NETHERLANDS › EREDIVISIE

25.04.2026 16:45

Heerenveen

2 - 1

Fortuna Sittard

Abe Lenstra Stadion

Referee: E. van de Graaf

Heerenveen

Match Timeline

Fortuna Sittard

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Heerenveen vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 63%

Odds -

BTTS

BTTS Yes

Probability 78.6%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 85.9%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	63%	-	▥
BTTS	BTTS Yes	78.6%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	85.9%	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Heerenveen Win 63%

Draw 4.6%

Fortuna Sittard Win 32.4%

Expected Goals (xG)

Heerenveen1.79

Fortuna Sittard1.55

Recent Form (Last 5)

Heerenveen

WWDLW

53 GF / 50 GA

Fortuna Sittard

WLDWL

44 GF / 55 GA

Key Stats

1.77

Average Goals Scored

1.47

1.67

Average Goals Conceded

1.83

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

5.5

Shots on Goal

4.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Heerenveen 30 matches

Fortuna Sittard 30 matches

Heerenveen	Statistic	Fortuna Sittard
12	Wins	10
8	Draws	6
10	Losses	14
53	Goals For	44
50	Goals Against	55
1.77	Avg Goals Scored	1.47
1.67	Avg Goals Conceded	1.83
21	BTTS Yes	23
29	Over 1.5	26
23	Over 2.5	20
13	Over 3.5	12
3	Clean Sheets	3
6	Failed To Score	4
5.5	Shots On Goal	4.5
15.1	Total Shots	12.77
5.47	Corners	4.5
50.6%	Ball Possession	44.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Heerenveen won 6 times, Fortuna Sittard won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:25 from Heerenveen's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: BTTS Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)

Predicted formations: Heerenveen 4-2-3-1 / Fortuna Sittard 3-4-2-1

Missing players: Heerenveen 3, Fortuna Sittard 8

H2H summary: Heerenveen wins 6, draws 3, Fortuna Sittard wins 6

Standings

Eredivisie

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	PSV Eindhoven	34	27	3	4	101:45	56	84	W W D W W
2	Feyenoord	34	19	8	7	70:44	26	65	W D W W D
3	NEC Nijmegen	34	16	11	7	77:53	24	59	W L D D D
4	Twente	34	15	13	6	59:40	19	58	L W D D W
5	Ajax	34	14	14	6	62:41	21	56	D L D W W
6	Utrecht	34	15	8	11	55:42	13	53	W W W L W
7	AZ Alkmaar	34	14	10	10	58:51	7	52	D D D D W
8	Heerenveen Home	34	14	9	11	57:53	4	51	D L W W L
9	Groningen	34	14	6	14	49:45	4	48	W W L L D
10	Sparta Rotterdam	34	12	7	15	40:62	-22	43	L L D L L
11	Fortuna Sittard Away	34	11	6	17	49:63	-14	39	L W L L D
12	GO Ahead Eagles	34	8	14	12	54:53	1	38	L L D D D
13	Excelsior	34	10	8	16	43:56	-13	38	W D W W D
14	Telstar	34	9	10	15	49:55	-6	37	W W D W L
15	PEC Zwolle	34	9	10	15	44:71	-27	37	L L W L D
16	FC Volendam	34	8	8	18	35:55	-20	32	L D L W L
17	NAC Breda	34	6	11	17	35:58	-23	29	D W L L D
18	Heracles	34	5	4	25	35:85	-50	19	L L L L L