SWEDEN ETTAN - NORRA
--.--.---- --:--
Hammarby IP
Hammarby Talang
Match Timeline
Järfälla
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
40'
K. Marrah · Assist: A. Johansson
Hammarby Talang
🔄
40'
D. Markovski ↔ E. Drugge
Järfälla
45+1'
N. Medhin T
Järfälla
🔄
46'
K. Marrah ↔ G. Andren
Hammarby Talang
🔄
67'
A. Hamidi ↔ P. Saweris
Järfälla
🔄
67'
A. Wurtz ↔ K. Dahir
Järfälla
🔄
68'
W. Tervonen ↔ A. Lohake
Hammarby Talang
🟨
76'
D. Ponce
Hammarby Talang
🔄
78'
E. Lwampindy-Bofua ↔ L. Krasniqi
Hammarby Talang
🔄
78'
D. Ponce ↔ W. Gibson
Hammarby Talang
🔄
85'
A. Rajamohan ↔ C. Fox
Järfälla
🔄
86'
A. Khalil ↔ A. Sabery
Järfälla
🔄
86'
C. Eklund ↔ S. Moses
Hammarby Talang

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.9%
Odds 1.27
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.36
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.9%
1.27
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.67
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.36
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.73
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Hammarby Talang Win 69.9%
Draw 5%
Järfälla Win 25.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hammarby Talang2.25
Järfälla1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang
WWDLW
38 GF / 19 GA
Järfälla Järfälla
WLDWL
22 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
2.24
Average Goals Scored
1.47
1.12
Average Goals Conceded
2.27
8
BTTS Yes
10
12
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang 17 matches
Järfälla Järfälla 15 matches
Hammarby Talang Statistic Järfälla
10 Wins 3
3 Draws 3
4 Losses 9
38 Goals For 22
19 Goals Against 34
2.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
1.12 Avg Goals Conceded 2.27
8 BTTS Yes 10
16 Over 1.5 13
12 Over 2.5 11
8 Over 3.5 9
7 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Hammarby Talang's more proactive style and Järfälla's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Järfälla. Hammarby Talang come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Hammarby Talang arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 25 points compared to Järfälla in 12 on 11, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Järfälla having the stronger overall control.

Hammarby Talang Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 25 points from 11 games, Hammarby Talang bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 8 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 28:10, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by A. Johansson (5 goals), K. Marrah (5 goals), E. Sadarangani (3 goals), with creative support from W. Loqvist (3 assists), N. Ek (3 assists), K. Marrah (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Järfälla Analysis

Järfälla sit 12 with 11 points after 11 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 15:22, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through A. Khalil (5 goals), A. Wurtz (2 goals), N. Medhin T (2 goals), with creative support from F. Mazanti Nyberg (2 assists), A. Khalil (1 assists), A. Wurtz (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95%)
Last matches: Hammarby Talang
14.06.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Karlberg
2
0
W
06.06.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Gefle IF
4
0
W
30.05.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
AFC Eskilstuna
1
2
L
23.05.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Enköping
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Stockholm Internazionale
3
1
W
13.05.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Sollentuna
2
0
W
09.05.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Assyriska FF
4
0
W
02.05.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
IF Karlstad
2
0
W
27.04.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Vasalund
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Piteå
4
1
W
11.04.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Stocksund
4
2
W
06.04.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Umeå FC
1
2
L
28.03.26
Fri
Hammarby Talang
GIF Sundsvall
0
3
L
22.03.26
Fri
Hammarby Talang
Karlberg
0
3
L
14.03.26
Fri
Hammarby Talang
Orebro SK
2
2
D
01.03.26
Fri
Hammarby Talang
Vasalund
1
1
D
21.02.26
Fri
Hammarby Talang
Viggbyholms IK
5
0
W
Last matches: Järfälla
13.06.26
Ett
Järfälla
Arlanda
2
3
L
08.06.26
Ett
Järfälla
Stocksund
1
6
L
03.06.26
Ett
Järfälla
Vasalund
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ett
Järfälla
Gefle IF
4
0
W
16.05.26
Ett
Järfälla
Karlberg
3
1
W
13.05.26
Ett
Järfälla
Enköping
0
3
L
09.05.26
Ett
Järfälla
FBK Karlstad
0
2
L
03.05.26
Ett
Järfälla
Assyriska FF
3
3
D
26.04.26
Ett
Järfälla
Piteå
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ett
Järfälla
IF Karlstad
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ett
Järfälla
Sollentuna
0
1
L
04.04.26
Ett
Järfälla
AFC Eskilstuna
1
1
D
28.03.26
Fri
Järfälla
Enköping
2
2
D
14.03.26
Fri
Järfälla
Assyriska FF
1
3
L
24.01.26
Fri
Järfälla
Stockholm Internazionale
2
4
L
Last matches: Hammarby Talang
30.05.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
AFC Eskilstuna
1
2
L
16.05.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Stockholm Internazionale
3
1
W
09.05.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Assyriska FF
4
0
W
27.04.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Vasalund
2
2
D
06.04.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Umeå FC
1
2
L
22.03.26
Fri
Hammarby Talang
Karlberg
0
3
L
21.02.26
Fri
Hammarby Talang
Viggbyholms IK
5
0
W
Last matches: Järfälla
03.06.26
Ett
Järfälla
Vasalund
1
3
L
16.05.26
Ett
Järfälla
Karlberg
3
1
W
09.05.26
Ett
Järfälla
FBK Karlstad
0
2
L
03.05.26
Ett
Järfälla
Assyriska FF
3
3
D
18.04.26
Ett
Järfälla
IF Karlstad
1
2
L
04.04.26
Ett
Järfälla
AFC Eskilstuna
1
1
D
28.03.26
Fri
Järfälla
Enköping
2
2
D
14.03.26
Fri
Järfälla
Assyriska FF
1
3
L
24.01.26
Fri
Järfälla
Stockholm Internazionale
2
4
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 1.27
Draw 5.25
Away 8.00
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 1.62
Draw 2.88
Away 7.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Home 1.44
Draw 3.40
Away 7.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.10
Under 1.5 6.50
Over 2.5 1.36
Under 2.5 3.00
Over 3.5 1.83
Under 3.5 1.83
Over 0.5 1.00
Under 0.5 23.00
Over 8.5 17.00
Under 8.5 1.00
Over 4.5 3.00
Under 4.5 1.36
Over 7.5 11.00
Under 7.5 1.02
Over 5.5 4.50
Under 5.5 1.17
Over 6.5 8.00
Under 6.5 1.06
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 1.28
Draw 5.00
Away 8.40
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 1.73
Draw 2.58
Away 7.13
SECOND HALF WINNER
Home 1.51
Draw 3.40
Away 6.69
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.05
Under 1.5 6.40
Over 1.75 1.07
Under 1.75 5.90
Over 2.0 1.09
Under 2.0 5.40
Over 2.25 1.20
Under 2.25 3.68
Over 2.5 1.32
Under 2.5 2.88
Over 2.75 1.38
Under 2.75 2.62
Over 3.5 1.86
Under 3.5 1.84
Over 0.5 1.01
Under 0.5 18.00
Over 8.5 17.00
Under 8.5 1.00
Over 3.0 1.47
Under 3.0 2.35
Over 4.5 2.88
Under 4.5 1.32
Over 3.25 1.69
Under 3.25 2.05
Over 3.75 2.06
Under 3.75 1.68
Over 4.0 2.35
Under 4.0 1.47
Over 4.25 2.59
Under 4.25 1.39
Over 4.75 3.34
Under 4.75 1.24
Over 5.0 4.35
Under 5.0 1.14
Over 7.5 11.00
Under 7.5 1.02
Over 5.5 5.00
Under 5.5 1.10
Over 5.25 4.70
Under 5.25 1.12
Over 6.5 8.00
Under 6.5 1.06
Over 6.0 8.60
Under 6.0 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 1.26
Draw 5.20
Away 8.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.08
Under 1.5 5.80
Over 2.5 1.33
Under 2.5 2.90
Over 3.5 1.86
Under 3.5 1.78
Over 4.5 2.95
Under 4.5 1.32
Over 5.5 4.80
Under 5.5 1.12

Standings

North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 9 2 2 31:11 20 29
D W W L W
2 12 9 2 1 20:6 14 29
W W D W W
3 13 7 5 1 22:10 12 26
W W W L D
4 13 7 3 3 26:14 12 24
W W W D W
5 13 7 3 3 23:13 10 24
W L L D D
6 12 7 1 4 21:20 1 22
D W L L W
7 12 4 4 4 18:18 0 16
W D D L D
8 13 4 3 6 20:22 -2 15
W L L D L
9 12 4 3 5 17:21 -4 15
W W W L D
10 13 4 3 6 19:27 -8 15
L D L W W
11 13 2 7 4 11:15 -4 13
L D D D D
12 13 3 3 7 18:26 -8 12
D L L L W
13 13 3 2 8 15:28 -13 11
L L L W L
14 12 2 4 6 17:26 -9 10
L L W D D
15 13 1 5 7 27:34 -7 8
L D W D D
16 12 2 2 8 13:27 -14 8
L L D D W