Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
85.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
9.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
12.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
68.8%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Hamburger SV
SC Freiburg
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Hamburger SV
32 matches
SC Freiburg
46 matches
| Hamburger SV | Statistic | SC Freiburg |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 21 |
| 10 | Draws | 10 |
| 14 | Losses | 15 |
| 36 | Goals For | 70 |
| 51 | Goals Against | 63 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.52 |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.37 |
| 20 | BTTS Yes | 26 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 35 |
| 18 | Over 2.5 | 27 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 15 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 12 |
| 4.5 | Shots On Goal | 4.52 |
| 12.03 | Total Shots | 12.85 |
| 3.75 | Corners | 4.28 |
| 45.5% | Ball Possession | 48.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors SC Freiburg. Hamburger SV have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Hamburger SV expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and SC Freiburg in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward SC Freiburg having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
Hamburger SV sit 12 with 34 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 8 wins, 10 draws, and 14 losses, together with goals at 36:51, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through F. Vieira (6 goals), A. S. Lokonga (5 goals), L. Vuskovic (5 goals), with creative support from F. Vieira (5 assists), Miro Muheim (4 assists), W. Mikelbrencis (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 32 matches, SC Freiburg have collected 44 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 8 draws, and 12 losses, while the 45:53 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on I. Matanovic (8 goals), V. Grifo (7 goals), Johan Manzambi (5 goals), with creative support from Matthias Ginter (4 assists), V. Grifo (3 assists), Johan Manzambi (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses fits a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Hamburger SV won 3 times, SC Freiburg won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:21 from Hamburger SV's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122:36 | 86 | 89 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70:34 | 36 | 73 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66:47 | 19 | 65 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71:49 | 22 | 62 |
D
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65:52 | 13 | 61 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68:47 | 21 | 59 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 |
SC Freiburg
Away
|
34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51:57 | -6 | 47 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
| 8 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61:65 | -4 | 44 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45:61 | -16 | 43 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44:53 | -9 | 40 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44:58 | -14 | 39 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42:53 | -11 | 38 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 |
Hamburger SV
Home
|
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:54 | -14 | 38 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
| 14 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49:63 | -14 | 32 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37:60 | -23 | 32 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45:69 | -24 | 29 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41:72 | -31 | 26 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:60 | -31 | 26 |
L
L
L
L
D
|