GERMANY BUNDESLIGA
19.09.2026 13:30
Volksparkstadion
Referee: Matthias Jollenbeck
Hamburger SV
Match Timeline
1. FC Köln
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
10'
Albert Grönbaek
Hamburger SV
44'
Nicolás Capaldo · Assist: Albert Grönbaek
Hamburger SV
🔄
45'
Terem Moffi ↔ Yussuf Poulsen
Hamburger SV
49'
Yussuf Poulsen · Assist: Albert Grönbaek
Hamburger SV
🟨
54'
Gideon Mensah
1. FC Köln
🔄
64'
Gideon Mensah ↔ Borna Sosa
1. FC Köln
🔄
64'
Thijs Dallinga ↔ Ragnar Ache
1. FC Köln
🔄
67'
Albert Grönbaek ↔ Patson Daka
Hamburger SV
🔄
67'
Alessio Castro-Montes ↔ Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson
1. FC Köln
🔄
77'
David Moller Wolfe ↔ Louis Pepe Lemke
Hamburger SV
🔄
77'
Zakaria El Ouahdi ↔ Bakery Jatta
Hamburger SV
🟨
77'
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson
1. FC Köln
🔄
81'
Tom Krauß ↔ Luca Waldschmidt
1. FC Köln
🔄
81'
Linton Maina ↔ Marius Bülter
1. FC Köln
🟨
84'
Ellyes Skhiri
1. FC Köln
🔄
90'
Albert Sambi Lokonga ↔ Martin Adeline
Hamburger SV
90'
Ragnar Ache · Assist: Ellyes Skhiri
1. FC Köln

Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Köln Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 74.5%
Odds 1.44
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds 1.67
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
74.5%
1.44
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.50
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
1.67
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.18
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Hamburger SV Win 25.5%
Draw 19.9%
1. FC Köln Win 54.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hamburger SV1.38
1. FC Köln2.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
WWDLW
10 GF / 21 GA
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln
WLDWL
19 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
2.71
2.63
Average Goals Conceded
1.57
5
BTTS Yes
6
7
Over 2.5
6
2.67
Shots on Goal
5.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 8 matches
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 7 matches
Hamburger SV Statistic 1. FC Köln
2 Wins 4
1 Draws 2
5 Losses 1
10 Goals For 19
21 Goals Against 11
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 2.71
2.63 Avg Goals Conceded 1.57
5 BTTS Yes 6
8 Over 1.5 7
7 Over 2.5 6
5 Over 3.5 4
0 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 0
2.67 Shots On Goal 5.67
8.67 Total Shots 17
4 Corners 7.33
45% Ball Possession 43.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Hamburger SV won 6 times, 1. FC Köln won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:22 from Hamburger SV's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.1%)
Predicted formations: Hamburger SV 3-4-2-1 / 1. FC Köln 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Hamburger SV 3, 1. FC Köln 1
H2H summary: Hamburger SV wins 6, draws 4, 1. FC Köln wins 5

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 4 0 0 9:2 7 12
W W W W
2 4 3 1 0 14:2 12 10
W W D W
3 4 3 1 0 12:3 9 10
D W W W
4 4 2 1 1 11:6 5 7
L D W W
5 4 2 1 1 10:5 5 7
W D W L
6 4 2 1 1 10:6 4 7
W L W D
7 4 2 1 1 8:7 1 7
D L W W
8 4 2 1 1 8:8 0 7
W D W L
9 4 2 0 2 9:5 4 6
L W L W
10 4 1 2 1 9:10 -1 5
D W L D
11 4 1 2 1 3:4 -1 5
D W D L
12 4 1 1 2 3:5 -2 4
W L L D
13 4 1 1 2 6:9 -3 4
L D L W
14 4 1 0 3 7:10 -3 3
L W L L
15 4 1 0 3 6:9 -3 3
L L W L
16 4 1 0 3 2:13 -11 3
W L L L
17 4 0 1 3 4:17 -13 1
L L L D
18 4 0 0 4 6:16 -10 0
L L L L
Champions League league stage
Europa League league stage
Qualifying
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation