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14.07.2026 11:35
Huanglong Stadium
Referee: Yuchen Mu, China
Hangzhou Greentown
Match Timeline
Qingdao Jonoon
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
11'
Nemanja Anđelković
Qingdao Jonoon
⚽
24'
A. Mitrita · Assist: Y. Wang
Hangzhou Greentown
🔄
34'
Lin Chuangyi ↔ C. Strandberg
Qingdao Jonoon
🟨
38'
Yangyang Jin
Qingdao Jonoon
🔄
46'
Fang Hao ↔ Xu Junchi
Hangzhou Greentown
⚽
50'
M. Tolic · Assist: A. Mitrita
Hangzhou Greentown
⚽
58'
N. Andjelkovic · Assist: M. Edjouma
Qingdao Jonoon
🔄
61'
Che Shiwei ↔ L. Tufegdzic
Qingdao Jonoon
VAR
69'
Lazar Tufegdžić
Qingdao Jonoon
🔄
71'
A. Zhang ↔ Wang Yang
Hangzhou Greentown
⚽
71'
M. Edjouma
Qingdao Jonoon
🟨
72'
Wang Yudong
Hangzhou Greentown
🔄
73'
↔ Ngan Cheuk-Pan
Qingdao Jonoon
🔄
73'
Li Hailong ↔ Wei Zixian
Qingdao Jonoon
🔄
73'
Luo Senwen ↔ Zheng Cuanhui
Qingdao Jonoon
🟨
79'
Yonghao Jin
Qingdao Jonoon
🔄
81'
M. Tolic ↔ Felippe Cardoso
Hangzhou Greentown
🔄
85'
Liu Haofan ↔ Tao Qianglong
Hangzhou Greentown
🟨
90+1'
Ngan Cheuk Pan
Qingdao Jonoon
⚽
90'
Tao Qianglong · Assist: Wang Yang
Hangzhou Greentown

Hangzhou Greentown vs Qingdao Jonoon Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
78.8%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Hangzhou Greentown Win 63.3%
Draw 11%
Qingdao Jonoon Win 25.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hangzhou Greentown1.48
Qingdao Jonoon1.67
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hangzhou Greentown Hangzhou Greentown
L L W L W
9 GF / 12 GA
Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon
D W L L L
8 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.37
Average Goals Scored
1.59
1.79
Average Goals Conceded
1.65
11
BTTS Yes
12
12
Over 2.5
10
4.94
Shots on Goal
3.94

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hangzhou Greentown Hangzhou Greentown 19 matches
Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 17 matches
Hangzhou Greentown Statistic Qingdao Jonoon
6 Wins 6
5 Draws 3
8 Losses 8
26 Goals For 27
34 Goals Against 28
1.37 Avg Goals Scored 1.59
1.79 Avg Goals Conceded 1.65
11 BTTS Yes 12
17 Over 1.5 13
12 Over 2.5 10
9 Over 3.5 9
3 Clean Sheets 2
6 Failed To Score 4
4.94 Shots On Goal 3.94
13.82 Total Shots 11.71
5.65 Corners 4.35
54.2% Ball Possession 44.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Qingdao Jonoon. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Qingdao Jonoon arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Hangzhou Greentown Analysis

From their first 16 matches, Hangzhou Greentown have collected 17 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, while the 21:26 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Qingdao Jonoon Analysis

With 13 points from 16 games and a place of 14, Qingdao Jonoon still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 26:27, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Song Wenjie (1 goals), Lin Chuangyi (1 goals), M. Edjouma (1 goals), with creative support from Song Wenjie (2 assists), Jin Yonghao (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Hangzhou Greentown won 4 times, Qingdao Jonoon won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:12 from Hangzhou Greentown's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89%)
Predicted formations: Hangzhou Greentown 4-2-3-1 / Qingdao Jonoon 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Hangzhou Greentown wins 4, draws 3, Qingdao Jonoon wins 1

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 15 7 7 51:35 16 52
L L L D W
2 29 15 4 10 46:43 3 49
W W W W D
3 29 14 10 5 57:36 21 47
W W W D D
4 29 15 5 9 57:47 10 44
W W D D W
5 29 13 8 8 50:36 14 42
W W W D W
6 29 11 7 11 57:60 -3 40
D D L W L
7 29 8 15 6 32:38 -6 39
D L L D D
8 29 14 5 10 63:50 13 37
L W W W L
9 29 8 12 9 31:34 -3 36
W D D L D
10 29 11 6 12 51:54 -3 34
W L L W L
11 29 9 5 15 39:51 -12 32
W L D D L
12 29 11 8 10 39:35 4 31
L W W W W
13 29 8 5 16 41:52 -11 29
L W D L L
14 29 8 10 11 38:42 -4 28
L L D D D
15 29 5 12 12 44:55 -11 22
L L D L D
16 29 6 3 20 34:62 -28 14
L L L L L
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation