Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Heerenveen Win 0%
Draw 0%
Excelsior Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Heerenveen2.51
Excelsior2.77
Recent Form (Last 5)
Heerenveen
WWDLW
20 GF / 12 GA
Excelsior
WLDWL
23 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
3.33
Average Goals Scored
3.29
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
5
BTTS Yes
5
5
Over 2.5
6
6
Shots on Goal
5.5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Heerenveen
6 matches
Excelsior
7 matches
| Heerenveen | Statistic | Excelsior |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 6 |
| 2 | Draws | 0 |
| 0 | Losses | 1 |
| 20 | Goals For | 23 |
| 12 | Goals Against | 9 |
| 3.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 3.29 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.29 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 5 | Over 1.5 | 7 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots On Goal | 5.5 |
| 10.5 | Total Shots | 11.5 |
| 3 | Corners | 4.5 |
| 46% | Ball Possession | 47% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Heerenveen won 8 times, Excelsior won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:19 from Heerenveen's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.79 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Heerenveen 4-2-3-1 / Excelsior 4-3-3
H2H summary: Heerenveen wins 8, draws 2, Excelsior wins 4
Last matches: Heerenveen
16.08.26
Ere
Heerenveen
Ajax
2
2
D
09.08.26
Ere
Heerenveen
Twente
1
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Heerenveen
Volos NFC
3
2
W
25.07.26
Fri
Heerenveen
OH Leuven
4
4
D
17.07.26
Fri
Heerenveen
Club Brugge KV
3
2
W
03.07.26
Fri
Heerenveen
De Graafschap
7
2
W
21.05.26
Ere
Heerenveen
Utrecht
2
3
L
17.05.26
Ere
Heerenveen
Ajax
0
0
D
11.05.26
Ere
Heerenveen
NAC Breda
0
2
L
03.05.26
Ere
Heerenveen
FC Volendam
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ere
Heerenveen
Fortuna Sittard
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ere
Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar
0
3
L
05.04.26
Ere
Heerenveen
Heracles
4
1
W
22.03.26
Ere
Heerenveen
NEC Nijmegen
2
2
D
14.03.26
Ere
Heerenveen
Telstar
3
0
W
07.03.26
Ere
Heerenveen
Excelsior
2
1
W
28.02.26
Ere
Heerenveen
Sparta Rotterdam
2
1
W
21.02.26
Ere
Heerenveen
PSV Eindhoven
1
3
L
15.02.26
Ere
Heerenveen
PEC Zwolle
4
2
W
11.02.26
Ere
Heerenveen
GO Ahead Eagles
3
1
W
Last matches: Excelsior
15.08.26
Ere
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
1
2
L
07.08.26
Ere
Excelsior
Cambuur
4
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Excelsior
De Graafschap
5
1
W
24.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
Heracles
5
3
W
18.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
NAC Breda
3
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
Dordrecht
2
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
Cambuur
3
2
W
17.05.26
Ere
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam
3
2
W
10.05.26
Ere
Excelsior
FC Volendam
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ere
Excelsior
Groningen
3
2
W
26.04.26
Ere
Excelsior
Utrecht
5
0
W
12.04.26
Ere
Excelsior
PEC Zwolle
2
2
D
04.04.26
Ere
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
0
2
L
20.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
Heracles
1
1
D
15.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
Feyenoord
1
2
L
07.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
Heerenveen
1
2
L
01.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
GO Ahead Eagles
0
1
L
20.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
Fortuna Sittard
1
2
L
14.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
1
2
L
06.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
NAC Breda
2
0
W
H2H: Heerenveen vs Excelsior
07.03.26
H2H
Excelsior
Heerenveen
1
2
W
04.10.25
H2H
Heerenveen
Excelsior
2
1
W
19.01.24
H2H
Excelsior
Heerenveen
3
0
L
23.09.23
H2H
Heerenveen
Excelsior
0
3
L
13.05.23
H2H
Heerenveen
Excelsior
0
0
D
22.12.22
H2H
Excelsior
Heerenveen
0
0
D
05.11.22
H2H
Excelsior
Heerenveen
0
1
W
30.07.22
H2H
Heerenveen
Excelsior
3
1
W
30.10.19
H2H
Excelsior
Heerenveen
0
3
W
30.03.19
H2H
Heerenveen
Excelsior
1
0
W
22.09.18
H2H
Excelsior
Heerenveen
3
3
D
24.02.18
H2H
Heerenveen
Excelsior
0
1
L
20.09.17
H2H
Excelsior
Heerenveen
1
2
W
16.09.17
H2H
Excelsior
Heerenveen
1
2
W
11.03.17
H2H
Excelsior
Heerenveen
4
1
L
Last matches: Heerenveen
09.08.26
Ere
Heerenveen
Twente
1
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Heerenveen
Volos NFC
3
2
W
25.07.26
Fri
Heerenveen
OH Leuven
4
4
D
03.07.26
Fri
Heerenveen
De Graafschap
7
2
W
17.05.26
Ere
Heerenveen
Ajax
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ere
Heerenveen
Fortuna Sittard
2
1
W
05.04.26
Ere
Heerenveen
Heracles
4
1
W
14.03.26
Ere
Heerenveen
Telstar
3
0
W
28.02.26
Ere
Heerenveen
Sparta Rotterdam
2
1
W
15.02.26
Ere
Heerenveen
PEC Zwolle
4
2
W
01.02.26
Ere
Heerenveen
Utrecht
1
1
D
18.01.26
Ere
Heerenveen
Groningen
0
2
L
11.01.26
Ere
Heerenveen
Feyenoord
2
2
D
06.12.25
Ere
Heerenveen
PSV Eindhoven
0
2
L
23.11.25
Ere
Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar
3
1
W
24.10.25
Ere
Heerenveen
NAC Breda
3
3
D
04.10.25
Ere
Heerenveen
Excelsior
2
1
W
21.09.25
Ere
Heerenveen
NEC Nijmegen
3
2
W
30.08.25
Ere
Heerenveen
GO Ahead Eagles
2
2
D
24.08.25
Ere
Heerenveen
Twente
1
2
L
H2H at home: Heerenveen
04.10.25
H2H
Heerenveen
Excelsior
2
1
W
23.09.23
H2H
Heerenveen
Excelsior
0
3
L
13.05.23
H2H
Heerenveen
Excelsior
0
0
D
30.07.22
H2H
Heerenveen
Excelsior
3
1
W
30.03.19
H2H
Heerenveen
Excelsior
1
0
W
24.02.18
H2H
Heerenveen
Excelsior
0
1
L
Last matches: Excelsior
07.08.26
Ere
Excelsior
Cambuur
4
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Excelsior
De Graafschap
5
1
W
24.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
Heracles
5
3
W
18.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
NAC Breda
3
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
Dordrecht
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ere
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam
3
2
W
02.05.26
Ere
Excelsior
Groningen
3
2
W
12.04.26
Ere
Excelsior
PEC Zwolle
2
2
D
20.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
Heracles
1
1
D
15.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
Feyenoord
1
2
L
20.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
Fortuna Sittard
1
2
L
06.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
NAC Breda
2
0
W
24.01.26
Ere
Excelsior
Twente
0
0
D
21.01.26
Ere
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
1
1
D
10.01.26
Ere
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
1
5
L
22.11.25
Ere
Excelsior
Ajax
2
1
W
01.11.25
Ere
Excelsior
Telstar
2
2
D
26.10.25
Ere
Excelsior
GO Ahead Eagles
0
2
L
04.10.25
Ere
Excelsior
Heerenveen
1
2
L
20.09.25
Ere
Excelsior
FC Volendam
2
1
W
H2H away: Excelsior
04.10.25
H2H
Heerenveen
Excelsior
2
1
L
23.09.23
H2H
Heerenveen
Excelsior
0
3
W
13.05.23
H2H
Heerenveen
Excelsior
0
0
D
30.07.22
H2H
Heerenveen
Excelsior
3
1
L
30.03.19
H2H
Heerenveen
Excelsior
1
0
L
24.02.18
H2H
Heerenveen
Excelsior
0
1
W
Standings
Eredivisie
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 4 |
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 4 |
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
W
D
|
|
| 7 |
Heerenveen
Home
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
D
W
|
| 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
D
W
|
|
| 9 |
Excelsior
Away
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 3 |
L
W
|
| 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:8 | -6 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie