FINLAND YKKöSLIIGA
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 37.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 47.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
37.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
47.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Haka Win 69.7%
Draw 10.8%
JäPS Win 19.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Haka1.47
JäPS0.91
Recent Form (Last 5)
Haka Haka
WWDLW
26 GF / 13 GA
JäPS JäPS
WLDWL
13 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.73
Average Goals Scored
0.93
0.87
Average Goals Conceded
1.07
9
BTTS Yes
3
6
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Haka Haka 15 matches
JäPS JäPS 14 matches
Haka Statistic JäPS
8 Wins 7
6 Draws 1
1 Losses 6
26 Goals For 13
13 Goals Against 15
1.73 Avg Goals Scored 0.93
0.87 Avg Goals Conceded 1.07
9 BTTS Yes 3
11 Over 1.5 8
6 Over 2.5 5
4 Over 3.5 1
5 Clean Sheets 6
2 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Haka's more proactive style and JäPS's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward JäPS having the stronger overall control. JäPS arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring JäPS. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Haka Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 15 points from 8 games, Haka bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 15:8, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by I. Lanquedoc (4 goals), R. Pietsalo (3 goals), T. Ali Abubakar (3 goals), with creative support from O. Laaksonen (2 assists), V. Purosalo (2 assists), I. Lanquedoc (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

JäPS Analysis

JäPS sit 5 with 13 points after 9 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats with a 8:10 goal balance points toward mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on E. Pallas (2 goals), C. Katashira (1 goals), H. Olander (1 goals), with creative support from E. Pallas (1 assists), H. Olander (1 assists), R. Selander (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Haka won 1 times, JäPS won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:3 from Haka's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 5.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.2%)
H2H summary: Haka wins 1, draws 1, JäPS wins 0
Last matches: Haka
29.05.26
Ykk
Haka
JIPPO
2
1
W
22.05.26
Ykk
Haka
SJK Akatemia
1
0
W
18.05.26
Ykk
Haka
Klubi-04
1
1
D
08.05.26
Ykk
Haka
EIF
4
3
W
02.05.26
Ykk
Haka
MP
0
1
L
25.04.26
Ykk
Haka
KäPa
2
2
D
21.04.26
Ykk
Haka
JäPS
5
0
W
11.04.26
Ykk
Haka
PK-35
0
0
D
27.03.26
Fri
Haka
VPS
1
1
D
22.03.26
Fri
Haka
TPV
3
1
W
12.03.26
Fri
Haka
FF Jaro
1
1
D
07.03.26
Fri
Haka
Ilves
1
0
W
08.02.26
Fri
Haka
Tampere United
2
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
Haka
Turku PS
2
1
W
17.01.26
Fri
Haka
Lahti
1
1
D
Last matches: JäPS
29.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
KäPa
1
2
L
22.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
MP
0
2
L
16.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
Kooteepee
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
SJK Akatemia
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
PK-35
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ykk
JäPS
EIF
3
0
W
21.04.26
Ykk
JäPS
Haka
0
5
L
10.04.26
Ykk
JäPS
Klubi-04
1
0
W
06.04.26
Ykk
JäPS
JIPPO
0
0
D
28.03.26
Fri
JäPS
TPV
1
0
W
24.03.26
Fri
JäPS
VJS
0
2
L
07.03.26
Fri
JäPS
Gnistan
2
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
JäPS
PK-35
2
1
W
17.01.26
Fri
JäPS
KäPa
0
1
L
H2H: Haka vs JäPS
21.04.26
H2H
Haka
JäPS
5
0
W
13.01.23
H2H
JäPS
Haka
3
3
D
Last matches: Haka
29.05.26
Ykk
Haka
JIPPO
2
1
W
18.05.26
Ykk
Haka
Klubi-04
1
1
D
08.05.26
Ykk
Haka
EIF
4
3
W
25.04.26
Ykk
Haka
KäPa
2
2
D
21.04.26
Ykk
Haka
JäPS
5
0
W
22.03.26
Fri
Haka
TPV
3
1
W
H2H at home: Haka
21.04.26
H2H
Haka
JäPS
5
0
W
Last matches: JäPS
29.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
KäPa
1
2
L
09.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
SJK Akatemia
2
0
W
21.04.26
Ykk
JäPS
Haka
0
5
L
06.04.26
Ykk
JäPS
JIPPO
0
0
D
H2H away: JäPS
21.04.26
H2H
Haka
JäPS
5
0
L

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 6 1 1 9:6 3 19
W W W W L
2 10 5 3 2 11:6 5 18
D W W D W
3
Haka Home
8 4 3 1 15:8 7 15
W W D W L
4 9 4 3 2 10:6 4 15
L L W D W
5
JäPS Away
9 4 1 4 8:10 -2 13
L L L W W
6 9 4 0 5 17:17 0 12
L W W L W
7 9 3 3 3 10:11 -1 12
W L D L L
8 9 4 0 5 7:9 -2 12
W W L L W
9 9 1 2 6 4:12 -8 5
L L L L D
10 10 0 4 6 6:12 -6 4
D L L D D