Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
77.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Guimaraes Win 77.6%
Draw 5.5%
Chaves Win 17%
Expected Goals (xG)
Guimaraes2.08
Chaves1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Guimaraes
WWDLW
14 GF / 3 GA
Chaves
WLDWL
10 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
2.8
Average Goals Scored
1.67
0.6
Average Goals Conceded
1
3
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Guimaraes
5 matches
Chaves
6 matches
| Guimaraes | Statistic | Chaves |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 4 |
| 1 | Draws | 0 |
| 0 | Losses | 2 |
| 14 | Goals For | 10 |
| 3 | Goals Against | 6 |
| 2.8 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.67 |
| 0.6 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 3 |
| 5 | Over 1.5 | 3 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Guimaraes won 9 times, Chaves won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:16 from Guimaraes's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.46 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.5%)
H2H summary: Guimaraes wins 9, draws 1, Chaves wins 3
Last matches: Guimaraes
26.07.26
Fri
Guimaraes
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
24.07.26
Fri
Guimaraes
Al-Ahli Jeddah
3
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Guimaraes
Academica
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Guimaraes
Penafiel
5
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Guimaraes
Felgueiras 1932
3
1
W
16.05.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Nacional
0
2
L
11.05.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
0
1
L
04.05.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Sporting CP
1
5
L
25.04.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
2
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Guimaraes
GIL Vicente
1
0
W
11.04.26
Pri
Guimaraes
AVS
1
1
D
03.04.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Tondela
5
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Benfica
0
3
L
14.03.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Famalicao
1
2
L
08.03.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Santa Clara
0
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Alverca
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pri
Guimaraes
SC Braga
2
3
L
14.02.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Estrela
2
1
W
07.02.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Arouca
2
3
L
30.01.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Moreirense
1
0
W
Last matches: Chaves
25.07.26
Fri
Chaves
Guimaraes B
2
3
L
22.07.26
Fri
Chaves
Amarante
2
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Chaves
Vizela
0
1
L
15.07.26
Fri
Chaves
Fafe
4
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Chaves
AVS
1
0
W
08.07.26
Fri
Chaves
Chaves II
1
0
W
H2H: Guimaraes vs Chaves
02.08.25
H2H
Chaves
Guimaraes
2
1
L
17.03.24
H2H
Chaves
Guimaraes
1
2
W
28.10.23
H2H
Guimaraes
Chaves
5
0
W
30.01.23
H2H
Guimaraes
Chaves
2
1
W
07.08.22
H2H
Chaves
Guimaraes
0
1
W
06.04.19
H2H
Guimaraes
Chaves
4
0
W
02.12.18
H2H
Chaves
Guimaraes
0
1
W
12.01.18
H2H
Chaves
Guimaraes
4
3
L
10.08.17
H2H
Guimaraes
Chaves
3
2
W
15.04.17
H2H
Chaves
Guimaraes
2
3
W
04.04.17
H2H
Chaves
Guimaraes
3
1
L
01.03.17
H2H
Guimaraes
Chaves
2
0
W
04.12.16
H2H
Guimaraes
Chaves
1
1
D
Last matches: Guimaraes
26.07.26
Fri
Guimaraes
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
18.07.26
Fri
Guimaraes
Academica
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Guimaraes
Penafiel
5
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Guimaraes
Felgueiras 1932
3
1
W
11.05.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
2
0
W
03.04.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Tondela
5
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Famalicao
1
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Alverca
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Estrela
2
1
W
30.01.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Moreirense
1
0
W
18.01.26
Pri
Guimaraes
FC Porto
0
1
L
02.01.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Nacional
2
1
W
23.12.25
Pri
Guimaraes
Sporting CP
1
4
L
08.12.25
Pri
Guimaraes
GIL Vicente
0
0
D
28.11.25
Pri
Guimaraes
AVS
4
0
W
01.11.25
Pri
Guimaraes
Benfica
0
3
L
04.10.25
Pri
Guimaraes
Santa Clara
2
1
W
20.09.25
Pri
Guimaraes
SC Braga
1
1
D
30.08.25
Pri
Guimaraes
Arouca
1
1
D
H2H at home: Guimaraes
28.10.23
H2H
Guimaraes
Chaves
5
0
W
30.01.23
H2H
Guimaraes
Chaves
2
1
W
06.04.19
H2H
Guimaraes
Chaves
4
0
W
10.08.17
H2H
Guimaraes
Chaves
3
2
W
01.03.17
H2H
Guimaraes
Chaves
2
0
W
04.12.16
H2H
Guimaraes
Chaves
1
1
D
Last matches: Chaves
18.07.26
Fri
Chaves
Vizela
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
Chaves
AVS
1
0
W
H2H away: Chaves
28.10.23
H2H
Guimaraes
Chaves
5
0
L
30.01.23
H2H
Guimaraes
Chaves
2
1
L
06.04.19
H2H
Guimaraes
Chaves
4
0
L
10.08.17
H2H
Guimaraes
Chaves
3
2
L
01.03.17
H2H
Guimaraes
Chaves
2
0
L
04.12.16
H2H
Guimaraes
Chaves
1
1
D