FINLAND YKKöSLIIGA
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 85.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
85.4%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Haka Win 85.4%
Draw 4.9%
MP Win 9.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Haka1.74
MP1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Haka Haka
WWDLW
52 GF / 27 GA
MP MP
WLDWL
33 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.86
Average Goals Scored
1.22
0.96
Average Goals Conceded
1.56
17
BTTS Yes
14
15
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Haka Haka 28 matches
MP MP 27 matches
Haka Statistic MP
16 Wins 9
7 Draws 4
5 Losses 14
52 Goals For 33
27 Goals Against 42
1.86 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
0.96 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56
17 BTTS Yes 14
24 Over 1.5 19
15 Over 2.5 13
8 Over 3.5 8
9 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Haka's more proactive style and MP's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring MP. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward MP having the stronger overall control. Haka arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 40 points compared to MP in 7 on 21, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Haka come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Haka Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 40 points from 21 games, Haka bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 12 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 41:22, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

MP Analysis

MP approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 7 with 21 points from 21 matches. Their record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 22:33, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Haka won 5 times, MP won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:7 from Haka's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.29 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.1%)
H2H summary: Haka wins 5, draws 0, MP wins 2

Standings

Ykkösliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 15 3 3 36:21 15 48
W W W W W
2 21 13 5 3 37:14 23 44
W W D W L
3
Haka Home
21 12 4 5 41:22 19 40
L W W W W
4 21 10 7 4 29:17 12 37
W W L L W
5 21 9 2 10 18:29 -11 29
D L L W L
6 21 8 2 11 26:33 -7 26
L L W W W
7
MP Away
21 6 3 12 22:33 -11 21
L L L L W
8 21 4 7 10 25:29 -4 19
W W D L L
9 21 4 5 12 21:35 -14 17
D L L L L
10 21 2 6 13 11:33 -22 12
L L W L L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Promotion)
Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen