NORWAY ELITESERIEN
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Briskeby Arena

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.2%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ham-Kam Win 55.2%
Draw 4.3%
Tromso Win 40.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ham-Kam1.38
Tromso1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ham-Kam Ham-Kam
WWDLW
33 GF / 26 GA
Tromso Tromso
WLDWL
27 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.74
Average Goals Scored
1.42
1.37
Average Goals Conceded
0.84
12
BTTS Yes
6
12
Over 2.5
6
4.8
Shots on Goal
5.15

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ham-Kam Ham-Kam 19 matches
Tromso Tromso 19 matches
Ham-Kam Statistic Tromso
9 Wins 11
4 Draws 6
6 Losses 2
33 Goals For 27
26 Goals Against 16
1.74 Avg Goals Scored 1.42
1.37 Avg Goals Conceded 0.84
12 BTTS Yes 6
17 Over 1.5 13
12 Over 2.5 6
7 Over 3.5 5
6 Clean Sheets 11
1 Failed To Score 5
4.8 Shots On Goal 5.15
11.6 Total Shots 13.38
4.3 Corners 5.77
46.4% Ball Possession 49.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Tromso. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Ham-Kam Analysis

Ham-Kam are currently 6 in the standings with 17 points from 10 matches. The record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 17:16 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through H. Udahl (5 goals), M. Niang (4 goals), Aksel Baran Potur (2 goals), with creative support from M. Gjone (2 assists), Patrick Metcalfe (2 assists), V. Jonsson (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Tromso Analysis

Tromso arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 25 points after 13 matches. The record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 18:14 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. Hjerto-Dahl (5 goals), H. Larsen (3 goals), A. Thongla-Iad Warneryd (2 goals), with creative support from R. Jenssen (5 assists), J. Hjerto-Dahl (2 assists), H. Larsen (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Ham-Kam won 2 times, Tromso won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:23 from Ham-Kam's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.7%)
Predicted formations: Ham-Kam 5-3-2 / Tromso 5-3-2
H2H summary: Ham-Kam wins 2, draws 3, Tromso wins 10
Last matches: Ham-Kam
27.06.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
IFK Goteborg
2
1
W
20.06.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Fredrikstad
1
1
D
29.05.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Aalesund
2
2
D
25.05.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Lillestrom
2
0
W
16.05.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Fredrikstad
1
2
L
08.05.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Valerenga
1
0
W
03.05.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Kristiansund BK
1
1
D
26.04.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Start
2
1
W
19.04.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
KFUM Oslo
4
0
W
12.04.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Molde
1
4
L
06.04.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Brann
1
5
L
26.03.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
2
D
14.03.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Viking
2
1
W
01.03.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Lyn
4
0
W
25.02.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Haugesund
2
0
W
18.02.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Kristiansund BK
1
2
L
13.02.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
3
L
06.02.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Kongsvinger
2
0
W
30.01.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Lillestrom
0
1
L
Last matches: Tromso
25.06.26
Fri
Tromso
Orgryte IS
4
1
W
29.05.26
Eli
Tromso
KFUM Oslo
0
0
D
25.05.26
Eli
Tromso
Aalesund
1
1
D
16.05.26
Eli
Tromso
Bodo/Glimt
0
5
L
10.05.26
Eli
Tromso
Molde
2
0
W
03.05.26
Eli
Tromso
Start
1
1
D
29.04.26
Eli
Tromso
Brann
0
5
L
26.04.26
Eli
Tromso
Sandefjord
3
1
W
19.04.26
Eli
Tromso
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
0
W
15.04.26
Eli
Tromso
Lillestrom
0
0
D
11.04.26
Eli
Tromso
Kristiansund BK
2
0
W
06.04.26
Eli
Tromso
Rosenborg
2
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
Tromso
Start
1
0
W
22.03.26
Eli
Tromso
Brann
2
1
W
15.03.26
Eli
Tromso
Fredrikstad
4
0
W
27.02.26
Fri
Tromso
Lillestrom
0
0
D
20.02.26
Fri
Tromso
Viking
1
1
D
13.02.26
Fri
Tromso
Bryne
1
0
W
18.01.26
Fri
Tromso
Lyn
2
0
W
H2H: Ham-Kam vs Tromso
21.09.25
H2H
Tromso
Ham-Kam
1
0
L
22.06.25
H2H
Ham-Kam
Tromso
1
3
L
22.03.25
H2H
Tromso
Ham-Kam
2
0
L
03.11.24
H2H
Tromso
Ham-Kam
3
3
D
07.07.24
H2H
Ham-Kam
Tromso
0
0
D
23.03.24
H2H
Tromso
Ham-Kam
0
1
W
17.09.23
H2H
Tromso
Ham-Kam
2
1
L
13.05.23
H2H
Ham-Kam
Tromso
1
2
L
02.04.23
H2H
Tromso
Ham-Kam
1
0
L
06.11.22
H2H
Ham-Kam
Tromso
1
2
L
17.08.22
H2H
Ham-Kam
Tromso
0
0
D
10.04.22
H2H
Tromso
Ham-Kam
2
1
L
12.03.22
H2H
Ham-Kam
Tromso
1
0
W
28.10.20
H2H
Tromso
Ham-Kam
3
1
L
27.08.20
H2H
Ham-Kam
Tromso
0
2
L
Last matches: Ham-Kam
25.05.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Lillestrom
2
0
W
08.05.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Valerenga
1
0
W
26.04.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Start
2
1
W
19.04.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
KFUM Oslo
4
0
W
06.04.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Brann
1
5
L
14.03.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Viking
2
1
W
01.03.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Lyn
4
0
W
06.02.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Kongsvinger
2
0
W
H2H at home: Ham-Kam
22.06.25
H2H
Ham-Kam
Tromso
1
3
L
07.07.24
H2H
Ham-Kam
Tromso
0
0
D
13.05.23
H2H
Ham-Kam
Tromso
1
2
L
06.11.22
H2H
Ham-Kam
Tromso
1
2
L
17.08.22
H2H
Ham-Kam
Tromso
0
0
D
12.03.22
H2H
Ham-Kam
Tromso
1
0
W
27.08.20
H2H
Ham-Kam
Tromso
0
2
L
Last matches: Tromso
29.05.26
Eli
Tromso
KFUM Oslo
0
0
D
16.05.26
Eli
Tromso
Bodo/Glimt
0
5
L
03.05.26
Eli
Tromso
Start
1
1
D
19.04.26
Eli
Tromso
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
0
W
22.03.26
Eli
Tromso
Brann
2
1
W
18.01.26
Fri
Tromso
Lyn
2
0
W
H2H away: Tromso
22.06.25
H2H
Ham-Kam
Tromso
1
3
W
07.07.24
H2H
Ham-Kam
Tromso
0
0
D
13.05.23
H2H
Ham-Kam
Tromso
1
2
W
06.11.22
H2H
Ham-Kam
Tromso
1
2
W
17.08.22
H2H
Ham-Kam
Tromso
0
0
D
12.03.22
H2H
Ham-Kam
Tromso
1
0
L
27.08.20
H2H
Ham-Kam
Tromso
0
2
W

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 9 0 1 29:10 19 27
W W W W W
2 13 7 4 2 18:14 4 25
D D L W D
3 11 7 2 2 28:11 17 23
D W W W L
4 11 6 1 4 17:11 6 19
L L W L W
5 11 6 1 4 18:13 5 19
W L W L W
6 10 5 2 3 17:16 1 17
D W L W D
7 11 4 2 5 13:16 -3 14
W W L W L
8 11 4 2 5 10:13 -3 14
L D L W W
9 11 4 2 5 13:17 -4 14
W L W L D
10 11 4 2 5 15:20 -5 14
W D W L L
11 12 4 1 7 24:20 4 13
L L L W W
12 11 3 3 5 12:17 -5 12
D W L L D
13 11 2 5 4 15:20 -5 11
D D W W L
14 11 3 2 6 11:18 -7 11
L L W L L
15 11 2 3 6 9:18 -9 9
D L L W L
16 12 1 4 7 13:28 -15 7
L W L L D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen