EGYPT PREMIER LEAGUE
07.05.2026 17:00
Harras El Hodood Stadium
Referee: M. Nasef
Haras El Hodood
Match Timeline
Masr
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
11'
Abdel Rahman Emad
Masr
18'
A. Emad · Assist: Y. Osama Nabih
Masr
25'
I. Abou-Salima · Assist: M. Ashraf
Haras El Hodood
45'
A. Bakri
Masr
🟨
46'
Sulahmana Mamadu Bah
Masr
🔄
46'
M. Awad ↔ F. El Henawy
Haras El Hodood
🔄
46'
R. Khalil ↔ M. Bah
Masr
🔄
46'
A. Bakri ↔ A. Gamal
Masr
🔄
66'
Y. Osama Nabih ↔ S. Ibrahim
Masr
🔄
66'
M. Yasser ↔ Z. El Sayed
Masr
🟨
68'
Abdallah Ahmed Hafez
Haras El Hodood
🔄
71'
M. Ashraf ↔ M. Gyabaah
Haras El Hodood
🔄
72'
A. Emad ↔ K. Gomaa
Masr
🔄
73'
A. Hafez ↔ M. El Negely
Haras El Hodood
🔄
83'
I. Abou-Salima ↔ M. Magli
Haras El Hodood
🔄
83'
O. Saviola ↔ Z. Tarek
Haras El Hodood
🟨
90+1'
Mahmoud Ouka
Haras El Hodood
🟨
90+7'
Sulahmana Mamadu Bah
Masr
🟨
90+5'
Mohamed Mazzika
Masr
🟥
90+7'
Sulahmana Mamadu Bah
Masr

Haras El Hodood vs Masr Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 27.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 49%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
27.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
49%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
86.6%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Haras El Hodood Win 26.8%
Draw 19.5%
Masr Win 53.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Haras El Hodood0.81
Masr1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood
WWDLW
21 GF / 39 GA
Masr Masr
WLDWL
31 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
0.75
Average Goals Scored
1.11
1.39
Average Goals Conceded
0.89
13
BTTS Yes
15
11
Over 2.5
10
2.79
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 28 matches
Masr Masr 28 matches
Haras El Hodood Statistic Masr
4 Wins 10
10 Draws 10
14 Losses 8
21 Goals For 31
39 Goals Against 25
0.75 Avg Goals Scored 1.11
1.39 Avg Goals Conceded 0.89
13 BTTS Yes 15
16 Over 1.5 18
11 Over 2.5 10
7 Over 3.5 3
8 Clean Sheets 10
12 Failed To Score 6
2.79 Shots On Goal 4
9.14 Total Shots 10.89
3.75 Corners 4.11
44% Ball Possession 52%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Masr's more proactive style and Haras El Hodood's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Masr. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Masr carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 10 with 40 points while Haras El Hodood sit 19 on 22, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Haras El Hodood Analysis

Haras El Hodood sit 19 with 22 points after 8 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 5 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 6:10 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Hamdi (6 goals), M. Ashraf (4 goals), Ibrahim Abdel Hakeem (3 goals), with creative support from F. El Henawy (4 assists), A. El Sheikh (3 assists), M. Hamdi (2 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Masr Analysis

Masr sit 10 with 40 points after 8 league matches. The record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 10:9 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through S. Mohsen (7 goals), O. El Saaiy (6 goals), M. Saber (5 goals), with creative support from M. Saber (6 assists), A. Deghmoum (4 assists), Ahmed Adel (4 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Haras El Hodood won 1 times, Masr won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:8 from Haras El Hodood's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.71 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.5%)
Predicted formations: Haras El Hodood 4-3-3 / Masr 4-3-3
H2H summary: Haras El Hodood wins 1, draws 3, Masr wins 3

Standings

Premier League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 13 4 3 32:13 19 43
L W W W W
2 20 13 4 3 33:15 18 43
W W L W W
3 20 11 7 2 33:19 14 40
L W D W W
4 20 11 5 4 29:16 13 38
D D D L W
5 20 8 8 4 29:20 9 32
L W L W D
6 20 8 7 5 21:13 8 31
W W L L L
7 20 7 9 4 20:16 4 30
W W W L D
8 20 7 8 5 23:20 3 29
D D W D L
9
Masr Away
20 7 8 5 21:16 5 29
W D L D D
10 20 6 10 4 16:15 1 28
W D W D L
11 20 5 11 4 18:14 4 26
L D L W D
12 20 5 10 5 21:23 -2 25
L D W D D
13 20 5 8 7 18:24 -6 23
L L D L D
14 20 5 7 8 14:24 -10 22
W W W D L
15 20 6 2 12 15:24 -9 20
L W L W W
16 20 2 13 5 12:15 -3 19
D L L D L
17 20 3 9 8 13:21 -8 18
L D D W L
18 20 4 5 11 15:29 -14 17
L L W L D
19 20 4 4 12 22:37 -15 16
L W D D L
20 20 2 9 9 8:22 -14 15
D L L D D
21 20 3 2 15 11:28 -17 11
L L D L L
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
Premier League (Relegation Group)