Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
72.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
86.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
67.8%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Heart Of Midlothian
Falkirk
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Heart Of Midlothian
36 matches
Falkirk
36 matches
| Heart Of Midlothian | Statistic | Falkirk |
|---|---|---|
| 23 | Wins | 14 |
| 8 | Draws | 7 |
| 5 | Losses | 15 |
| 63 | Goals For | 48 |
| 31 | Goals Against | 54 |
| 1.75 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 0.86 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 26 |
| 18 | Over 2.5 | 20 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 16 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 5.19 | Shots On Goal | 3.89 |
| 14.44 | Total Shots | 12.11 |
| 5.58 | Corners | 4.72 |
| 53.6% | Ball Possession | 51.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Heart Of Midlothian's more proactive style and Falkirk's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Falkirk. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Heart Of Midlothian expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Falkirk in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Falkirk having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Falkirk arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Heart Of Midlothian arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 77 points compared to Falkirk in 6 on 49, which underlines the gap in season consistency.
Heart Of Midlothian approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 77 points after 36 outings. They have recorded 23 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses, with a 63:31 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on L. Shankland (15 goals), Cláudio Braga (14 goals), P. Kabore (5 goals), with creative support from Alexandros Kyziridis (6 assists), Harry Milne (6 assists), L. Shankland (3 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 14 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Falkirk sit 6 with 49 points after 36 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 14 wins, 7 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 48:54 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on B. Stewart (8 goals), C. Miller (6 goals), B. Broggio (5 goals), with creative support from C. Miller (9 assists), E. Williams (3 assists), Leon McCann (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Heart Of Midlothian won 9 times, Falkirk won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:8 from Heart Of Midlothian's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.83 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Heart Of Midlothian
Home
|
33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 58:28 | 30 | 70 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
| 2 | 33 | 19 | 12 | 2 | 66:31 | 35 | 69 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 3 | 33 | 21 | 4 | 8 | 59:35 | 24 | 67 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 52:29 | 23 | 54 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 51:37 | 14 | 51 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 |
Falkirk
Away
|
33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 45:48 | -3 | 46 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
| 7 | 33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 45:54 | -9 | 40 |
D
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 33:48 | -15 | 33 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 34:53 | -19 | 33 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 27:48 | -21 | 30 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 37:65 | -28 | 28 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 33 | 1 | 13 | 19 | 35:66 | -31 | 16 |
L
D
L
D
W
|