EGYPT PREMIER LEAGUE
19.04.2026 15:00
Cairo Military Academy Stadium
Referee: A. M. Omar
Haras El Hodood
Match Timeline
Al Ittihad
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
12'
J. Ebuka · Assist: A. Magdi
Al Ittihad
23'
M. Ashraf
Haras El Hodood
🟨
26'
Youssry Wahid
Al Ittihad
🟨
29'
Abdelrahman Body
Al Ittihad
🔄
37'
Body ↔ M. Emad
Al Ittihad
40'
Y. Wahid · Assist: Afsha
Al Ittihad
🔄
46'
Y. Wahid ↔ I. Samir
Al Ittihad
🔄
52'
A. Gamal ↔ M. El Negely
Haras El Hodood
🟨
60'
Ikenna Cooper
Haras El Hodood
🔄
69'
A. Magdi ↔ A. Liadi
Al Ittihad
🔄
69'
J. Ebuka ↔ F. Farid
Al Ittihad
75'
M. Hamdi
Haras El Hodood
🟨
80'
Ibrahim Abdel Hakeem
Haras El Hodood
🔄
85'
M. Tony ↔ Mabululu
Al Ittihad
🔄
90+1'
M. Magli ↔ M. El Deghemy
Haras El Hodood

Haras El Hodood vs Al Ittihad Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 80.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 52.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 62.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
80.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
52.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
62.4%
-
Probability Distribution
Haras El Hodood Win 37.5%
Draw 19.6%
Al Ittihad Win 42.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Haras El Hodood0.9
Al Ittihad1.06
Recent Form (Last 5)
Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood
WWDLW
18 GF / 35 GA
Al Ittihad Al Ittihad
WLDWL
19 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
0.75
Average Goals Scored
0.79
1.46
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
11
BTTS Yes
10
10
Over 2.5
9
2.67
Shots on Goal
2.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 24 matches
Al Ittihad Al Ittihad 24 matches
Haras El Hodood Statistic Al Ittihad
4 Wins 7
7 Draws 5
13 Losses 12
18 Goals For 19
35 Goals Against 27
0.75 Avg Goals Scored 0.79
1.46 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
11 BTTS Yes 10
14 Over 1.5 14
10 Over 2.5 9
6 Over 3.5 2
7 Clean Sheets 8
10 Failed To Score 9
2.67 Shots On Goal 2.83
8.46 Total Shots 9.25
3.54 Corners 4.17
43.5% Ball Possession 49%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Al Ittihad. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Haras El Hodood expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Al Ittihad in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Al Ittihad having the stronger overall control. Al Ittihad carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 15 with 26 points while Haras El Hodood sit 20 on 19, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Haras El Hodood Analysis

With 19 points from 4 games and a place of 20, Haras El Hodood still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats with a 2:4 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Hamdi (4 goals), Ibrahim Abdel Hakeem (3 goals), M. Ashraf (3 goals), with creative support from F. El Henawy (4 assists), A. El Sheikh (3 assists), M. Hamdi (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Al Ittihad Analysis

Al Ittihad sit 15 with 26 points after 4 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 3 draws, and 0 defeats, and the 2:2 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Ebuka (4 goals), F. Farid (3 goals), Afsha (2 goals), with creative support from A. Liadi (3 assists), Afsha (1 assists), K. El Deeb (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Haras El Hodood won 1 times, Al Ittihad won 7 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:16 from Haras El Hodood's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.6 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.4%)
Predicted formations: Haras El Hodood 5-3-2 / Al Ittihad 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Haras El Hodood wins 1, draws 7, Al Ittihad wins 7

Standings

Premier League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 13 4 3 32:13 19 43
L W W W W
2 20 13 4 3 33:15 18 43
W W L W W
3 20 11 7 2 33:19 14 40
L W D W W
4 20 11 5 4 29:16 13 38
D D D L W
5 20 8 8 4 29:20 9 32
L W L W D
6 20 8 7 5 21:13 8 31
W W L L L
7 20 7 9 4 20:16 4 30
W W W L D
8 20 7 8 5 23:20 3 29
D D W D L
9 20 7 8 5 21:16 5 29
W D L D D
10 20 6 10 4 16:15 1 28
W D W D L
11 20 5 11 4 18:14 4 26
L D L W D
12 20 5 10 5 21:23 -2 25
L D W D D
13 20 5 8 7 18:24 -6 23
L L D L D
14 20 5 7 8 14:24 -10 22
W W W D L
15 20 6 2 12 15:24 -9 20
L W L W W
16 20 2 13 5 12:15 -3 19
D L L D L
17 20 3 9 8 13:21 -8 18
L D D W L
18 20 4 5 11 15:29 -14 17
L L W L D
19 20 4 4 12 22:37 -15 16
L W D D L
20 20 2 9 9 8:22 -14 15
D L L D D
21 20 3 2 15 11:28 -17 11
L L D L L
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
Premier League (Relegation Group)