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NETHERLANDS › EREDIVISIE
06.09.2026 12:30
Abe Lenstra Stadion
Referee: Jeroen Manschot, Netherlands
Heerenveen
Match Timeline
AZ Alkmaar
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
7'
R. Daal · Assist: W. Goes
AZ Alkmaar
⚽
21'
N. Courtens · Assist: D. Vente
Heerenveen
🟨
28'
Nolhan Courtens
Heerenveen
⚽
30'
R. Meerveld · Assist: D. Proper
Heerenveen
🔄
46'
M. Chavez Garcia ↔ M. de Wit
AZ Alkmaar
🔄
46'
Weslley Patati ↔ C. Stengs
AZ Alkmaar
🟨
54'
Ro-Zangelo Daal
AZ Alkmaar
🔄
64'
J. Clasie ↔ V. Byskov
AZ Alkmaar
🔄
68'
D. Vente ↔ R. Uldrikis
Heerenveen
🔄
68'
M. Rivera ↔ L. Oyen
Heerenveen
🔄
68'
E. Dijkstra ↔ S. Maikuma
AZ Alkmaar
⚽
69'
M. Meerdink · Assist: V. Byskov
AZ Alkmaar
🔄
74'
D. Proper ↔ L. Smans
Heerenveen
🔄
82'
R. Daal ↔ A. Oufkir
AZ Alkmaar
⚽
83'
A. Oufkir · Assist: M. Meerdink
AZ Alkmaar
🔄
88'
N. Courtens ↔ H. Petrov
Heerenveen
🟨
90+1'
Ayoub Oufkir
AZ Alkmaar

Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 51.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
51.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Heerenveen Win 37.7%
Draw 10.5%
AZ Alkmaar Win 51.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Heerenveen2.09
AZ Alkmaar2.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Heerenveen Heerenveen
WWDLW
22 GF / 16 GA
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
WLDWL
26 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
2.75
Average Goals Scored
2.6
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.1
6
BTTS Yes
6
6
Over 2.5
6
5.5
Shots on Goal
8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Heerenveen Heerenveen 8 matches
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 10 matches
Heerenveen Statistic AZ Alkmaar
4 Wins 7
3 Draws 2
1 Losses 1
22 Goals For 26
16 Goals Against 11
2.75 Avg Goals Scored 2.6
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.1
6 BTTS Yes 6
7 Over 1.5 9
6 Over 2.5 6
6 Over 3.5 5
1 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 1
5.5 Shots On Goal 8
13 Total Shots 20.75
4.5 Corners 10.25
54.3% Ball Possession 57.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Heerenveen won 3 times, AZ Alkmaar won 10 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:41 from Heerenveen's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.87 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.5%)
Predicted formations: Heerenveen 4-2-3-1 / AZ Alkmaar 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Heerenveen 3, AZ Alkmaar 2
H2H summary: Heerenveen wins 3, draws 2, AZ Alkmaar wins 10

Standings

Eredivisie
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 6 2 0 27:7 20 20
W W W W D
2 8 6 1 1 26:10 16 19
W L W W W
3 8 6 1 1 18:8 10 19
L W D W W
4 8 5 2 1 16:8 8 17
D W W W D
5 8 4 3 1 22:10 12 15
D D W W L
6 8 4 2 2 20:14 6 14
W W D D L
7 8 4 2 2 14:15 -1 14
D W L W W
8 8 2 5 1 19:17 2 11
D D D D L
9 8 3 2 3 16:14 2 11
L D L D W
10 8 2 3 3 11:11 0 9
L W D L D
11 8 2 3 3 13:14 -1 9
D D L D L
12 8 2 2 4 11:19 -8 8
W D W D L
13 8 2 2 4 14:25 -11 8
W L W D L
14 8 1 3 4 13:20 -7 6
D L L D L
15 8 1 3 4 7:14 -7 6
D L D L D
16 8 1 1 6 6:21 -15 4
L L L D L
17 8 0 3 5 9:19 -10 3
D D L L D
18 8 0 2 6 7:23 -16 2
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie