NORWAY ELITESERIEN
--.--.---- --:--
Briskeby Arena
Referee: M. Kellerhals

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 53.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
53.8%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ham-Kam Win 53.8%
Draw 4.2%
Tromso Win 42%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ham-Kam1.37
Tromso1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ham-Kam Ham-Kam
WWDLW
35 GF / 28 GA
Tromso Tromso
WLDWL
31 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.75
Average Goals Scored
1.55
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
0.8
13
BTTS Yes
6
13
Over 2.5
7
4.64
Shots on Goal
5.36

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ham-Kam Ham-Kam 20 matches
Tromso Tromso 20 matches
Ham-Kam Statistic Tromso
9 Wins 12
5 Draws 6
6 Losses 2
35 Goals For 31
28 Goals Against 16
1.75 Avg Goals Scored 1.55
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 0.8
13 BTTS Yes 6
18 Over 1.5 14
13 Over 2.5 7
8 Over 3.5 6
6 Clean Sheets 12
1 Failed To Score 5
4.64 Shots On Goal 5.36
11.36 Total Shots 13.36
4.55 Corners 5.64
47% Ball Possession 48.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Tromso. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Ham-Kam Analysis

So far, Ham-Kam have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 18 points from 11 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 19:18 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Mame Alassane Niang (5 goals), Henrik Udahl (4 goals), Aksel Baran Potur (3 goals), with creative support from Patrick Metcalfe (3 assists), Martin Gjone (2 assists), Viðar Ari Jónsson (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Tromso Analysis

Tromso arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 28 points after 14 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 22:14 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Heine Asen Larsen (3 goals), Jens Hjertø-Dahl (2 goals), Troy Nyhammer (2 goals), with creative support from Ruben Jenssen (4 assists), Jens Hjertø-Dahl (2 assists), Vetle Skjaervik (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Ham-Kam won 2 times, Tromso won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:25 from Ham-Kam's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
Predicted formations: Ham-Kam 5-3-2 / Tromso 5-3-2
Missing players: Ham-Kam 1, Tromso 1
H2H summary: Ham-Kam wins 2, draws 3, Tromso wins 10
Last matches: Ham-Kam
26.07.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
1
L
22.07.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Bodo/Glimt
0
3
L
12.07.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Sandefjord
2
2
D
27.06.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
IFK Goteborg
2
1
W
20.06.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Fredrikstad
1
1
D
29.05.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Aalesund
2
2
D
25.05.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Lillestrom
2
0
W
16.05.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Fredrikstad
1
2
L
08.05.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Valerenga
1
0
W
03.05.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Kristiansund BK
1
1
D
26.04.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Start
2
1
W
19.04.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
KFUM Oslo
4
0
W
12.04.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Molde
1
4
L
06.04.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Brann
1
5
L
26.03.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
2
D
14.03.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Viking
2
1
W
01.03.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Lyn
4
0
W
25.02.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Haugesund
2
0
W
18.02.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Kristiansund BK
1
2
L
13.02.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
3
L
Last matches: Tromso
30.07.26
UEF
Tromso
Hradec Králové
1
3
L
23.07.26
UEF
Tromso
Hradec Králové
0
1
L
11.07.26
Eli
Tromso
Valerenga
4
0
W
25.06.26
Fri
Tromso
Orgryte IS
4
1
W
29.05.26
Eli
Tromso
KFUM Oslo
0
0
D
25.05.26
Eli
Tromso
Aalesund
1
1
D
16.05.26
Eli
Tromso
Bodo/Glimt
0
5
L
10.05.26
Eli
Tromso
Molde
2
0
W
03.05.26
Eli
Tromso
Start
1
1
D
29.04.26
Eli
Tromso
Brann
0
5
L
26.04.26
Eli
Tromso
Sandefjord
3
1
W
19.04.26
Eli
Tromso
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
0
W
15.04.26
Eli
Tromso
Lillestrom
0
0
D
11.04.26
Eli
Tromso
Kristiansund BK
2
0
W
06.04.26
Eli
Tromso
Rosenborg
2
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
Tromso
Start
1
0
W
22.03.26
Eli
Tromso
Brann
2
1
W
15.03.26
Eli
Tromso
Fredrikstad
4
0
W
27.02.26
Fri
Tromso
Lillestrom
0
0
D
20.02.26
Fri
Tromso
Viking
1
1
D
H2H: Ham-Kam vs Tromso
18.07.26
H2H
Ham-Kam
Tromso
1
4
L
21.09.25
H2H
Tromso
Ham-Kam
1
0
L
22.06.25
H2H
Ham-Kam
Tromso
1
3
L
22.03.25
H2H
Tromso
Ham-Kam
2
0
L
03.11.24
H2H
Tromso
Ham-Kam
3
3
D
07.07.24
H2H
Ham-Kam
Tromso
0
0
D
23.03.24
H2H
Tromso
Ham-Kam
0
1
W
17.09.23
H2H
Tromso
Ham-Kam
2
1
L
13.05.23
H2H
Ham-Kam
Tromso
1
2
L
02.04.23
H2H
Tromso
Ham-Kam
1
0
L
06.11.22
H2H
Ham-Kam
Tromso
1
2
L
17.08.22
H2H
Ham-Kam
Tromso
0
0
D
10.04.22
H2H
Tromso
Ham-Kam
2
1
L
12.03.22
H2H
Ham-Kam
Tromso
1
0
W
28.10.20
H2H
Tromso
Ham-Kam
3
1
L
Last matches: Ham-Kam
25.05.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Lillestrom
2
0
W
08.05.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Valerenga
1
0
W
26.04.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Start
2
1
W
19.04.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
KFUM Oslo
4
0
W
06.04.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Brann
1
5
L
14.03.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Viking
2
1
W
01.03.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Lyn
4
0
W
06.02.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Kongsvinger
2
0
W
H2H at home: Ham-Kam
18.07.26
H2H
Ham-Kam
Tromso
1
4
L
22.06.25
H2H
Ham-Kam
Tromso
1
3
L
07.07.24
H2H
Ham-Kam
Tromso
0
0
D
13.05.23
H2H
Ham-Kam
Tromso
1
2
L
06.11.22
H2H
Ham-Kam
Tromso
1
2
L
17.08.22
H2H
Ham-Kam
Tromso
0
0
D
12.03.22
H2H
Ham-Kam
Tromso
1
0
W
Last matches: Tromso
30.07.26
UEF
Tromso
Hradec Králové
1
3
L
29.05.26
Eli
Tromso
KFUM Oslo
0
0
D
16.05.26
Eli
Tromso
Bodo/Glimt
0
5
L
03.05.26
Eli
Tromso
Start
1
1
D
19.04.26
Eli
Tromso
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
0
W
22.03.26
Eli
Tromso
Brann
2
1
W
18.01.26
Fri
Tromso
Lyn
2
0
W
H2H away: Tromso
18.07.26
H2H
Ham-Kam
Tromso
1
4
W
22.06.25
H2H
Ham-Kam
Tromso
1
3
W
07.07.24
H2H
Ham-Kam
Tromso
0
0
D
13.05.23
H2H
Ham-Kam
Tromso
1
2
W
06.11.22
H2H
Ham-Kam
Tromso
1
2
W
17.08.22
H2H
Ham-Kam
Tromso
0
0
D
12.03.22
H2H
Ham-Kam
Tromso
1
0
L

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 11 2 2 37:11 26 35
W W W W D
2 14 11 1 2 34:14 20 34
D W W L W
3 15 9 4 2 26:15 11 31
W W D D L
4 14 8 1 5 22:14 8 25
L W W L L
5 14 7 2 5 25:19 6 23
W L D W L
6 14 6 3 5 15:16 -1 21
W D W W W
7 14 6 2 6 22:24 -2 20
W W L W L
8 15 6 1 8 30:25 5 19
L W W L L
9 14 5 3 6 19:18 1 18
W W W D L
10 14 5 3 6 20:26 -6 18
L L L D D
11 14 4 3 7 13:20 -7 15
L L D L D
12 14 4 2 8 15:27 -12 14
L L L W D
13 14 2 7 5 19:29 -10 13
D L D D D
14 14 3 3 8 15:25 -10 12
L L L D W
15 14 3 3 8 12:23 -11 12
L D L L L
16 15 2 4 9 16:34 -18 10
W L L L W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen

Missing Players

Ham-Kam 1 missing
-
N. Alexandersson
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
Tromso 1 missing
-
V. Ekblom
Missing Fixture Groin Injury
OUT