Heerenveen
Match Timeline
AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Away Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
51.8%
|
1.87 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
1.40 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
1.40 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.13 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
5.00 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
9.00 |
Probability Distribution
Heerenveen Win 37.7%
Draw 10.5%
AZ Alkmaar Win 51.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Heerenveen2.09
AZ Alkmaar2.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Heerenveen
WWDLW
22 GF / 16 GA
AZ Alkmaar
WLDWL
26 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
2.75
Average Goals Scored
2.6
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.1
6
BTTS Yes
6
6
Over 2.5
6
5.5
Shots on Goal
8
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Heerenveen
8 matches
AZ Alkmaar
10 matches
| Heerenveen | Statistic | AZ Alkmaar |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 7 |
| 3 | Draws | 2 |
| 1 | Losses | 1 |
| 22 | Goals For | 26 |
| 16 | Goals Against | 11 |
| 2.75 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.6 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.1 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 9 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 5.5 | Shots On Goal | 8 |
| 13 | Total Shots | 20.75 |
| 4.5 | Corners | 10.25 |
| 54.3% | Ball Possession | 57.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Heerenveen won 3 times, AZ Alkmaar won 10 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:41 from Heerenveen's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.87 goals per game.
1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.5%)
Predicted formations: Heerenveen 4-2-3-1 / AZ Alkmaar 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Heerenveen 3, AZ Alkmaar 2
H2H summary: Heerenveen wins 3, draws 2, AZ Alkmaar wins 10
Standings
Eredivisie
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22:7 | 15 | 16 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
AZ Alkmaar
Away
|
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17:6 | 11 | 16 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20:7 | 13 | 14 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 21:9 | 12 | 14 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 13 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13:14 | -1 | 13 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 11 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:13 | 2 | 11 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 15:13 | 2 | 9 |
D
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 10 |
Heerenveen
Home
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 9 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
| 11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 7 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 12 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 5 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11:19 | -8 | 5 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:17 | -7 | 5 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:19 | -9 | 5 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:20 | -14 | 4 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7:17 | -10 | 2 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6:20 | -14 | 2 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie