FINLAND YKKöSLIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: V. Lehtovaara
Haka
Match Timeline
KäPa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
13'
A. Almen · Assist: Y. Lika
KäPa
21'
M. Mahlamaki · Assist: O. Laaksonen
Haka
🟨
34'
T. Lahdensuo
Haka
🔄
38'
E. Jantunen ↔ M. Kuningas
KäPa
45'
Haka
Haka
🟨
46'
O. Laaksonen
Haka
🟨
54'
O. Whyte
Haka
🔄
61'
E. Ahola ↔ D. Rokman
KäPa
🔄
65'
T. Lahdensuo ↔ T. Ali Abubakar
Haka
🔄
65'
K. Nurmi ↔ I. Lanquedoc
Haka
🔄
74'
S. Puputti ↔ N. Nurmi
KäPa
🔄
74'
V. Jokiranta ↔ A. Pastinen
KäPa
🟨
75'
M. Mahlamaki
Haka
80'
O. Whyte · Assist: O. Laaksonen
Haka
🔄
83'
C. Silas ↔ M. Syrjalainen
Haka
🔄
86'
O. Laaksonen ↔ T. Lehtinen
Haka

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 80.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
80.9%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Haka Win 80.9%
Draw 8.2%
KäPa Win 10.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Haka1.61
KäPa1.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Haka Haka
WWDLW
37 GF / 22 GA
KäPa KäPa
WLDWL
21 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.68
Average Goals Scored
1.17
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
13
BTTS Yes
10
10
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Haka Haka 22 matches
KäPa KäPa 18 matches
Haka Statistic KäPa
11 Wins 6
7 Draws 4
4 Losses 8
37 Goals For 21
22 Goals Against 27
1.68 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
13 BTTS Yes 10
18 Over 1.5 13
10 Over 2.5 11
6 Over 3.5 6
7 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Haka's more proactive style and KäPa's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward KäPa. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. KäPa arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward KäPa having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Haka Analysis

Haka arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 25 points after 15 matches. The record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 26:17 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

KäPa Analysis

KäPa approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 7 with 16 points from 14 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 17:22, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Haka won 2 times, KäPa won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:4 from Haka's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.8%)
H2H summary: Haka wins 2, draws 2, KäPa wins 0

Lineups

Haka
Formation
KäPa
A. Lepola
A. Lepola
E. Auvinen
E. Auvinen
C. Silas
C. Silas
N. Friberg
N. Friberg
O. Laaksonen
🎯
O. Laaksonen
T. Lahdensuo
T. Lahdensuo
M. Mahlamaki
M. Mahlamaki
K. Nurmi
K. Nurmi
V. Purosalo
V. Purosalo
A. Tiihonen
A. Tiihonen
O. Whyte
O. Whyte
D. Lauri
D. Lauri
S. Puputti
S. Puputti
E. Jantunen
E. Jantunen
V. Jokiranta
V. Jokiranta
R. Huhtamaki
R. Huhtamaki
A. Almen
A. Almen
S. Savini
S. Savini
Y. Lika
🎯
Y. Lika
E. Ahola
E. Ahola
P. Lahteenmaki
P. Lahteenmaki
H. Toivonen
H. Toivonen
Haka 3-2-3 (estimated)
Starting XI
4
E. Auvinen
D
6
C. Silas
↓ 83'
M
12
A. Lepola
G
3
N. Friberg
D
16
O. Laaksonen
🎯 21' 🎯 80' ↓ 86' 🟨 46'
F
7
T. Lahdensuo
↓ 65' 🟨 34'
F
13
M. Mahlamaki
⚽ 21' 🟨 75'
M
21
K. Nurmi
↓ 65'
F
30
V. Purosalo
D
2
A. Tiihonen
77
O. Whyte
⚽ 80' 🟨 54'
Substitutes
32
F. Slawuta
5
T. Sovelius
D
9
T. Ali Abubakar
↑ 65'
F
11
I. Lanquedoc
↑ 65'
15
M. Syrjalainen
↑ 83'
M
19
N. Martikainen
23
T. Lehtinen
↑ 86'
KäPa 2-1 (estimated)
Starting XI
35
D. Lauri
3
S. Puputti
↓ 74'
18
E. Jantunen
↓ 38'
D
17
V. Jokiranta
↓ 74'
M
8
R. Huhtamaki
9
A. Almen
⚽ 13'
39
S. Savini
D
10
Y. Lika
🎯 13'
14
E. Ahola
↓ 61'
24
P. Lahteenmaki
26
H. Toivonen
Substitutes
1
T. Collin
6
N. Nurmi
↑ 74'
7
N. Leinonen
M
15
A. Pastinen
↑ 74'
21
D. Rokman
↑ 61'
25
M. Kuningas
↑ 38'
Last matches: Haka
28.08.26
Ykk
Haka
Kooteepee
1
2
L
21.08.26
Ykk
Haka
SJK Akatemia
2
0
W
14.08.26
Ykk
Haka
JäPS
2
1
W
07.08.26
Ykk
Haka
JIPPO
3
0
W
31.07.26
Ykk
Haka
PK-35
4
1
W
17.07.26
Ykk
Haka
Klubi-04
2
2
D
11.07.26
Ykk
Haka
EIF
3
1
W
05.07.26
Ykk
Haka
MP
1
2
L
27.06.26
Ykk
Haka
Kooteepee
0
2
L
15.06.26
Ykk
Haka
SJK Akatemia
2
0
W
08.06.26
Ykk
Haka
Kooteepee
2
0
W
05.06.26
Ykk
Haka
JäPS
1
2
L
29.05.26
Ykk
Haka
JIPPO
2
1
W
22.05.26
Ykk
Haka
SJK Akatemia
1
0
W
18.05.26
Ykk
Haka
Klubi-04
1
1
D
08.05.26
Ykk
Haka
EIF
4
3
W
02.05.26
Ykk
Haka
MP
0
1
L
25.04.26
Ykk
Haka
KäPa
2
2
D
21.04.26
Ykk
Haka
JäPS
5
0
W
11.04.26
Ykk
Haka
PK-35
0
0
D
Last matches: KäPa
28.08.26
Ykk
KäPa
JäPS
0
0
D
20.08.26
Ykk
KäPa
JIPPO
1
3
L
15.08.26
Ykk
KäPa
Kooteepee
1
2
L
08.08.26
Ykk
KäPa
EIF
0
1
L
29.07.26
Ykk
KäPa
MP
1
2
L
21.07.26
Ykk
KäPa
Klubi-04
0
2
L
17.07.26
Ykk
KäPa
SJK Akatemia
2
2
D
10.07.26
Ykk
KäPa
PK-35
1
3
L
28.06.26
Ykk
KäPa
JäPS
3
1
W
13.06.26
Ykk
KäPa
JIPPO
0
3
L
05.06.26
Ykk
KäPa
Kooteepee
1
2
L
29.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
JäPS
2
1
W
23.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
EIF
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
PK-35
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
Kooteepee
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
JIPPO
0
2
L
25.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
Haka
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
MP
1
0
W
10.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
SJK Akatemia
2
2
D
06.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
Klubi-04
2
1
W
H2H: Haka vs KäPa
25.07.26
H2H
Haka
KäPa
3
1
W
25.04.26
H2H
Haka
KäPa
2
2
D
14.02.26
H2H
KäPa
Haka
1
1
D
17.04.13
H2H
Haka
KäPa
4
0
W
Last matches: Haka
21.08.26
Ykk
Haka
SJK Akatemia
2
0
W
07.08.26
Ykk
Haka
JIPPO
3
0
W
11.07.26
Ykk
Haka
EIF
3
1
W
27.06.26
Ykk
Haka
Kooteepee
0
2
L
05.06.26
Ykk
Haka
JäPS
1
2
L
29.05.26
Ykk
Haka
JIPPO
2
1
W
18.05.26
Ykk
Haka
Klubi-04
1
1
D
08.05.26
Ykk
Haka
EIF
4
3
W
25.04.26
Ykk
Haka
KäPa
2
2
D
21.04.26
Ykk
Haka
JäPS
5
0
W
22.03.26
Fri
Haka
TPV
3
1
W
H2H at home: Haka
25.07.26
H2H
Haka
KäPa
3
1
W
25.04.26
H2H
Haka
KäPa
2
2
D
17.04.13
H2H
Haka
KäPa
4
0
W
Last matches: KäPa
28.08.26
Ykk
KäPa
JäPS
0
0
D
15.08.26
Ykk
KäPa
Kooteepee
1
2
L
29.07.26
Ykk
KäPa
MP
1
2
L
10.07.26
Ykk
KäPa
PK-35
1
3
L
13.06.26
Ykk
KäPa
JIPPO
0
3
L
23.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
EIF
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
Kooteepee
1
2
L
25.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
Haka
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
MP
1
0
W
06.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
Klubi-04
2
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
KäPa
Honka
3
2
W
17.01.26
Fri
KäPa
JäPS
1
0
W
H2H away: KäPa
25.07.26
H2H
Haka
KäPa
3
1
L
25.04.26
H2H
Haka
KäPa
2
2
D
17.04.13
H2H
Haka
KäPa
4
0
L

Standings

Ykkösliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 15 3 3 36:21 15 48
W W W W W
2 21 13 5 3 37:14 23 44
W W D W L
3
Haka Home
21 12 4 5 41:22 19 40
L W W W W
4 21 10 7 4 29:17 12 37
W W L L W
5 21 9 2 10 18:29 -11 29
D L L W L
6 21 8 2 11 26:33 -7 26
L L W W W
7 21 6 3 12 22:33 -11 21
L L L L W
8
KäPa Away
21 4 5 12 21:35 -14 17
D L L L L
9 20 3 7 10 19:27 -8 16
W D L L L
10 20 2 6 12 9:27 -18 12
L W L L D
Promotion - Veikkausliiga
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Promotion)
Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen