ENGLAND NATIONAL LEAGUE
12.09.2026 11:30
Exercise Stadium

Harrogate Town vs Tamworth Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.2%
Odds 1.78
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 88%
Odds 1.53
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.2%
1.78
BTTS Yes
88%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
88%
1.53
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.75
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Harrogate Town Win 69.2%
Draw 4.2%
Tamworth Win 26.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Harrogate Town2.19
Tamworth1.71
Recent Form (Last 5)
Harrogate Town Harrogate Town
WWDLW
24 GF / 14 GA
Tamworth Tamworth
WLDWL
28 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
2.18
Average Goals Scored
2
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
2.21
9
BTTS Yes
13
9
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 11 matches
Tamworth Tamworth 14 matches
Harrogate Town Statistic Tamworth
8 Wins 5
2 Draws 4
1 Losses 5
24 Goals For 28
14 Goals Against 31
2.18 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 2.21
9 BTTS Yes 13
10 Over 1.5 14
9 Over 2.5 13
5 Over 3.5 10
2 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Harrogate Town's more proactive style and Tamworth's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Tamworth arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Tamworth. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Tamworth having the stronger overall control. Harrogate Town arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 10 points compared to Tamworth in 20 on 4, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Harrogate Town Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 10 points from 5 games, Harrogate Town bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, with a 13:9 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Tamworth Analysis

With 4 points from 5 games and a place of 20, Tamworth still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 10:14, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.9%)

Standings

Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 1 0 16:8 8 16
W W W W W
2 6 4 1 1 15:9 6 13
W W L D W
3 6 4 1 1 12:8 4 13
W D L W W
4 6 4 0 2 10:8 2 12
L W W L W
5 6 4 0 2 7:6 1 12
L L W W W
6 6 3 2 1 13:9 4 11
D W W L W
7 6 3 2 1 12:8 4 11
L W W W D
8 6 3 2 1 10:7 3 11
W D W D W
9 6 3 2 1 7:4 3 11
W D W D L
10 6 3 1 2 8:7 1 10
L D W W L
11 6 3 0 3 5:4 1 9
W L L L W
12 6 3 0 3 7:8 -1 9
W W W L L
13 6 3 0 3 7:10 -3 9
W L L L W
14 6 2 2 2 13:10 3 8
L W D W D
15 6 2 1 3 8:8 0 7
D L L W W
16 6 2 1 3 11:12 -1 7
D L L W L
17 6 2 0 4 9:10 -1 6
L W L W L
18 6 1 2 3 8:9 -1 5
W D L D L
19 6 1 2 3 12:16 -4 5
D L W L L
20 6 1 2 3 7:11 -4 5
L W D L L
21 6 1 1 4 8:12 -4 4
L L W L L
22 6 1 1 4 5:9 -4 4
D L L L W
23 6 1 1 4 4:10 -6 4
L D L W L
24 6 0 1 5 6:17 -11 1
D L L L L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation