KENYA SUPER LEAGUE
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 80.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 56.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 77.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
80.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
56.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
77.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Gucha Stars Win 34.8%
Draw 19.4%
Luanda Villa Win 45.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gucha Stars1.01
Luanda Villa0.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gucha Stars Gucha Stars
WWDLW
26 GF / 33 GA
Luanda Villa Luanda Villa
WLDWL
27 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
0.84
Average Goals Scored
0.82
1.06
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
10
BTTS Yes
8
8
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gucha Stars Gucha Stars 31 matches
Luanda Villa Luanda Villa 33 matches
Gucha Stars Statistic Luanda Villa
8 Wins 11
8 Draws 6
15 Losses 16
26 Goals For 27
33 Goals Against 42
0.84 Avg Goals Scored 0.82
1.06 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
10 BTTS Yes 8
17 Over 1.5 17
8 Over 2.5 10
5 Over 3.5 6
11 Clean Sheets 11
15 Failed To Score 16
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Luanda Villa. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Luanda Villa having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Gucha Stars have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Gucha Stars Analysis

With 35 points from 33 games and a place of 14, Gucha Stars still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 9 wins, 8 draws, and 16 defeats with a 28:35 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Luanda Villa Analysis

So far, Luanda Villa have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 39 points from 33 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 6 draws, and 16 losses, while the 27:42 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Gucha Stars won 1 times, Luanda Villa won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from Gucha Stars's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.7%)
H2H summary: Gucha Stars wins 1, draws 1, Luanda Villa wins 0
Last matches: Gucha Stars
13.06.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Talanta
3
2
W
07.06.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Fortune Sacco
0
1
L
01.06.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Darajani Gogo
2
1
W
27.05.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Vihiga United FC
0
1
L
16.05.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
MOFA
1
2
L
09.05.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Naivas
0
0
D
02.05.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Kibera Black Stars
0
0
D
26.04.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Mombasa Elite
0
1
L
18.04.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Nairobi City Stars
0
2
L
12.04.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Equity Bank
1
1
D
03.04.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Kabati Youth FC
0
1
L
29.03.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Kisumu All Stars
0
2
L
25.03.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
3K
0
2
L
22.03.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Soy United
1
0
W
14.03.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
MCF
1
1
D
28.02.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Mwatate United
1
3
L
22.02.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Migori Youth
2
0
W
15.02.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Nzoia Sugar
2
0
W
28.01.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Soy United
0
1
L
24.01.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Kabati Youth FC
0
1
L
Last matches: Luanda Villa
13.06.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Soy United
0
1
L
07.06.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Vihiga United FC
1
1
D
01.06.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Mombasa Elite
1
0
W
28.05.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Kabati Youth FC
0
5
L
17.05.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Mwatate United
2
0
W
09.05.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Nzoia Sugar
3
3
D
03.05.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Darajani Gogo
1
0
W
26.04.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Kisumu All Stars
2
0
W
19.04.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Kibera Black Stars
0
1
L
10.04.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
MOFA
1
1
D
05.04.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Migori Youth
0
3
L
29.03.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Equity Bank
0
1
L
22.03.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Nairobi City Stars
1
0
W
14.03.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Fortune Sacco
0
2
L
08.03.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
MCF
1
0
W
28.02.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Naivas
0
3
L
22.02.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Talanta
0
1
L
15.02.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
3K
0
5
L
01.02.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Fortune Sacco
2
2
D
25.01.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Migori Youth
0
4
L
H2H: Gucha Stars vs Luanda Villa
23.05.26
H2H
Gucha Stars
Luanda Villa
2
1
W
07.12.25
H2H
Luanda Villa
Gucha Stars
0
0
D
Last matches: Gucha Stars
13.06.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Talanta
3
2
W
01.06.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Darajani Gogo
2
1
W
09.05.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Naivas
0
0
D
26.04.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Mombasa Elite
0
1
L
12.04.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Equity Bank
1
1
D
25.03.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
3K
0
2
L
22.03.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Soy United
1
0
W
22.02.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Migori Youth
2
0
W
24.01.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Kabati Youth FC
0
1
L
10.01.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Nairobi City Stars
2
2
D
13.12.25
Sup
Gucha Stars
Kibera Black Stars
0
1
L
03.12.25
Sup
Gucha Stars
MOFA
2
3
L
30.11.25
Sup
Gucha Stars
Mwatate United
2
0
W
27.11.25
Sup
Gucha Stars
Kisumu All Stars
2
0
W
15.11.25
Sup
Gucha Stars
Nzoia Sugar
2
1
W
02.11.25
Sup
Gucha Stars
Fortune Sacco
2
3
L
25.10.25
Sup
Gucha Stars
Vihiga United FC
2
1
W
H2H at home: Gucha Stars
23.05.26
H2H
Gucha Stars
Luanda Villa
2
1
W
Last matches: Luanda Villa
07.06.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Vihiga United FC
1
1
D
28.05.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Kabati Youth FC
0
5
L
09.05.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Nzoia Sugar
3
3
D
26.04.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Kisumu All Stars
2
0
W
10.04.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
MOFA
1
1
D
29.03.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Equity Bank
0
1
L
14.03.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Fortune Sacco
0
2
L
28.02.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Naivas
0
3
L
15.02.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
3K
0
5
L
25.01.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Migori Youth
0
4
L
11.01.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Kibera Black Stars
1
2
L
13.12.25
Sup
Luanda Villa
Darajani Gogo
1
0
W
03.12.25
Sup
Luanda Villa
Mwatate United
1
0
W
23.11.25
Sup
Luanda Villa
MCF
0
1
L
08.11.25
Sup
Luanda Villa
Talanta
1
0
W
29.10.25
Sup
Luanda Villa
Soy United
0
1
L
11.10.25
Sup
Luanda Villa
Mombasa Elite
0
1
L
05.10.25
Sup
Luanda Villa
Nairobi City Stars
0
1
L
H2H away: Luanda Villa
23.05.26
H2H
Gucha Stars
Luanda Villa
2
1
L

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 25 6 7 57:29 28 81
D W W W W
2 38 23 8 7 62:26 36 77
D W W D D
3 38 24 4 10 51:32 19 76
D W L D W
4 38 21 11 6 56:28 28 74
W L W W D
5 38 16 16 6 51:30 21 64
D D D D L
6 38 18 9 11 61:41 20 63
W W L L L
7 38 17 10 11 47:30 17 61
D L W W W
8 38 16 9 13 53:41 12 57
L W L W W
9 38 15 8 15 32:33 -1 53
L L D D L
10 38 14 10 14 31:27 4 52
W D L D W
11 38 12 14 12 37:36 1 50
W L W L L
12 38 12 8 18 35:41 -6 44
W L W L W
13 38 12 7 19 30:51 -21 43
L D W L L
14 38 10 9 19 32:52 -20 39
D W W W L
15 38 10 9 19 23:47 -24 39
W L L D W
16 38 9 12 17 32:44 -12 39
L L L D D
17 38 10 8 20 27:48 -21 38
W W L D W
18 38 9 10 19 24:42 -18 34
L W W L D
19 38 9 9 20 29:55 -26 30
L D L W L
20 38 6 7 25 27:64 -37 25
L L L L L
Promotion - Premier League
Relegation