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LITHUANIA › A LYGA
20.09.2026 11:15
Raudondvario stadionas
Referee: M. Lukjancukas
Hegelmann Litauen
Match Timeline
Suduva Marijampole
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
1'
E. Stockunas
Suduva Marijampole
⚽
34'
I. Seck
Suduva Marijampole
🟨
45+1'
R. Sadauskas
Hegelmann Litauen
🟨
68'
Richard
Hegelmann Litauen
🔄
73'
I. Seck ↔ T. Lucky
Suduva Marijampole
🔄
73'
M. Chajia ↔ F. Tangiri
Suduva Marijampole
🔄
74'
D. Kazlauskas ↔ A. Kaulinis
Hegelmann Litauen
🔄
74'
Richard ↔ M. Remeikis
Hegelmann Litauen
🔄
80'
F. Steponavicius ↔ M. Mikulenas
Suduva Marijampole
🔄
80'
V. Armanavicius ↔ D. Slendzoka
Hegelmann Litauen
🔄
80'
E. Kausinis ↔ D. Pasilys
Hegelmann Litauen
🟨
80'
M. Remeikis
Hegelmann Litauen
🟨
83'
D. Slendzoka
Hegelmann Litauen
🔄
85'
V. Radonja ↔ A. Shchedryi
Hegelmann Litauen
🔄
88'
S. M. Sanokho ↔ D. Antanavicius
Suduva Marijampole
⚽
90'
Wesley
Hegelmann Litauen

Hegelmann Litauen vs Suduva Marijampole Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 82%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
82%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Hegelmann Litauen Win 13.4%
Draw 4.6%
Suduva Marijampole Win 82%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hegelmann Litauen1.07
Suduva Marijampole1.62
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen
WWDLW
41 GF / 58 GA
Suduva Marijampole Suduva Marijampole
WLDWL
56 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.11
Average Goals Scored
1.65
1.57
Average Goals Conceded
1
24
BTTS Yes
18
18
Over 2.5
18
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 37 matches
Suduva Marijampole Suduva Marijampole 34 matches
Hegelmann Litauen Statistic Suduva Marijampole
8 Wins 18
15 Draws 11
14 Losses 5
41 Goals For 56
58 Goals Against 34
1.11 Avg Goals Scored 1.65
1.57 Avg Goals Conceded 1
24 BTTS Yes 18
32 Over 1.5 25
18 Over 2.5 18
10 Over 3.5 8
6 Clean Sheets 14
11 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Suduva Marijampole's more proactive style and Hegelmann Litauen's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Suduva Marijampole. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Suduva Marijampole having the stronger overall control. Suduva Marijampole carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 48 points while Hegelmann Litauen sit 8 on 24, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Suduva Marijampole look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Hegelmann Litauen Analysis

Hegelmann Litauen sit 8 with 24 points after 27 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 12 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 30:47 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Suduva Marijampole Analysis

Suduva Marijampole come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 48 points after 26 matches. They have recorded 13 wins, 9 draws, and 4 losses, with a 38:24 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 6 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Hegelmann Litauen won 9 times, Suduva Marijampole won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:19 from Hegelmann Litauen's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
H2H summary: Hegelmann Litauen wins 9, draws 2, Suduva Marijampole wins 4

Standings

A Lyga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 14 9 5 56:20 36 51
W L W W W
2 29 13 11 5 39:29 10 50
L D D L W
3 29 14 5 10 45:34 11 47
W L W D W
4 28 13 6 9 43:35 8 45
W W L W D
5 28 11 8 9 32:28 4 41
W L L D D
6 28 10 8 10 36:40 -4 38
L L D L L
7 28 9 5 14 29:43 -14 32
L W W W L
8 29 4 14 11 31:48 -17 26
D D L D D
9 29 3 8 18 24:58 -34 17
L D L L L
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
L L L L L