NORWAY ELITESERIEN
08.05.2026 17:00
Briskeby Arena
Referee: S. T. Sinnes
Ham-Kam
Match Timeline
Valerenga
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
H. Udahl
Ham-Kam
🔄
26'
A. Ekeroth ↔ V. Jonsson
Ham-Kam
🟨
28'
Magnus Westergaard
Valerenga
🔄
46'
A. Trondsen ↔ L. Mettler
Ham-Kam
🟨
50'
Aaron Kiil Olsen
Valerenga
🔄
65'
V. Hedenstad ↔ P. Strand
Valerenga
🔄
65'
L. Haren ↔ E. Sorensen
Valerenga
🔄
68'
A. Potur ↔ M. Johnsgard
Ham-Kam
🟨
72'
Kolbeinn Finnsson
Valerenga
🟨
74'
Henrik Bjørdal
Valerenga
🔄
75'
M. Westergaard ↔ F. Ambina
Valerenga
🔄
75'
H. Bjordal ↔ O. T. Holm
Valerenga
🔄
82'
I. Hoffmann ↔ S. Nilsen
Ham-Kam
🔄
82'
F. Sjolstad ↔ I. Kukleci
Ham-Kam
🔄
86'
A. Olsen ↔ K. Tshiembe
Valerenga

Ham-Kam vs Valerenga Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 22.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
22.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ham-Kam Win 69.3%
Draw 0%
Valerenga Win 30.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ham-Kam1.71
Valerenga1.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ham-Kam Ham-Kam
WWDLW
24 GF / 20 GA
Valerenga Valerenga
WLDWL
26 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.85
Average Goals Scored
1.86
1.54
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
8
BTTS Yes
7
9
Over 2.5
7
3.83
Shots on Goal
4.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ham-Kam Ham-Kam 13 matches
Valerenga Valerenga 14 matches
Ham-Kam Statistic Valerenga
6 Wins 7
2 Draws 3
5 Losses 4
24 Goals For 26
20 Goals Against 21
1.85 Avg Goals Scored 1.86
1.54 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
8 BTTS Yes 7
12 Over 1.5 10
9 Over 2.5 7
6 Over 3.5 6
4 Clean Sheets 5
1 Failed To Score 2
3.83 Shots On Goal 4.86
11 Total Shots 14.29
4.5 Corners 7.71
45.3% Ball Possession 44.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ham-Kam expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Valerenga in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Valerenga having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Valerenga arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Valerenga. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Ham-Kam Analysis

So far, Ham-Kam have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 10 points from 6 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, while the 11:12 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on H. Udahl (4 goals), M. Niang (4 goals), E. Amundsen-Day (1 goals), with creative support from V. Jonsson (2 assists), L. Mettler (1 assists), Aksel Baran Potur (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with L. Mares unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Valerenga Analysis

Valerenga sit 11 with 8 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 7:11, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through C. Lange (2 goals), Lucas Haren (2 goals), I. Nasberg (1 goals), with creative support from M. Grundetjern (1 assists), H. Bjordal (1 assists), K. Finnsson (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with M. Ofkir, O. Saeter unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Ham-Kam won 4 times, Valerenga won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:12 from Ham-Kam's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Ham-Kam 5-3-2 / Valerenga 4-4-2
Missing players: Ham-Kam 1, Valerenga 2
H2H summary: Ham-Kam wins 4, draws 4, Valerenga wins 2

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 14 2 2 47:14 33 44
W W W W W
2 18 14 1 3 42:18 24 43
W L W W D
3 18 10 5 3 34:20 14 35
D L W W W
4 18 9 3 6 36:29 7 30
W W L D W
5 18 8 2 8 36:27 9 26
D W W L W
6 18 8 2 8 24:25 -1 26
L D L L L
7 18 8 2 8 22:28 -6 26
W W W W L
8 18 7 3 8 27:26 1 24
L W W L W
9 18 6 5 7 20:23 -3 23
D L L D W
10 18 6 5 7 26:32 -6 23
D L D W L
11 18 6 3 9 31:38 -7 21
L D L L W
12 18 5 4 9 15:23 -8 19
D W L L L
13 18 5 4 9 20:31 -11 19
L D W W L
14 18 4 4 10 17:29 -12 16
D L W L L
15 18 2 9 7 28:43 -15 15
L D D L D
16 18 3 4 11 20:39 -19 13
W L L W L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen