SWEDEN ALLSVENSKAN
--.--.---- --:--
3Arena
Referee: Kristoffer Karlsson, Sweden
Hammarby FF
Match Timeline
Kalmar FF
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
10'
Paulos Abraham
Hammarby FF
🔄
46'
Abdussalam Magashy ↔ Nassef Chourak
Kalmar FF
🔄
46'
Victor Larsson ↔ Sivert Engh Overby
Kalmar FF
51'
Aboubacar Keita
Hammarby FF
🔄
63'
Victor Lind ↔ Frank Junior Adjei
Hammarby FF
🔄
63'
Tesfaldet Tekie ↔ Oscar Johansson Schellhas
Hammarby FF
🔄
67'
Charlie Rosenqvist ↔ Emeka Nnamani
Kalmar FF
🔄
67'
Anthony Olusanya ↔ Marius Söderbäck
Kalmar FF
🔄
74'
Aboubacar Keita ↔ Zakarias Ravik
Kalmar FF
🟨
78'
Moise Kaboré
Hammarby FF
🔄
78'
Paulos Abraham ↔ Moise Kaboré
Hammarby FF
🔄
78'
Montader Madjed ↔ Oliver Jordan Hagen
Hammarby FF
🟨
90+3'
Victor Eriksson
Hammarby FF

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 79.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
79.5%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Hammarby FF Win 79.5%
Draw 4.7%
Kalmar FF Win 15.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hammarby FF1.85
Kalmar FF1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hammarby FF Hammarby FF
WWDLW
41 GF / 26 GA
Kalmar FF Kalmar FF
WLDWL
32 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
2.16
Average Goals Scored
1.52
1.37
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
13
BTTS Yes
9
12
Over 2.5
12
7
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hammarby FF Hammarby FF 19 matches
Kalmar FF Kalmar FF 21 matches
Hammarby FF Statistic Kalmar FF
9 Wins 9
5 Draws 2
5 Losses 10
41 Goals For 32
26 Goals Against 29
2.16 Avg Goals Scored 1.52
1.37 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
13 BTTS Yes 9
17 Over 1.5 17
12 Over 2.5 12
7 Over 3.5 8
4 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 6
7 Shots On Goal 5
20.42 Total Shots 14.82
5.58 Corners 6
60% Ball Possession 48.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Hammarby FF's more proactive style and Kalmar FF's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Kalmar FF. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Hammarby FF arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 17 points compared to Kalmar FF in 12 on 10, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Hammarby FF Analysis

Hammarby FF approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 4 with 17 points from 11 matches. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 24:13 goal record continues to suggest mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Kalmar FF Analysis

With 10 points from 10 games and a place of 12, Kalmar FF still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 1 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 11:15 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Hammarby FF won 9 times, Kalmar FF won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 36:20 from Hammarby FF's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.3%)
Predicted formations: Hammarby FF 4-2-3-1 / Kalmar FF 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Hammarby FF 1, Kalmar FF 1
H2H summary: Hammarby FF wins 9, draws 4, Kalmar FF wins 2

Standings

Allsvenskan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 13 3 2 47:26 21 42
L L D W W
2 19 11 3 5 44:18 26 36
L W W W D
3 19 8 7 4 27:19 8 31
W D W W W
4 19 8 7 4 33:29 4 31
L W W L D
5 18 9 4 5 28:27 1 31
W W W L D
6 17 9 2 6 37:19 18 29
W L L W W
7 19 8 5 6 28:33 -5 29
W D L W L
8 18 8 2 8 32:30 2 26
L W L W L
9 18 6 6 6 27:27 0 24
W W D L D
10 18 6 5 7 21:18 3 23
L L W D L
11 19 6 5 8 24:39 -15 23
W D L W W
12 16 5 5 6 24:23 1 20
W L L D L
13 19 5 4 10 21:29 -8 19
L D L L D
14 19 4 4 11 17:31 -14 16
L L W W L
15 19 3 5 11 22:42 -20 14
L D L L W
16 19 2 5 12 13:35 -22 11
W D L L L
Qualifying
Qualifying
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