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GERMANY › BUNDESLIGA
17.10.2026 13:30
Volksparkstadion
Referee: Robert Hartmann
Hamburger SV
Match Timeline
VfB Stuttgart
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
54'
Warmed Omari
Hamburger SV
🔄
61'
Yussuf Poulsen ↔ Otto Emerson Stange
Hamburger SV
🔄
67'
Bilal El Khannouss ↔ Chris Führich
VfB Stuttgart
🔄
67'
Atakan Karazor ↔ Grischa Prömel
VfB Stuttgart
🔄
77'
Jamie Leweling ↔ Leo Sauer
VfB Stuttgart
🔄
77'
Ermedin Demirović ↔ Dženan Pejčinović
VfB Stuttgart
🔄
78'
Louis Pepe Lemke ↔ Zakaria El Ouahdi
Hamburger SV
🔄
78'
Fábio Vieira ↔ Terem Moffi
Hamburger SV
🔄
78'
Martin Adeline ↔ Albert Grönbaek
Hamburger SV
🟨
82'
Nicolás Capaldo
Hamburger SV
🔄
84'
Bilal Nadir ↔ Kofi Jeremy Amoako
Hamburger SV
🟨
85'
Otto Emerson Stange
Hamburger SV
⚽
88'
Miro Muheim · Assist: Zakaria El Ouahdi
Hamburger SV
🔄
89'
Ramon Hendriks ↔ Lorenz Assignon
VfB Stuttgart

Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 66.5%
Odds 1.25
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 2.75
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.42
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
66.5%
1.25 ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
2.75 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.42 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
88.7%
1.16 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.50 ▥
Correct Score 0-3
-
11.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Hamburger SV Win 33.5%
Draw 21.3%
VfB Stuttgart Win 45.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hamburger SV1.35
VfB Stuttgart2.75
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
WWDLW
17 GF / 24 GA
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
WLDWL
50 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.55
Average Goals Scored
3.13
2.18
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
7
BTTS Yes
8
9
Over 2.5
13
3.8
Shots on Goal
5.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 11 matches
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 16 matches
Hamburger SV Statistic VfB Stuttgart
5 Wins 11
1 Draws 1
5 Losses 4
17 Goals For 50
24 Goals Against 17
1.55 Avg Goals Scored 3.13
2.18 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
7 BTTS Yes 8
11 Over 1.5 14
9 Over 2.5 13
6 Over 3.5 10
1 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 2
3.8 Shots On Goal 5.86
10.6 Total Shots 16
3.6 Corners 6
43.2% Ball Possession 55.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Hamburger SV won 4 times, VfB Stuttgart won 10 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:31 from Hamburger SV's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.7%)
Predicted formations: Hamburger SV 3-5-2 / VfB Stuttgart 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Hamburger SV 5, VfB Stuttgart 6
H2H summary: Hamburger SV wins 4, draws 1, VfB Stuttgart wins 10

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 4 1 0 14:4 10 13
W D W W W
2 5 4 1 0 11:4 7 13
D W W W W
3 5 3 2 0 16:4 12 11
D W W D W
4 5 3 1 1 14:8 6 10
W W D W L
5 5 3 0 2 15:5 10 9
W L W L W
6 5 2 2 1 13:8 5 8
D L D W W
7 5 2 2 1 10:10 0 8
D W D W L
8 6 2 2 2 10:16 -6 8
W L D W L
9 5 2 1 2 13:10 3 7
L W L W D
10 5 2 1 2 8:8 0 7
L D L W W
11 6 2 1 3 8:11 -3 7
L W L D L
12 5 2 0 3 8:9 -1 6
W L L W L
13 5 2 0 3 5:15 -10 6
W W L L L
14 5 1 2 2 4:6 -2 5
L D W D L
15 5 1 1 3 3:7 -4 4
L W L L D
16 5 1 1 3 5:17 -12 4
W L L L D
17 5 1 0 4 9:13 -4 3
L L W L L
18 5 0 0 5 7:18 -11 0
L L L L L
Champions League league stage
Europa League league stage
Qualifying
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation