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ISRAEL › LIGAT HA'AL
24.10.2026 17:00
Teddy Stadium

Hapoel Katamon vs Hapoel Tel Aviv Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 63.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
63.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Hapoel Katamon Win 36.4%
Draw 19.7%
Hapoel Tel Aviv Win 43.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hapoel Katamon1.46
Hapoel Tel Aviv1.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hapoel Katamon Hapoel Katamon
WWDLW
17 GF / 20 GA
Hapoel Tel Aviv Hapoel Tel Aviv
WLDWL
28 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.89
Average Goals Scored
1.65
2.22
Average Goals Conceded
0.82
6
BTTS Yes
6
6
Over 2.5
9
4.83
Shots on Goal
4.46

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hapoel Katamon Hapoel Katamon 9 matches
Hapoel Tel Aviv Hapoel Tel Aviv 17 matches
Hapoel Katamon Statistic Hapoel Tel Aviv
3 Wins 9
2 Draws 5
4 Losses 3
17 Goals For 28
20 Goals Against 14
1.89 Avg Goals Scored 1.65
2.22 Avg Goals Conceded 0.82
6 BTTS Yes 6
8 Over 1.5 11
6 Over 2.5 9
6 Over 3.5 5
1 Clean Sheets 10
2 Failed To Score 4
4.83 Shots On Goal 4.46
15 Total Shots 10.54
3.67 Corners 3.92
47.5% Ball Possession 38.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Hapoel Tel Aviv's more proactive style and Hapoel Katamon's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Hapoel Tel Aviv. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Hapoel Katamon expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Hapoel Tel Aviv in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Hapoel Tel Aviv having the stronger overall control. Hapoel Tel Aviv carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 13 points while Hapoel Katamon sit 7 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Hapoel Tel Aviv look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Hapoel Katamon Analysis

From their first 6 matches, Hapoel Katamon have collected 7 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, while the 13:16 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Idoko (5 goals), N. Vrasana (4 goals), C. Tiéhi (1 goals), with creative support from C. Tiéhi (2 assists), A. Idoko (1 assists), O. Nadir (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Hapoel Tel Aviv Analysis

Hapoel Tel Aviv come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 13 points after 6 matches. With 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 14:5, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by E. Boateng (3 goals), D. Owusu (3 goals), R. Alkokin (1 goals), with creative support from E. Boateng (2 assists), R. Alkokin (1 assists), S. Torial (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Hapoel Katamon won 4 times, Hapoel Tel Aviv won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:18 from Hapoel Katamon's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.3%)
Predicted formations: Hapoel Katamon 5-4-1 / Hapoel Tel Aviv 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Hapoel Katamon wins 4, draws 5, Hapoel Tel Aviv wins 6

Standings

Ligat Al
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 1 0 18:6 12 16
D W W W W
2 6 5 0 1 16:8 8 15
W W W W L
3 6 4 1 1 14:5 9 13
W W L W W
4 6 4 1 1 10:7 3 13
W W W L D
5 6 4 0 2 11:9 2 12
W W W W L
6 6 2 3 1 9:7 2 9
W L W D D
7 6 2 1 3 13:16 -3 7
L W D W L
8 6 1 3 2 7:7 0 6
D L L D W
9 6 2 0 4 9:13 -4 6
L L L L W
10 6 1 2 3 3:6 -3 5
D W L L L
11 6 1 1 4 3:9 -6 4
D L L L W
12 6 1 0 5 6:14 -8 3
L L L L W
13 6 1 0 5 4:13 -9 3
L L W L L
14 6 2 1 3 7:10 -3 1
L L D W L
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