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19.09.2026 13:30
Volksparkstadion
Referee: Matthias Jollenbeck, Germany
Hamburger SV
Match Timeline
1. FC Köln
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
10'
Albert Grønbæk
Hamburger SV
⚽
44'
N. Capaldo · Assist: A. Gronbaek
Hamburger SV
🔄
46'
T. Moffi ↔ Y. Poulsen
Hamburger SV
⚽
49'
Y. Poulsen · Assist: A. Gronbaek
Hamburger SV
🟨
54'
Gideon Mensah
1. FC Köln
🔄
64'
G. Mensah ↔ B. Sosa
1. FC Köln
🔄
64'
T. Dallinga ↔ R. Ache
1. FC Köln
🔄
67'
A. Gronbaek ↔ P. Daka
Hamburger SV
🔄
67'
A. Castro-Montes ↔ I. Johannesson
1. FC Köln
🟨
77'
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson
1. FC Köln
🔄
77'
D. Wolfe ↔ L. Lemke
Hamburger SV
🔄
77'
Z. El Ouahdi ↔ B. Jatta
Hamburger SV
🔄
81'
T. Krauss ↔ L. Waldschmidt
1. FC Köln
🔄
81'
L. Maina ↔ M. Bulter
1. FC Köln
🟨
84'
Ellyes Skhiri
1. FC Köln
🔄
90'
A. S. Lokonga ↔ M. Adeline
Hamburger SV
⚽
90'
R. Ache · Assist: E. Skhiri
1. FC Köln

Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Köln Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 74.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
74.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Hamburger SV Win 25.5%
Draw 19.9%
1. FC Köln Win 54.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hamburger SV1.38
1. FC Köln2.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
L L L W D
4 GF / 15 GA
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln
D L W W D
9 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
2.71
2.63
Average Goals Conceded
1.57
5
BTTS Yes
6
7
Over 2.5
6
2.67
Shots on Goal
5.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 8 matches
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 7 matches
Hamburger SV Statistic 1. FC Köln
2 Wins 4
1 Draws 2
5 Losses 1
10 Goals For 19
21 Goals Against 11
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 2.71
2.63 Avg Goals Conceded 1.57
5 BTTS Yes 6
8 Over 1.5 7
7 Over 2.5 6
5 Over 3.5 4
0 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 0
2.67 Shots On Goal 5.67
8.67 Total Shots 17
4 Corners 7.33
45% Ball Possession 43.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Hamburger SV won 6 times, 1. FC Köln won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:22 from Hamburger SV's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.1%)
Predicted formations: Hamburger SV 3-4-2-1 / 1. FC Köln 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Hamburger SV 3, 1. FC Köln 1
H2H summary: Hamburger SV wins 6, draws 4, 1. FC Köln wins 5

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 2 0 25:6 19 17
W W D W W
2 7 5 2 0 12:4 8 17
W D D W W
3 7 4 1 2 16:9 7 13
L L W D W
4 7 4 1 2 16:12 4 13
L W W W D
5 7 4 0 3 20:11 9 12
W L W L W
6 7 3 3 1 15:14 1 12
W D D W D
7 7 3 1 3 16:13 3 10
L W L W L
8 7 3 1 3 12:15 -3 10
L W L D L
9 7 2 3 2 17:13 4 9
D L D L D
10 7 3 0 4 14:14 0 9
W W L L W
11 7 3 0 4 6:16 -10 9
L W W W L
12 7 2 2 3 8:11 -3 8
D L W L D
13 7 2 2 3 6:9 -3 8
W D L W L
14 7 2 2 3 10:17 -7 8
L W L D W
15 7 2 0 5 10:13 -3 6
L L W L L
16 7 1 3 3 4:7 -3 6
D L L D W
17 7 1 3 3 6:18 -12 6
D D W L L
18 7 1 0 6 11:22 -11 3
W L L L L
Champions League league stage
Europa League league stage
Qualifying
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation