SWEDEN ETTAN - NORRA
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Hammarby IP

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 96.2%
Odds 1.14
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.47
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
96.2%
1.14
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.67
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.47
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.05
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Hammarby Talang Win 45.2%
Draw 3.8%
Karlberg Win 51.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hammarby Talang2
Karlberg1.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang
WWDLW
53 GF / 24 GA
Karlberg Karlberg
WLDWL
56 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
2.3
Average Goals Scored
1.93
1.04
Average Goals Conceded
1.55
12
BTTS Yes
20
14
Over 2.5
21
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang 23 matches
Karlberg Karlberg 29 matches
Hammarby Talang Statistic Karlberg
12 Wins 14
6 Draws 4
5 Losses 11
53 Goals For 56
24 Goals Against 45
2.3 Avg Goals Scored 1.93
1.04 Avg Goals Conceded 1.55
12 BTTS Yes 20
21 Over 1.5 26
14 Over 2.5 21
10 Over 3.5 14
8 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Hammarby Talang's more proactive style and Karlberg's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Karlberg having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Karlberg. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Hammarby Talang arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 37 points compared to Karlberg in 8 on 24, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Hammarby Talang Analysis

Hammarby Talang come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 37 points from 18 matches. Their overall return of 11 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 45:15 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Karlberg Analysis

Karlberg are currently 8 in the standings with 24 points from 18 matches. The record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 28:28 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Hammarby Talang won 1 times, Karlberg won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:8 from Hammarby Talang's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.2%)
H2H summary: Hammarby Talang wins 1, draws 3, Karlberg wins 2
Last matches: Hammarby Talang
23.08.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Piteå
1
1
D
14.08.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
AFC Eskilstuna
0
1
L
09.08.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
FBK Karlstad
1
1
D
03.08.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Arlanda
5
1
W
26.06.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
FBK Karlstad
7
0
W
18.06.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Järfälla
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Karlberg
2
0
W
06.06.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Gefle IF
4
0
W
30.05.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
AFC Eskilstuna
1
2
L
23.05.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Enköping
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Stockholm Internazionale
3
1
W
13.05.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Sollentuna
2
0
W
09.05.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Assyriska FF
4
0
W
02.05.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
IF Karlstad
2
0
W
27.04.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Vasalund
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Piteå
4
1
W
11.04.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Stocksund
4
2
W
06.04.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Umeå FC
1
2
L
28.03.26
Fri
Hammarby Talang
GIF Sundsvall
0
3
L
22.03.26
Fri
Hammarby Talang
Karlberg
0
3
L
Last matches: Karlberg
23.08.26
Ett
Karlberg
AFC Eskilstuna
0
3
L
15.08.26
Ett
Karlberg
Stocksund
2
0
W
07.08.26
Ett
Karlberg
Enköping
1
2
L
01.08.26
Ett
Karlberg
Stocksund
2
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Karlberg
AFC Eskilstuna
2
1
W
21.07.26
Fri
Karlberg
Sollentuna
2
1
W
24.06.26
Ett
Karlberg
Piteå
3
1
W
18.06.26
Ett
Karlberg
Vasalund
4
0
W
14.06.26
Ett
Karlberg
Hammarby Talang
0
2
L
04.06.26
Ett
Karlberg
AFC Eskilstuna
2
3
L
31.05.26
Ett
Karlberg
FBK Karlstad
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ett
Karlberg
Stockholm Internazionale
1
2
L
16.05.26
Ett
Karlberg
Järfälla
1
3
L
13.05.26
Ett
Karlberg
Arlanda
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ett
Karlberg
IF Karlstad
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ett
Karlberg
Umeå FC
1
2
L
26.04.26
Ett
Karlberg
Gefle IF
3
2
W
19.04.26
Ett
Karlberg
Assyriska FF
4
3
W
10.04.26
Ett
Karlberg
Enköping
1
3
L
04.04.26
Ett
Karlberg
Sollentuna
1
0
W
H2H: Hammarby Talang vs Karlberg
14.06.26
H2H
Karlberg
Hammarby Talang
0
2
W
22.03.26
H2H
Hammarby Talang
Karlberg
0
3
L
20.10.25
H2H
Hammarby Talang
Karlberg
1
1
D
23.05.25
H2H
Karlberg
Hammarby Talang
1
1
D
11.08.24
H2H
Hammarby Talang
Karlberg
0
1
L
21.04.24
H2H
Karlberg
Hammarby Talang
2
2
D
Last matches: Hammarby Talang
23.08.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Piteå
1
1
D
09.08.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
FBK Karlstad
1
1
D
03.08.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Arlanda
5
1
W
18.06.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Järfälla
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
AFC Eskilstuna
1
2
L
16.05.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Stockholm Internazionale
3
1
W
09.05.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Assyriska FF
4
0
W
27.04.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Vasalund
2
2
D
06.04.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Umeå FC
1
2
L
22.03.26
Fri
Hammarby Talang
Karlberg
0
3
L
21.02.26
Fri
Hammarby Talang
Viggbyholms IK
5
0
W
H2H at home: Hammarby Talang
22.03.26
H2H
Hammarby Talang
Karlberg
0
3
L
20.10.25
H2H
Hammarby Talang
Karlberg
1
1
D
11.08.24
H2H
Hammarby Talang
Karlberg
0
1
L
Last matches: Karlberg
07.08.26
Ett
Karlberg
Enköping
1
2
L
01.08.26
Ett
Karlberg
Stocksund
2
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Karlberg
AFC Eskilstuna
2
1
W
21.07.26
Fri
Karlberg
Sollentuna
2
1
W
18.06.26
Ett
Karlberg
Vasalund
4
0
W
04.06.26
Ett
Karlberg
AFC Eskilstuna
2
3
L
23.05.26
Ett
Karlberg
Stockholm Internazionale
1
2
L
13.05.26
Ett
Karlberg
Arlanda
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ett
Karlberg
Umeå FC
1
2
L
19.04.26
Ett
Karlberg
Assyriska FF
4
3
W
04.04.26
Ett
Karlberg
Sollentuna
1
0
W
28.03.26
Fri
Karlberg
Stockholm Internazionale
0
1
L
22.03.26
Fri
Karlberg
Hammarby Talang
3
0
W
07.03.26
Fri
Karlberg
Sollentuna
1
3
L
22.02.26
Fri
Karlberg
Vasalund
2
3
L
H2H away: Karlberg
22.03.26
H2H
Hammarby Talang
Karlberg
0
3
W
20.10.25
H2H
Hammarby Talang
Karlberg
1
1
D
11.08.24
H2H
Hammarby Talang
Karlberg
0
1
W
Showing odds from: Bet365
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.30
Draw 4.68
Home 1.45
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 1.47
Over 2.75 1.58
Over 3.0 1.76
Over 3.25 2.02
Over 3.5 2.24
Over 3.75 2.56
Over 4.0 3.15
Under 2.5 2.53
Under 2.75 2.27
Under 3.0 2.01
Under 3.25 1.78
Under 3.5 1.61
Under 3.75 1.46
Under 4.0 1.32
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.50
Draw 4.33
Home 1.42
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.50
Draw 2.60
Home 1.83
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.50
Draw 3.10
Home 1.67
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.00
Over 1.5 1.14
Over 2.5 1.50
Over 3.5 2.10
Over 4.5 3.75
Over 5.5 6.50
Over 6.5 10.00
Over 7.5 15.00
Over 8.5 21.00
Under 0.5 19.00
Under 1.5 5.00
Under 2.5 2.50
Under 3.5 1.67
Under 4.5 1.25
Under 5.5 1.10
Under 6.5 1.03
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.90
Draw 4.10
Home 1.50
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.80
Draw 2.55
Home 1.95
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 1.47
Over 3.5 2.16
Over 4.5 3.55
Under 2.5 2.38
Under 3.5 1.56
Under 4.5 1.22

Standings

North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 11 4 3 45:15 30 37
D L D W W
2 18 11 3 4 38:17 21 36
W W L W W
3 18 11 3 4 29:15 14 36
L L W W L
4 18 9 6 3 30:20 10 33
W L D L W
5 18 9 4 5 31:25 6 31
W W W W W
6 18 9 2 7 27:28 -1 29
D L W L L
7 18 8 4 6 27:28 -1 28
L W D L L
8 18 7 3 8 28:28 0 24
L W L W W
9 18 6 5 7 30:31 -1 23
L W W W W
10 18 6 5 7 28:35 -7 23
W D W D L
11 18 7 2 9 23:35 -12 23
W W L W W
12 18 4 8 6 17:25 -8 20
W W L D L
13 18 4 5 9 21:30 -9 17
D L L L L
14 18 4 3 11 23:39 -16 15
L L L L W
15 18 2 6 10 18:36 -18 12
D D D L L
16 18 2 5 11 36:44 -8 11
L L W L L