FINLAND YKKöSLIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: A. Munukka
Haka
Match Timeline
JäPS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
R. Pietsalo · Assist: E. Auvinen
Haka
15'
V. Ahola
JäPS
🟨
26'
P. Haikonen
JäPS
🟨
30'
E. Auvinen
Haka
36'
C. Katashira · Assist: O. Dahlfors
JäPS
🔄
46'
T. Sovelius ↔ A. Keto-Diyawa
Haka
🟨
52'
R. Selander
JäPS
🔄
64'
O. Laaksonen ↔ K. Nurmi
Haka
🔄
64'
R. Pietsalo ↔ N. Sitchinava
Haka
🔄
71'
E. Pallas ↔ I. Soderlund
JäPS
🟨
75'
C. Silas
Haka
🟨
77'
T. Ali Abubakar
Haka
🔄
78'
O. Whyte ↔ M. Mahlamaki
Haka
🟨
81'
O. Jama
JäPS
🔄
81'
O. Dahlfors ↔ S. Maliki
JäPS
🟨
85'
A. Lepola
Haka
🟨
90+8'
T. Valtonen
JäPS

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.2%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 62.4%
Odds -
0 agree / 1 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
62.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Haka Win 68.2%
Draw 14.6%
JäPS Win 17.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Haka1.47
JäPS0.91
Recent Form (Last 5)
Haka Haka
WWDLW
26 GF / 13 GA
JäPS JäPS
WLDWL
13 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.73
Average Goals Scored
0.93
0.87
Average Goals Conceded
1.07
9
BTTS Yes
3
6
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Haka Haka 15 matches
JäPS JäPS 14 matches
Haka Statistic JäPS
8 Wins 7
6 Draws 1
1 Losses 6
26 Goals For 13
13 Goals Against 15
1.73 Avg Goals Scored 0.93
0.87 Avg Goals Conceded 1.07
9 BTTS Yes 3
11 Over 1.5 8
6 Over 2.5 5
4 Over 3.5 1
5 Clean Sheets 6
2 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Haka's more proactive style and JäPS's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward JäPS having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors JäPS. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Haka Analysis

Haka arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 15 points after 8 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 15:8 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by I. Lanquedoc (4 goals), R. Pietsalo (3 goals), T. Ali Abubakar (3 goals), with creative support from O. Laaksonen (2 assists), V. Purosalo (2 assists), I. Lanquedoc (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

JäPS Analysis

JäPS come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 13 points from 9 matches. The record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 8:10 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through E. Pallas (2 goals), C. Katashira (1 goals), H. Olander (1 goals), with creative support from E. Pallas (1 assists), H. Olander (1 assists), R. Selander (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Haka won 1 times, JäPS won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:5 from Haka's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.4%)
H2H summary: Haka wins 1, draws 1, JäPS wins 1

Lineups

Haka
Formation
JäPS
A. Lepola
A. Lepola
E. Auvinen
🎯
E. Auvinen
T. Sovelius
T. Sovelius
C. Silas
C. Silas
J. Karlsson
J. Karlsson
T. Ali Abubakar
T. Ali Abubakar
I. Lanquedoc
I. Lanquedoc
O. Laaksonen
O. Laaksonen
R. Pietsalo
R. Pietsalo
V. Purosalo
V. Purosalo
O. Whyte
O. Whyte
T. Valtonen
T. Valtonen
P. Haikonen
P. Haikonen
O. Jama
O. Jama
V. Ahola
V. Ahola
E. Pallas
E. Pallas
A. Sainio
A. Sainio
R. Selander
R. Selander
O. Dahlfors
🎯
O. Dahlfors
H. Olander
H. Olander
C. Katashira
C. Katashira
J. Salo
J. Salo
Haka 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
12
A. Lepola
🟨 85'
4
E. Auvinen
🎯 8' 🟨 30'
5
T. Sovelius
↓ 46'
6
C. Silas
🟨 75'
8
J. Karlsson
9
T. Ali Abubakar
🟨 77'
11
I. Lanquedoc
16
O. Laaksonen
↓ 64'
17
R. Pietsalo
⚽ 8' ↓ 64'
30
V. Purosalo
77
O. Whyte
↓ 78'
Substitutes
1
J. Ziprus
2
A. Tiihonen
3
N. Friberg
13
M. Mahlamaki
↑ 78'
21
K. Nurmi
↑ 64'
22
D. Traore
23
T. Lehtinen
24
N. Sitchinava
↑ 64'
44
A. Keto-Diyawa
↑ 46'
JäPS 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
36
T. Valtonen
🟨 90+8'
3
P. Haikonen
🟨 26'
6
O. Jama
🟨 81'
10
V. Ahola
⚽ 15'
11
E. Pallas
↓ 71'
13
A. Sainio
14
R. Selander
🟨 52'
15
O. Dahlfors
🎯 36' ↓ 81'
20
H. Olander
21
C. Katashira
⚽ 36'
41
J. Salo
Substitutes
1
N. Voutilainen
7
S. Maliki
↑ 81'
8
R. Heidari
19
H. Kuosa
22
G. Taskos
27
I. Soderlund
↑ 71'
Last matches: Haka
17.07.26
Ykk
Haka
Klubi-04
2
2
D
11.07.26
Ykk
Haka
EIF
3
1
W
05.07.26
Ykk
Haka
MP
1
2
L
27.06.26
Ykk
Haka
Kooteepee
0
2
L
15.06.26
Ykk
Haka
SJK Akatemia
2
0
W
08.06.26
Ykk
Haka
Kooteepee
2
0
W
29.05.26
Ykk
Haka
JIPPO
2
1
W
22.05.26
Ykk
Haka
SJK Akatemia
1
0
W
18.05.26
Ykk
Haka
Klubi-04
1
1
D
08.05.26
Ykk
Haka
EIF
4
3
W
02.05.26
Ykk
Haka
MP
0
1
L
25.04.26
Ykk
Haka
KäPa
2
2
D
21.04.26
Ykk
Haka
JäPS
5
0
W
11.04.26
Ykk
Haka
PK-35
0
0
D
27.03.26
Fri
Haka
VPS
1
1
D
22.03.26
Fri
Haka
TPV
3
1
W
12.03.26
Fri
Haka
FF Jaro
1
1
D
07.03.26
Fri
Haka
Ilves
1
0
W
08.02.26
Fri
Haka
Tampere United
2
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
Haka
Turku PS
2
1
W
Last matches: JäPS
18.07.26
Ykk
JäPS
EIF
1
0
W
10.07.26
Ykk
JäPS
Kooteepee
1
4
L
03.07.26
Ykk
JäPS
SJK Akatemia
1
0
W
28.06.26
Ykk
JäPS
KäPa
1
3
L
12.06.26
Ykk
JäPS
PK-35
0
5
L
29.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
KäPa
1
2
L
22.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
MP
0
2
L
16.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
Kooteepee
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
SJK Akatemia
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
PK-35
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ykk
JäPS
EIF
3
0
W
21.04.26
Ykk
JäPS
Haka
0
5
L
10.04.26
Ykk
JäPS
Klubi-04
1
0
W
06.04.26
Ykk
JäPS
JIPPO
0
0
D
28.03.26
Fri
JäPS
TPV
1
0
W
24.03.26
Fri
JäPS
VJS
0
2
L
07.03.26
Fri
JäPS
Gnistan
2
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
JäPS
PK-35
2
1
W
17.01.26
Fri
JäPS
KäPa
0
1
L
H2H: Haka vs JäPS
05.06.26
H2H
Haka
JäPS
1
2
L
21.04.26
H2H
Haka
JäPS
5
0
W
13.01.23
H2H
JäPS
Haka
3
3
D
Last matches: Haka
11.07.26
Ykk
Haka
EIF
3
1
W
27.06.26
Ykk
Haka
Kooteepee
0
2
L
29.05.26
Ykk
Haka
JIPPO
2
1
W
18.05.26
Ykk
Haka
Klubi-04
1
1
D
08.05.26
Ykk
Haka
EIF
4
3
W
25.04.26
Ykk
Haka
KäPa
2
2
D
21.04.26
Ykk
Haka
JäPS
5
0
W
22.03.26
Fri
Haka
TPV
3
1
W
H2H at home: Haka
05.06.26
H2H
Haka
JäPS
1
2
L
21.04.26
H2H
Haka
JäPS
5
0
W
Last matches: JäPS
18.07.26
Ykk
JäPS
EIF
1
0
W
10.07.26
Ykk
JäPS
Kooteepee
1
4
L
28.06.26
Ykk
JäPS
KäPa
1
3
L
29.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
KäPa
1
2
L
09.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
SJK Akatemia
2
0
W
21.04.26
Ykk
JäPS
Haka
0
5
L
06.04.26
Ykk
JäPS
JIPPO
0
0
D
H2H away: JäPS
05.06.26
H2H
Haka
JäPS
1
2
W
21.04.26
H2H
Haka
JäPS
5
0
L

Standings

Ykkösliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 10 3 2 25:8 17 33
W W W W W
2 15 10 2 3 25:15 10 32
L W D W W
3 15 7 6 2 22:11 11 27
W W D D W
4
Haka Home
15 7 4 4 26:17 9 25
D W L L W
5
JäPS Away
15 7 1 7 14:23 -9 22
W L W L L
6 15 5 2 8 14:19 -5 17
L D W L D
7 15 4 4 7 17:24 -7 16
L D L W L
8 15 5 1 9 21:30 -9 16
L L L D L
9 15 2 6 7 14:18 -4 12
W D L W D
10 15 1 5 9 7:20 -13 8
D D L L L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Promotion)
Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen