Hamrun Spartans vs Naxxar Lions Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
71.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
61.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
68%
|
- |
Hamrun Spartans
Naxxar Lions
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Hamrun Spartans
43 matches
Naxxar Lions
29 matches
| Hamrun Spartans | Statistic | Naxxar Lions |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wins | 9 |
| 9 | Draws | 7 |
| 15 | Losses | 13 |
| 55 | Goals For | 39 |
| 44 | Goals Against | 45 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.34 |
| 1.02 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.55 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 31 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 19 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 13 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 1.75 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 5.33 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 2.25 | Corners | 0 |
| 23.1% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Naxxar Lions. Hamrun Spartans have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Naxxar Lions having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
With 22 points from 13 games and a place of 2, Hamrun Spartans still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats with a 18:7 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on J. Mbong (11 goals), D. Ceter (4 goals), M. Garcia (4 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.
From their first 13 matches, Naxxar Lions have collected 19 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, while the 20:19 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Vitinho (11 goals), G. Costa Goncalves (5 goals), Joao Moura (5 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Hamrun Spartans won 9 times, Naxxar Lions won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 33:3 from Hamrun Spartans's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 20:7 | 13 | 25 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 |
Hamrun Spartans
Home
|
11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 16:4 | 12 | 22 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
| 3 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 19 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
Naxxar Lions
Away
|
11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20:18 | 2 | 18 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
| 5 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16:7 | 9 | 17 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 17 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 16 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 13 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:17 | -6 | 11 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13:15 | -2 | 10 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:21 | -12 | 6 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7:24 | -17 | 4 |
W
D
L
D
W
|