NORWAY ELITESERIEN
13.09.2026 15:00
Briskeby Arena
Referee: M. Kellerhals
Ham-Kam
Match Timeline
Molde
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
5'
Jalal Abdullai · Assist: Niklas Ödegard
Molde
🟨
6'
Jalal Abdullai
Molde
🔄
17'
Birk Risa ↔ Fredrik Kristensen Dahl
Molde
🔄
41'
Fredrik Sjolstad ↔ Aleksander Andresen
Ham-Kam
46'
Mohamed Ofkir · Assist: Aleksander Andresen
Ham-Kam
56'
Trent Kone-Doherty · Assist: Sondre Granaas
Molde
58'
Trent Kone-Doherty · Assist: Jalal Abdullai
Molde
🔄
62'
William Osnes-Ringen ↔ Anders Trondsen
Ham-Kam
🔄
62'
David Benjamin ↔ Henrik Udahl
Ham-Kam
🔄
62'
Sander Hestetun Kilen ↔ Mats Møller Dæhli
Molde
🔄
63'
Mathias Lovik ↔ Kristian Lonebu
Molde
🔄
63'
Jalal Abdullai ↔ Martin Linnes
Molde
🔄
78'
Mohamed Ofkir ↔ Blerton Isufi
Ham-Kam
🔄
78'
Ethan Amundsen-Day ↔ Danilo Al-Saed
Ham-Kam
84'
Trent Kone-Doherty
Molde
🔄
89'
Sondre Granaas ↔ Noah Ljøen Bye
Molde
90'
Kristian Lonebu · Assist: Emil Breivik
Molde

Ham-Kam vs Molde Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 49.3%
Odds 1.65
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds 1.45
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
49.3%
1.65
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.50
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
1.45
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.18
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Ham-Kam Win 36.2%
Draw 14.5%
Molde Win 49.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ham-Kam1.5
Molde1.81
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ham-Kam Ham-Kam
WWDLW
42 GF / 46 GA
Molde Molde
WLDWL
54 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.93
1.64
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
16
BTTS Yes
20
19
Over 2.5
18
4
Shots on Goal
5.47

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ham-Kam Ham-Kam 28 matches
Molde Molde 28 matches
Ham-Kam Statistic Molde
10 Wins 13
7 Draws 6
11 Losses 9
42 Goals For 54
46 Goals Against 42
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.93
1.64 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
16 BTTS Yes 20
25 Over 1.5 23
19 Over 2.5 18
11 Over 3.5 12
7 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 4
4 Shots On Goal 5.47
10.47 Total Shots 14.89
4.16 Corners 5.53
46.7% Ball Possession 59.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Molde's more proactive style and Ham-Kam's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Molde. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ham-Kam expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Molde in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Molde having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Ham-Kam Analysis

Ham-Kam sit 10 with 23 points after 19 league matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 26:36 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Mame Alassane Niang (5 goals), Aksel Baran Potur (4 goals), H. Udahl (4 goals), with creative support from P. Metcalfe (5 assists), Martin Gjone (3 assists), Viðar Ari Jónsson (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Molde Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 30 points from 18 games, Molde bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 9 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats plus a goal balance of 36:29, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Eirik Hestad (7 goals), F. Gulbrandsen (6 goals), Emil Breivik (5 goals), with creative support from Emil Breivik (6 assists), Sondre Milian Granaas (3 assists), Eirik Hestad (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Ham-Kam won 1 times, Molde won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:25 from Ham-Kam's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.9 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.5%)
Predicted formations: Ham-Kam 5-3-2 / Molde 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Ham-Kam 0, Molde 8
H2H summary: Ham-Kam wins 1, draws 2, Molde wins 7

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 15 2 2 49:15 34 47
W W W W W
2 20 15 2 3 51:20 31 47
W D W L W
3
Molde Away
20 11 3 6 43:30 13 36
W W W W L
4 20 10 5 5 37:27 10 35
L L D L W
5 20 10 2 8 28:26 2 32
W W L D L
6 20 9 3 8 36:29 7 30
W W L W W
7 20 8 3 9 24:31 -7 27
D L W W W
8 20 8 2 10 37:31 6 26
L L D W W
9 20 6 7 7 23:26 -3 25
D D D L L
10 20 6 5 9 27:41 -14 23
L L D L D
11 20 6 4 10 33:42 -9 22
L D L D L
12 20 6 4 10 22:34 -12 22
W L L D W
13 19 5 5 9 16:24 -8 20
D D W L L
14 20 5 4 11 20:37 -17 19
L W D L W
15 20 3 9 8 31:45 -14 18
L W L D D
16 20 4 4 12 22:41 -19 16
W L W L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen