Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
83.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
68.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
86.2%
|
- |
Hatayspor
Sakaryaspor
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Hatayspor
35 matches
Sakaryaspor
34 matches
| Hatayspor | Statistic | Sakaryaspor |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 8 |
| 7 | Draws | 9 |
| 27 | Losses | 17 |
| 27 | Goals For | 44 |
| 96 | Goals Against | 59 |
| 0.77 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 2.74 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.74 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 33 | Over 1.5 | 30 |
| 27 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 18 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 16 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 2.26 | Shots On Goal | 3.97 |
| 7.14 | Total Shots | 10.76 |
| 2.54 | Corners | 4.09 |
| 45.9% | Ball Possession | 46.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Sakaryaspor. Sakaryaspor carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 18 with 33 points while Hatayspor sit 19 on 10, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Hatayspor expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Sakaryaspor in 4-1-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sakaryaspor having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Hatayspor approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 10 points from 35 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 7 draws, and 27 losses, together with goals at 27:96, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through F. Bamgboye (3 goals), G. Saglam (3 goals), J. Okoronkwo (3 goals), with creative support from F. Bamgboye (2 assists), J. Okoronkwo (2 assists), Oguzhan Matur (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 4 draws, and 12 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Sakaryaspor sit 18 with 33 points after 35 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 8 wins, 9 draws, and 18 defeats with a 43:60 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on G. Kakuta (8 goals), W. Ben Yedder (5 goals), Łukasz Zwoliński (4 goals), with creative support from S. Yavuz (4 assists), Caner Erkin (4 assists), G. Kakuta (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Hatayspor won 2 times, Sakaryaspor won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:5 from Hatayspor's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.25 goals per game.
Hatayspor
5
6
5
3
1
2
Lineups
Hatayspor
Vanspor FK
Hatayspor
Serik Spor
Hatayspor
Sarıyer
Hatayspor
Adana Demirspor
Hatayspor
Pendikspor
Hatayspor
Amed
Hatayspor
Erzurumspor FK
Hatayspor
Sivasspor
Hatayspor
Çorum FK
Hatayspor
Bodrum FK
Hatayspor
Bandırmaspor
Hatayspor
Iğdır FK
Hatayspor
Boluspor
Hatayspor
Esenler Erokspor
Hatayspor
İstanbulspor
Hatayspor
Ümraniyespor
Hatayspor
Manisa F.K.
Hatayspor
Keçiörengücü
Hatayspor
Vanspor FK
Hatayspor
Serik Spor
Sakaryaspor
Manisa F.K.
Sakaryaspor
Çorum FK
Sakaryaspor
Esenler Erokspor
Sakaryaspor
Ümraniyespor
Sakaryaspor
İstanbulspor
Sakaryaspor
Serik Spor
Sakaryaspor
Vanspor FK
Sakaryaspor
Keçiörengücü
Sakaryaspor
Adana Demirspor
Sakaryaspor
Sarıyer
Sakaryaspor
Sivasspor
Sakaryaspor
Pendikspor
Sakaryaspor
Amed
Sakaryaspor
Erzurumspor FK
Sakaryaspor
Boluspor
Sakaryaspor
Bodrum FK
Sakaryaspor
Iğdır FK
Sakaryaspor
Bandırmaspor
Sakaryaspor
Manisa F.K.
Sakaryaspor
Çorum FK
Hatayspor
Vanspor FK
Hatayspor
Adana Demirspor
Hatayspor
Amed
Hatayspor
Sivasspor
Hatayspor
Bodrum FK
Hatayspor
Iğdır FK
Hatayspor
Esenler Erokspor
Hatayspor
Ümraniyespor
Hatayspor
Manisa F.K.
Hatayspor
Serik Spor
Hatayspor
Sarıyer
Hatayspor
Pendikspor
Hatayspor
Erzurumspor FK
Hatayspor
Çorum FK
Hatayspor
Bandırmaspor
Hatayspor
Boluspor
Hatayspor
İstanbulspor
Hatayspor
Keçiörengücü
Sakaryaspor
Manisa F.K.
Sakaryaspor
Ümraniyespor
Sakaryaspor
Serik Spor
Sakaryaspor
Keçiörengücü
Sakaryaspor
Sivasspor
Sakaryaspor
Amed
Sakaryaspor
Boluspor
Sakaryaspor
Iğdır FK
Sakaryaspor
Çorum FK
Sakaryaspor
Esenler Erokspor
Sakaryaspor
İstanbulspor
Sakaryaspor
Vanspor FK
Sakaryaspor
Adana Demirspor
Sakaryaspor
Sarıyer
Sakaryaspor
Pendikspor
Sakaryaspor
Erzurumspor FK
Sakaryaspor
Bodrum FK
Sakaryaspor
Bandırmaspor
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 82:27 | 55 | 81 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 81:42 | 39 | 74 |
D
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 81:35 | 46 | 74 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 63:39 | 24 | 71 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 71:39 | 32 | 64 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 58:33 | 25 | 63 |
L
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 73:43 | 30 | 60 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 47:34 | 13 | 60 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 57:56 | 1 | 55 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 47:43 | 4 | 53 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 57:55 | 2 | 52 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 44:44 | 0 | 52 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 52:54 | -2 | 50 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 52:47 | 5 | 49 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 61:57 | 4 | 48 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 47:51 | -4 | 46 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 44:75 | -31 | 39 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 18 |
Sakaryaspor
Away
|
38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 45:72 | -27 | 34 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
| 19 |
Hatayspor
Home
|
38 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 33:102 | -69 | 14 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
| 20 | 38 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 22:169 | -147 | -57 |
L
L
L
L
L
|