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21.10.2026 16:00
Centenary Stadium
Referee: F. Zammit
Hamrun Spartans
Match Timeline
Balzan FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
11'
Gabriel Santos
Balzan FC
⚽
28'
L. Villela
Hamrun Spartans
🟨
43'
N. Ignjatovic
Balzan FC
🔄
46'
J. Grech ↔ J. Portelli
Balzan FC
🔄
46'
A. Majok ↔ V. Kuach Yuel
Balzan FC
🟨
48'
M. Djalo
Balzan FC
🔄
57'
M. Trotta ↔ D. Ceter
Hamrun Spartans
🟨
61'
Rafael Compri
Hamrun Spartans
🔄
65'
S. Arab ↔ Rosiel
Balzan FC
🔄
65'
Gabriel Santos ↔ Z. Grech
Balzan FC
🟨
68'
L. Villela
Hamrun Spartans
⚽
72'
M. Yahaya
Balzan FC
🔄
75'
O. Bjelicic ↔ A. Coric
Hamrun Spartans
🔄
79'
S. Cipriott ↔ N. Pulis
Balzan FC
🟨
90'
Ederson
Balzan FC
🟨
90+3'
N. Ignjatovic
Balzan FC
🟥
90+3'
N. Ignjatovic
Balzan FC

Hamrun Spartans vs Balzan FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 72.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
72.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Hamrun Spartans Win 49.3%
Draw 23.3%
Balzan FC Win 27.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hamrun Spartans1.3
Balzan FC1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans
D D W W W
12 GF / 6 GA
Balzan FC Balzan FC
L D D D W
7 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.18
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
1
7
BTTS Yes
7
5
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 10 matches
Balzan FC Balzan FC 11 matches
Hamrun Spartans Statistic Balzan FC
3 Wins 3
4 Draws 5
3 Losses 3
15 Goals For 13
13 Goals Against 11
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 1
7 BTTS Yes 7
9 Over 1.5 8
5 Over 2.5 6
3 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Balzan FC. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Balzan FC having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Hamrun Spartans Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 11 points from 7 games, Hamrun Spartans bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 11:8, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Balzan FC Analysis

Balzan FC are currently 7 in the standings with 10 points from 7 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, while the 10:7 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Hamrun Spartans won 7 times, Balzan FC won 1 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:13 from Hamrun Spartans's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.7%)
H2H summary: Hamrun Spartans wins 7, draws 6, Balzan FC wins 1

Standings

Premier Division: First stage - Main
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 8 1 2 23:9 14 25
W L W W W
2 11 6 2 3 21:14 7 20
W L L W W
3 11 5 3 3 15:14 1 18
D W W L D
4 11 4 5 2 17:13 4 17
D W D D D
5 11 4 4 3 22:15 7 16
L L D D D
6 11 4 4 3 13:15 -2 16
W D W W D
7 11 4 3 4 14:11 3 15
D W D L L
8 11 4 2 5 17:16 1 14
W W L W L
9 11 3 5 3 15:20 -5 14
L D L D D
10 11 2 5 4 13:14 -1 11
L L D L D
11 11 1 3 7 9:21 -12 6
D D W L D
12 11 0 5 6 9:26 -17 5
L D L D D
Promotion - Premier League (First stage - Top 6)
Premier League (First stage - Play Out)