EGYPT PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Harras El Hodood Stadium
Referee: T. Magdy
Haras El Hodood
Match Timeline
El Mokawloon
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
15'
N. Hesham ↔ J. Ochaya
El Mokawloon
🟨
19'
Ikenna Cooper
Haras El Hodood
VAR
45+2'
Mohamed Hamdy Zaki
Haras El Hodood
🔄
46'
I. Gaber ↔ M. Adel
El Mokawloon
🟨
53'
Omar Fathi Saviola
Haras El Hodood
🔄
61'
M. Hamdi ↔ M. El Negely
Haras El Hodood
🔄
61'
O. Saviola ↔ A. Hafez
Haras El Hodood
🔄
69'
M. Salim ↔ A. Hawash
El Mokawloon
🔄
69'
S. Naguib ↔ A. Ouled Behi
El Mokawloon
🔄
85'
I. Abou-Salima ↔ M. El Deghemy
Haras El Hodood
🔄
85'
I. Cooper ↔ A. Nayel
Haras El Hodood
🔄
86'
Kahraba ↔ H. Hussein
El Mokawloon
🟨
90+8'
Joackiam Ojera
El Mokawloon
🟨
90+8'
Joackiam Ojera
El Mokawloon
🟨
90+6'
Joseph Ochaya
El Mokawloon
🟥
90+8'
Joackiam Ojera
El Mokawloon

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 63.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 48.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 78%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
63.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
48.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
78%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Haras El Hodood Win 16.4%
Draw 20.5%
El Mokawloon Win 63.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Haras El Hodood0.83
El Mokawloon1.02
Recent Form (Last 5)
Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood
WWDLW
22 GF / 41 GA
El Mokawloon El Mokawloon
WLDWL
22 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
0.76
Average Goals Scored
0.76
1.41
Average Goals Conceded
0.93
14
BTTS Yes
14
12
Over 2.5
6
2.79
Shots on Goal
2.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 29 matches
El Mokawloon El Mokawloon 29 matches
Haras El Hodood Statistic El Mokawloon
4 Wins 6
10 Draws 14
15 Losses 9
22 Goals For 22
41 Goals Against 27
0.76 Avg Goals Scored 0.76
1.41 Avg Goals Conceded 0.93
14 BTTS Yes 14
17 Over 1.5 17
12 Over 2.5 6
7 Over 3.5 2
8 Clean Sheets 9
12 Failed To Score 11
2.79 Shots On Goal 2.86
9.52 Total Shots 9.76
4.21 Corners 4.69
44.9% Ball Possession 42.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by El Mokawloon's more proactive style and Haras El Hodood's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward El Mokawloon. El Mokawloon carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 14 with 32 points while Haras El Hodood sit 20 on 22, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Haras El Hodood expected to line up in 4-4-2 and El Mokawloon in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward El Mokawloon having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Haras El Hodood Analysis

Haras El Hodood approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with 22 points from 9 matches. Their record of 0 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 7:12, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through M. Hamdi (6 goals), M. Ashraf (4 goals), Ibrahim Abdel Hakeem (3 goals), with creative support from F. El Henawy (4 assists), A. El Sheikh (3 assists), M. Hamdi (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

El Mokawloon Analysis

El Mokawloon approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 32 points from 9 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 1 defeats with a 9:6 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on S. Naguib (6 goals), Mohamed Salem (5 goals), Joackiam Ojera (4 goals), with creative support from Kahraba (4 assists), Mohamed Salem (2 assists), Joseph Ochaya (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Haras El Hodood won 0 times, El Mokawloon won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:6 from Haras El Hodood's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.14 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (83.6%)
Predicted formations: Haras El Hodood 4-4-2 / El Mokawloon 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Haras El Hodood wins 0, draws 4, El Mokawloon wins 3
Stats
Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood
El Mokawloon El Mokawloon
Shots on Goal
0
Shots on Goal
0
Shots off Goal
9
Shots off Goal
9
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
1
4 Corner Kicks 1
4 Fouls 7
1 Offsides 4
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Goal 0
9 Shots off Goal 9
6 Blocked Shots 1
10 Shots insidebox 4
5 Shots outsidebox 6
0 Goalkeeper Saves 0
393 Total passes 280
272 Passes accurate 150
0.48 expected_goals 0.64
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Haras El Hodood
Formation
El Mokawloon
A. Shaaban
A. Shaaban
M. Awad
M. Awad
I. Abdelhakim
I. Abdelhakim
I. Abou-Salima
I. Abou-Salima
F. El Henawy
F. El Henawy
M. Magli
M. Magli
M. Ashraf
M. Ashraf
I. Cooper
I. Cooper
Mahmoud Sayed Okaa
Mahmoud Sayed Okaa
M. Hamdi
M. Hamdi
O. Saviola
O. Saviola
M. Aboul Saoud
M. Aboul Saoud
Kahraba
Kahraba
I. Abdellah
I. Abdellah
M. Hamed
M. Hamed
N. Hesham
N. Hesham
M. Gamal
M. Gamal
O. El Wahsh
O. El Wahsh
J. Ojera
J. Ojera
S. Naguib
S. Naguib
I. Gaber
I. Gaber
M. Salim
M. Salim
Haras El Hodood 4-4-2
Starting XI
13
A. Shaaban
G
24
M. Awad
D
5
I. Abdelhakim
D
4
I. Abou-Salima
↓ 85'
D
10
F. El Henawy
D
6
M. Magli
M
14
M. Ashraf
M
27
I. Cooper
↓ 85' 🟨 19'
M
74
Mahmoud Sayed Okaa
M
99
M. Hamdi
↓ 61'
F
22
O. Saviola
↓ 61' 🟨 53'
F
Substitutes
16
A. Seha
G
12
M. Bayoumi
M
3
M. El Badry
D
17
M. El Deghemy
↑ 85'
M
20
E. Eze
M
29
M. El Negely
↑ 61'
F
30
A. Hafez
↑ 61'
M
11
M. Mostafa
F
90
A. Nayel
↑ 85'
El Mokawloon 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
M. Aboul Saoud
G
26
Kahraba
↓ 86'
D
21
I. Abdellah
D
3
M. Hamed
D
24
N. Hesham
↓ 15'
D
14
M. Gamal
M
12
O. El Wahsh
M
25
J. Ojera
🟨 90+8' 🟨 90+8' 🟥 90+8'
M
10
S. Naguib
↓ 69'
M
20
I. Gaber
↓ 46'
M
9
M. Salim
↓ 69'
F
Substitutes
18
M. Fawzi
G
22
M. Antar
F
31
M. Adel
↑ 46'
M
32
H. Faisal
M
44
A. Hawash
↑ 69'
F
74
M. Abdelnasser
M
4
H. Hussein
↑ 86'
23
J. Ochaya
↑ 15' 🟨 90+6'
D
28
A. Ouled Behi
↑ 69'
M
Last matches: Haras El Hodood
29.05.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Ghazl El Mehalla
2
4
L
23.05.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Petrojet
0
3
L
18.05.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Kahraba Ismailia
2
0
W
07.05.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Masr
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
El Geish
0
0
D
29.04.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
El Gouna FC
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Wadi Degla
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Al Ittihad
2
2
D
13.04.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Pharco
1
2
L
08.04.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Future FC
0
0
D
05.04.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
National Bank of Egypt
2
4
L
20.03.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Ismaily SC
0
0
D
05.03.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Pyramids FC
1
3
L
28.02.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
El Geish
0
1
L
24.02.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Enppi
1
0
W
20.02.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Zamalek SC
0
2
L
05.02.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Pharco
2
2
D
30.01.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Al Ittihad
0
2
L
22.01.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Kahraba Ismailia
1
2
L
23.11.25
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Petrojet
1
3
L
Last matches: El Mokawloon
29.05.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Future FC
3
1
W
23.05.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Kahraba Ismailia
2
2
D
18.05.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Wadi Degla
1
1
D
08.05.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
El Gouna FC
1
0
W
04.05.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Pharco
1
1
D
28.04.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Ghazl El Mehalla
1
1
D
23.04.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Al Ittihad
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
El Geish
2
0
W
13.04.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
National Bank of Egypt
1
2
L
09.04.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Ismaily SC
1
0
W
06.04.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Masr
0
0
D
21.03.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Petrojet
2
2
D
05.03.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Al Ahly
1
3
L
23.02.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
El Gouna FC
1
1
D
19.02.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
AL Masry
1
1
D
05.02.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Wadi Degla
1
0
W
30.01.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
National Bank of Egypt
0
1
L
22.01.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Ismaily SC
2
1
W
25.11.25
Pre
El Mokawloon
Pyramids FC
0
2
L
04.11.25
Pre
El Mokawloon
Smouha SC
1
1
D
H2H: Haras El Hodood vs El Mokawloon
13.05.26
H2H
Haras El Hodood
El Mokawloon
0
0
D
21.08.25
H2H
El Mokawloon
Haras El Hodood
0
0
D
16.05.23
H2H
Haras El Hodood
El Mokawloon
0
2
L
19.03.23
H2H
El Mokawloon
Haras El Hodood
0
0
D
03.01.23
H2H
El Mokawloon
Haras El Hodood
3
2
L
11.04.19
H2H
El Mokawloon
Haras El Hodood
1
0
L
01.11.18
H2H
Haras El Hodood
El Mokawloon
0
0
D
Last matches: Haras El Hodood
23.05.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Petrojet
0
3
L
07.05.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Masr
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
El Geish
0
0
D
25.04.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Wadi Degla
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Al Ittihad
2
2
D
08.04.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Future FC
0
0
D
20.03.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Ismaily SC
0
0
D
05.03.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Pyramids FC
1
3
L
24.02.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Enppi
1
0
W
05.02.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Pharco
2
2
D
22.01.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Kahraba Ismailia
1
2
L
25.10.25
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Ghazl El Mehalla
0
0
D
04.10.25
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Ceramica Cleopatra
0
3
L
23.09.25
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Al Ahly
2
3
L
13.09.25
Pre
Haras El Hodood
El Gouna FC
2
1
W
26.08.25
Pre
Haras El Hodood
AL Masry
1
1
D
15.08.25
Pre
Haras El Hodood
National Bank of Egypt
1
0
W
H2H at home: Haras El Hodood
13.05.26
H2H
Haras El Hodood
El Mokawloon
0
0
D
16.05.23
H2H
Haras El Hodood
El Mokawloon
0
2
L
01.11.18
H2H
Haras El Hodood
El Mokawloon
0
0
D
Last matches: El Mokawloon
23.05.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Kahraba Ismailia
2
2
D
04.05.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Pharco
1
1
D
13.04.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
National Bank of Egypt
1
2
L
06.04.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Masr
0
0
D
23.02.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
El Gouna FC
1
1
D
05.02.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Wadi Degla
1
0
W
22.01.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Ismaily SC
2
1
W
25.11.25
Pre
El Mokawloon
Pyramids FC
0
2
L
25.10.25
Pre
El Mokawloon
Future FC
2
1
W
03.10.25
Pre
El Mokawloon
Al Ittihad
1
2
L
23.09.25
Pre
El Mokawloon
El Geish
0
0
D
13.09.25
Pre
El Mokawloon
Ghazl El Mehalla
1
1
D
25.08.25
Pre
El Mokawloon
Petrojet
0
1
L
16.08.25
Pre
El Mokawloon
Zamalek SC
0
0
D
H2H away: El Mokawloon
13.05.26
H2H
Haras El Hodood
El Mokawloon
0
0
D
16.05.23
H2H
Haras El Hodood
El Mokawloon
0
2
W
01.11.18
H2H
Haras El Hodood
El Mokawloon
0
0
D

Standings

Premier League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 13 4 3 32:13 19 43
L W W W W
2 20 13 4 3 33:15 18 43
W W L W W
3 20 11 7 2 33:19 14 40
L W D W W
4 20 11 5 4 29:16 13 38
D D D L W
5 20 8 8 4 29:20 9 32
L W L W D
6 20 8 7 5 21:13 8 31
W W L L L
7 20 7 9 4 20:16 4 30
W W W L D
8 20 7 8 5 23:20 3 29
D D W D L
9 20 7 8 5 21:16 5 29
W D L D D
10 20 6 10 4 16:15 1 28
W D W D L
11 20 5 11 4 18:14 4 26
L D L W D
12 20 5 10 5 21:23 -2 25
L D W D D
13 20 5 8 7 18:24 -6 23
L L D L D
14 20 5 7 8 14:24 -10 22
W W W D L
15 20 6 2 12 15:24 -9 20
L W L W W
16 20 2 13 5 12:15 -3 19
D L L D L
17 20 3 9 8 13:21 -8 18
L D D W L
18 20 4 5 11 15:29 -14 17
L L W L D
19 20 4 4 12 22:37 -15 16
L W D D L
20 20 2 9 9 8:22 -14 15
D L L D D
21 20 3 2 15 11:28 -17 11
L L D L L
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
Premier League (Relegation Group)