GERMANY › BUNDESLIGA
04.03.2026 19:30
Volksparkstadion
Referee: Sören Storks, Germany
Hamburger SV
Match Timeline
Bayer Leverkusen
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
15'
Ibrahim Maza
Bayer Leverkusen
🔄
29'
B. Jatta ↔ W. Mikelbrencis
Hamburger SV
🟨
40'
Aleix García
Bayer Leverkusen
🔄
65'
W. Omari ↔ J. Torunarigha
Hamburger SV
🔄
65'
R. Philippe ↔ O. Stange
Hamburger SV
🔄
65'
D. Downs ↔ J. Dompe
Hamburger SV
🔄
71'
M. Terrier ↔ M. Tillman
Bayer Leverkusen
⚽
73'
C. Kofane · Assist: I. Maza
Bayer Leverkusen
🔄
80'
M. Culbreath ↔ E. Poku
Bayer Leverkusen
🔄
81'
R. Konigsdorffer ↔ A. S. Lokonga
Hamburger SV
🟨
90+5'
Exequiel Palacios
Bayer Leverkusen
🔄
90'
I. Maza ↔ E. Fernandez
Bayer Leverkusen

Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Hamburger SV Win 0%
Draw 0%
Bayer Leverkusen Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hamburger SV1.2
Bayer Leverkusen1.67
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
WWDLW
26 GF / 34 GA
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
WLDWL
59 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
1.79
1.48
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
13
BTTS Yes
17
12
Over 2.5
17
4.74
Shots on Goal
4.45

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 23 matches
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 33 matches
Hamburger SV Statistic Bayer Leverkusen
6 Wins 16
8 Draws 8
9 Losses 9
26 Goals For 59
34 Goals Against 43
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 1.79
1.48 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3
13 BTTS Yes 17
17 Over 1.5 28
12 Over 2.5 17
7 Over 3.5 12
6 Clean Sheets 11
8 Failed To Score 6
4.74 Shots On Goal 4.45
12.91 Total Shots 12.97
3.87 Corners 4.97
47.2% Ball Possession 57.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Hamburger SV won 3 times, Bayer Leverkusen won 9 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:26 from Hamburger SV's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Hamburger SV 3-4-2-1 / Bayer Leverkusen 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Hamburger SV wins 3, draws 3, Bayer Leverkusen wins 9

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 5 1 122:36 86 89
W W D W W
2 34 22 7 5 70:34 36 73
W W L W L
3 34 20 5 9 66:47 19 65
L W L W W
4 34 18 8 8 71:49 22 62
D W D D L
5 34 18 7 9 65:52 13 61
L W D W W
6 34 17 8 9 68:47 21 59
D L W W L
7 34 13 8 13 51:57 -6 47
W L D L W
8 34 11 11 12 61:65 -4 44
D L L D L
9 34 12 7 15 45:61 -16 43
L W W D W
10 34 10 10 14 44:53 -9 40
W L W L D
11 34 10 9 15 44:58 -14 39
W W D L L
12 34 9 11 14 42:53 -11 38
W L W D D
13 34 9 11 14 40:54 -14 38
D W W L L
14 34 7 11 16 49:63 -14 32
L L D L D
15 34 8 8 18 37:60 -23 32
L L L D W
16 34 7 8 19 45:69 -24 29
L D W L D
17 34 6 8 20 41:72 -31 26
L W D W L
18 34 6 8 20 29:60 -31 26
L L L L D
Champions League
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation