MALTA PREMIER LEAGUE
19.04.2026 15:30
Referee: D. Portelli
Hamrun Spartans
Match Timeline
Naxxar Lions
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
26'
Hamrun Spartans
Hamrun Spartans
35'
D. Ceter
Hamrun Spartans
44'
Gustavo Felipe
Hamrun Spartans
🟨
54'
S. Guehi
Naxxar Lions
🟨
60'
M. El Fanis
Hamrun Spartans
🔄
65'
Gustavo Felipe ↔ N. Pahama
Naxxar Lions
🔄
65'
Vinicius Baiano ↔ Vitinho
Naxxar Lions
🟨
70'
G. Costa Goncalves
Naxxar Lions
77'
J. Mbong
Hamrun Spartans
🔄
78'
D. Ceter ↔ Jonny
Hamrun Spartans
🔄
83'
N. Pace Cocks ↔ M. Fenech
Naxxar Lions
🔄
83'
D. Letherby ↔ M. Micallef
Naxxar Lions
🔄
86'
J. Mbong ↔ B. Eleke
Hamrun Spartans
🔄
86'
M. El Fanis ↔ D. Bulevardi
Hamrun Spartans
🔄
87'
Ederson ↔ K. Serber
Hamrun Spartans
🔄
90'
M. Garcia ↔ M. Carboni
Hamrun Spartans
🔄
90'
Joao Moura ↔ S. Bugeja
Naxxar Lions

Hamrun Spartans vs Naxxar Lions Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 61.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 68%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
61.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
68%
-
Probability Distribution
Hamrun Spartans Win 71.9%
Draw 11.1%
Naxxar Lions Win 16.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hamrun Spartans1.39
Naxxar Lions1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans
WWDLW
55 GF / 44 GA
Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions
WLDWL
39 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
1.28
Average Goals Scored
1.34
1.02
Average Goals Conceded
1.55
15
BTTS Yes
18
16
Over 2.5
16
1.75
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 43 matches
Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions 29 matches
Hamrun Spartans Statistic Naxxar Lions
19 Wins 9
9 Draws 7
15 Losses 13
55 Goals For 39
44 Goals Against 45
1.28 Avg Goals Scored 1.34
1.02 Avg Goals Conceded 1.55
15 BTTS Yes 18
31 Over 1.5 23
16 Over 2.5 16
9 Over 3.5 10
19 Clean Sheets 4
13 Failed To Score 8
1.75 Shots On Goal 0
5.33 Total Shots 0
2.25 Corners 0
23.1% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Naxxar Lions. Hamrun Spartans have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Naxxar Lions having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Hamrun Spartans Analysis

With 22 points from 13 games and a place of 2, Hamrun Spartans still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats with a 18:7 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on J. Mbong (11 goals), D. Ceter (4 goals), M. Garcia (4 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Naxxar Lions Analysis

From their first 13 matches, Naxxar Lions have collected 19 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, while the 20:19 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Vitinho (11 goals), G. Costa Goncalves (5 goals), Joao Moura (5 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Hamrun Spartans won 9 times, Naxxar Lions won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 33:3 from Hamrun Spartans's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.9%)
Predicted formations: Hamrun Spartans 4-3-3 / Naxxar Lions -
H2H summary: Hamrun Spartans wins 9, draws 1, Naxxar Lions wins 0

Standings

Premier League , Closing Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 7 4 0 20:7 13 25
W W W L W
2 11 6 4 1 16:4 12 22
W L L W W
3 11 5 4 2 12:12 0 19
L W W W W
4 11 5 3 3 20:18 2 18
L L D L D
5 11 4 5 2 16:7 9 17
L L W L L
6 11 5 2 4 14:12 2 17
L D L W L
7 11 4 4 3 10:11 -1 16
L D D W D
8 11 3 4 4 12:12 0 13
D D D L W
9 11 3 2 6 11:17 -6 11
L W D L D
10 11 2 4 5 13:15 -2 10
W L W D D
11 11 1 3 7 9:21 -12 6
L W W D D
12 11 1 1 9 7:24 -17 4
W D L D W
Championship round
Relegation Round