SCOTLAND › PREMIERSHIP
13.05.2026 19:00
Tynecastle Park
Referee: N. Walsh
Heart Of Midlothian
Match Timeline
Falkirk
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
16'
Blair Spittal
Heart Of Midlothian
⚽
29'
F. Kent · Assist: A. Kyziridis
Heart Of Midlothian
⚽
34'
C. Devlin
Heart Of Midlothian
🔄
46'
H. Milne ↔ S. Kingsley
Heart Of Midlothian
🔄
46'
D. Tait ↔ R. MacIver
Falkirk
🔄
46'
K. Wilson ↔ B. Parkinson
Falkirk
🟨
52'
Calvin Miller
Falkirk
🔄
56'
C. Miller ↔ E. Ross
Falkirk
🔄
67'
C. Devlin ↔ J. Altena
Heart Of Midlothian
🔄
75'
F. Yeats ↔ H. Cartwright
Falkirk
🟨
76'
Brad Spencer
Falkirk
🟨
82'
Liam Henderson
Falkirk
🔄
83'
A. Kyziridis ↔ S. Kerjota
Heart Of Midlothian
🔄
83'
C. Braga ↔ P. Kabore
Heart Of Midlothian
⚽
86'
B. Spittal · Assist: M. Steinwender
Heart Of Midlothian
🔄
90+3'
B. Spittal ↔ A. Forrest
Heart Of Midlothian

Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 67.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.5%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
86.7%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
67.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Heart Of Midlothian Win 72.5%
Draw 6.4%
Falkirk Win 21.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Heart Of Midlothian1.65
Falkirk1.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian
WWDLW
63 GF / 31 GA
Falkirk Falkirk
WLDWL
48 GF / 54 GA
Key Stats
1.75
Average Goals Scored
1.33
0.86
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
17
BTTS Yes
19
18
Over 2.5
20
5.19
Shots on Goal
3.89

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 36 matches
Falkirk Falkirk 36 matches
Heart Of Midlothian Statistic Falkirk
23 Wins 14
8 Draws 7
5 Losses 15
63 Goals For 48
31 Goals Against 54
1.75 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
0.86 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
17 BTTS Yes 19
25 Over 1.5 26
18 Over 2.5 20
10 Over 3.5 12
16 Clean Sheets 9
4 Failed To Score 10
5.19 Shots On Goal 3.89
14.44 Total Shots 12.11
5.58 Corners 4.72
53.6% Ball Possession 51.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Heart Of Midlothian's more proactive style and Falkirk's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Falkirk. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Heart Of Midlothian expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Falkirk in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Falkirk having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Falkirk arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Heart Of Midlothian arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 77 points compared to Falkirk in 6 on 49, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Heart Of Midlothian Analysis

Heart Of Midlothian approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 77 points after 36 outings. They have recorded 23 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses, with a 63:31 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on L. Shankland (15 goals), Cláudio Braga (14 goals), P. Kabore (5 goals), with creative support from Alexandros Kyziridis (6 assists), Harry Milne (6 assists), L. Shankland (3 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 14 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Falkirk Analysis

Falkirk sit 6 with 49 points after 36 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 14 wins, 7 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 48:54 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on B. Stewart (8 goals), C. Miller (6 goals), B. Broggio (5 goals), with creative support from C. Miller (9 assists), E. Williams (3 assists), Leon McCann (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Heart Of Midlothian won 9 times, Falkirk won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:8 from Heart Of Midlothian's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.83 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.6%)
Predicted formations: Heart Of Midlothian 3-4-1-2 / Falkirk 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Heart Of Midlothian wins 9, draws 1, Falkirk wins 2

Standings

Premiership
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 21 7 5 58:28 30 70
L W D W W
2 33 19 12 2 66:31 35 69
W L L L L
3 33 21 4 8 59:35 24 67
W W W W W
4 33 14 12 7 52:29 23 54
W L D L W
5 33 13 12 8 51:37 14 51
L W W L L
6 33 13 7 13 45:48 -3 46
L L L W L
7 33 9 13 11 45:54 -9 40
D D L L W
8 33 9 6 18 33:48 -15 33
L L W D W
9 33 8 9 16 34:53 -19 33
W L W W L
10 33 7 9 17 27:48 -21 30
W D D W L
11 33 6 10 17 37:65 -28 28
W W W W L
12 33 1 13 19 35:66 -31 16
L D L D W
Championship round
Relegation Round