DENMARK 1. DIVISION
21.09.2026 17:00
Capelli Sport Stadion

HB Koge vs Hobro Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 66.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
66.4%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
HB Koge Win 28.2%
Draw 5.5%
Hobro Win 66.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
HB Koge1.34
Hobro1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
HB Koge HB Koge
WWDLW
23 GF / 31 GA
Hobro Hobro
WLDWL
24 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.28
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.72
Average Goals Conceded
1.44
9
BTTS Yes
10
9
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

HB Koge HB Koge 18 matches
Hobro Hobro 18 matches
HB Koge Statistic Hobro
3 Wins 7
8 Draws 3
7 Losses 8
23 Goals For 24
31 Goals Against 26
1.28 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.72 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44
9 BTTS Yes 10
14 Over 1.5 14
9 Over 2.5 11
7 Over 3.5 6
4 Clean Sheets 5
7 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Hobro. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Hobro carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 13 points while HB Koge sit 12 on 4, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Hobro having the stronger overall control.

HB Koge Analysis

HB Koge sit 12 with 4 points after 8 league matches. The record of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 6:15 goal balance, points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Hobro Analysis

Hobro come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 13 points from 8 matches. The record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 10:11 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, HB Koge won 5 times, Hobro won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:21 from HB Koge's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.5%)
Predicted formations: HB Koge 3-4-3 / Hobro -
H2H summary: HB Koge wins 5, draws 3, Hobro wins 7

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 5 3 0 20:11 9 18
D W D W W
2 8 5 3 0 15:8 7 18
D W W D W
3 8 3 4 1 10:4 6 13
D W L D W
4 8 3 4 1 9:6 3 13
D W D D D
5
Hobro Away
8 4 1 3 10:11 -1 13
D L L W W
6 8 3 3 2 9:9 0 12
D W D L L
7 8 2 3 3 8:12 -4 9
D L W W L
8 8 2 2 4 12:13 -1 8
W D W L D
9 8 1 4 3 9:11 -2 7
D L W D L
10 8 1 3 4 8:10 -2 6
L L L D W
11 8 1 2 5 10:16 -6 5
D L L L L
12 8 0 4 4 6:15 -9 4
D D D D L
Promotion Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs