NETHERLANDS › EREDIVISIE
16.10.2026 18:00
Abe Lenstra Stadion

Heerenveen vs Excelsior Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Heerenveen Win 0%
Draw 0%
Excelsior Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Heerenveen2.06
Excelsior2.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Heerenveen Heerenveen
WWDLW
28 GF / 19 GA
Excelsior Excelsior
WLDWL
33 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
2.55
Average Goals Scored
2.75
1.73
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
7
BTTS Yes
9
8
Over 2.5
11
6
Shots on Goal
4.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Heerenveen Heerenveen 11 matches
Excelsior Excelsior 12 matches
Heerenveen Statistic Excelsior
5 Wins 8
4 Draws 2
2 Losses 2
28 Goals For 33
19 Goals Against 16
2.55 Avg Goals Scored 2.75
1.73 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
7 BTTS Yes 9
9 Over 1.5 12
8 Over 2.5 11
8 Over 3.5 7
3 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 0
6 Shots On Goal 4.71
16 Total Shots 11.29
5.14 Corners 4.29
54% Ball Possession 40.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Heerenveen won 8 times, Excelsior won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:19 from Heerenveen's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.79 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Heerenveen 4-2-3-1 / Excelsior 4-3-3
H2H summary: Heerenveen wins 8, draws 2, Excelsior wins 4

Standings

Eredivisie
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 6 1 0 18:6 12 19
W D W W W
2 7 5 2 0 25:7 18 17
W W W D W
3 7 5 1 1 24:10 14 16
L W W W W
4 7 5 1 1 15:7 8 16
W W W D W
5 7 4 2 1 21:9 12 14
D W W L W
6 7 4 1 2 13:14 -1 13
W L W W L
7 7 3 2 2 15:9 6 11
D L D W W
8 7 3 2 2 15:13 2 11
W D D L L
9 7 2 4 1 16:14 2 10
D D D L W
10 7 2 3 2 11:9 2 9
W D L D L
11 7 2 2 3 12:13 -1 8
D L D L W
12 7 1 2 4 10:17 -7 5
L L D L D
13 7 1 2 4 5:12 -7 5
L D L D L
14 7 1 2 4 10:19 -9 5
D W D L L
15 7 1 2 4 11:24 -13 5
L W D L D
16 7 1 1 5 6:20 -14 4
L L D L W
17 7 0 2 5 7:17 -10 2
D L L D L
18 7 0 2 5 6:20 -14 2
L L D L D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie