over 3.5 10
4 Clean Sheets 6
7 Failed To Score 5
4.17 Shots On Goal 5.28
12.21 Total Shots 15.52
5.38 Corners 6.64
51.9% Ball Possession 55.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Chengdu Better City's more proactive style and Henan Jianye's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Chengdu Better City carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 51 points while Henan Jianye sit 12 on 25, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Chengdu Better City. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Henan Jianye Analysis

Henan Jianye are currently 12 in the standings with 25 points from 24 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 32:34 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Gustavo (6 goals), Bruno Nazário (4 goals), Lucas Maia (2 goals), with creative support from Bruno Nazário (4 assists), Maranhão (2 assists), Shangyuan Wang (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Chengdu Better City Analysis

Chengdu Better City arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 51 points after 25 matches. The record of 15 wins, 6 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 51:30 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Felipe Silva (5 goals), Wellington Silva (1 goals), Egor Sorokin (1 goals), with creative support from Wei Shihao (2 assists), Wang Ziming (2 assists), Wellington Silva (1 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Henan Jianye won 3 times, Chengdu Better City won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:14 from Henan Jianye's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.3%)
Predicted formations: Henan Jianye 4-2-3-1 / Chengdu Better City 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Henan Jianye wins 3, draws 3, Chengdu Better City wins 4

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 7 4 51:30 21 52
D W L W L
2 26 12 4 10 38:42 -4 40
W D W D L
3 26 11 10 5 49:33 16 38
D D D W W
4 26 11 5 10 54:51 3 38
W L D W W
5 26 8 14 4 31:32 -1 38
D D W D D
6 26 13 4 9 46:43 3 37
D W L W W
7 26 10 8 8 40:33 7 33
D W W D W
8 26 12 5 9 52:46 6 31
W L W L W
9 26 7 10 9 27:32 -5 31
L D L D L
10 26 10 6 10 45:43 2 31
W L W D L
11 26 8 4 14 34:45 -11 28
D L D W L
12 26 8 9 9 33:35 -2 27
D D D D L
13 26 7 4 15 34:47 -13 25
L L L D L
14 26 9 8 9 36:32 4 25
W W D D L
15 26 5 11 10 39:46 -7 21
L D D W D
16 26 6 3 17 34:53 -19 14
L L L L L
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation