ECUADOR LIGA PRO
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Christian Benitez Betancourt
Referee: Guillermo Enrique Guerrero Alcivar, Ecuador
Guayaquil City FC
Match Timeline
Orense SC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
25'
Beder Caicedo
Orense SC
31'
A. Mena · Assist: S. Vasquez
Orense SC
🔄
55'
D. Diaz ↔ A. Naula
Guayaquil City FC
🔄
72'
P. Mancilla ↔ J. Ordonez
Guayaquil City FC
🔄
72'
D. Arroyo ↔ K. Sambonino
Guayaquil City FC
🔄
73'
V. Burgoa ↔ B. Vinan
Orense SC
🔄
73'
E. S. Zambrano Pesantez ↔ M. Bermudez
Orense SC
🔄
85'
S. Vasquez ↔ N. Molina
Orense SC
🔄
85'
A. Mena ↔ G. Rostagno
Orense SC
🔄
87'
P. Gonzalez ↔ J. Vivar
Guayaquil City FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 77.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 41.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 56%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
77.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
41.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
56%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
70.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Guayaquil City FC Win 39.7%
Draw 22.1%
Orense SC Win 38.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Guayaquil City FC1.01
Orense SC1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Guayaquil City FC Guayaquil City FC
WWDLW
13 GF / 16 GA
Orense SC Orense SC
WLDWL
19 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
0.81
Average Goals Scored
1.46
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
6
BTTS Yes
10
5
Over 2.5
7
3.08
Shots on Goal
4.31

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Guayaquil City FC Guayaquil City FC 16 matches
Orense SC Orense SC 13 matches
Guayaquil City FC Statistic Orense SC
6 Wins 5
3 Draws 4
7 Losses 4
13 Goals For 19
16 Goals Against 17
0.81 Avg Goals Scored 1.46
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
6 BTTS Yes 10
7 Over 1.5 12
5 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 3
6 Clean Sheets 2
6 Failed To Score 2
3.08 Shots On Goal 4.31
8.62 Total Shots 10.31
2.92 Corners 3.54
54.8% Ball Possession 47.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Orense SC's more proactive style and Guayaquil City FC's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Orense SC. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Guayaquil City FC expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Orense SC in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Orense SC having the stronger overall control.

Guayaquil City FC Analysis

Guayaquil City FC sit 9 with 18 points after 13 league matches. The record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 10:12 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through E. Mero (4 goals), D. Diaz (2 goals), P. Gonzalez (2 goals), with creative support from J. J. Ayovi Caicedo (4 assists), D. Diaz (1 assists), P. Gonzalez (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Orense SC Analysis

Orense SC are currently 7 in the standings with 19 points from 13 matches. The record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 19:17 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Agustin Herrera (6 goals), A. Mena (2 goals), E. S. Zambrano Pesantez (2 goals), with creative support from E. S. Zambrano Pesantez (3 assists), V. Burgoa (2 assists), P. Velasco (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Guayaquil City FC won 3 times, Orense SC won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:10 from Guayaquil City FC's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.22 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.9%)
Predicted formations: Guayaquil City FC 3-4-2-1 / Orense SC 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Guayaquil City FC wins 3, draws 2, Orense SC wins 4

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 22 2 3 66:28 38 68
D W W W W
2 27 14 5 8 31:26 5 47
W W L W W
3 27 13 6 8 35:27 8 45
W L D W W
4 27 12 8 7 47:25 22 44
D W D L W
5 27 12 5 10 27:22 5 41
L W W L W
6 27 10 9 8 28:22 6 39
L W D L D
7 27 10 7 10 29:30 -1 37
L W D W W
8 27 9 9 9 33:34 -1 36
W D D W W
9 27 9 9 9 27:30 -3 36
W W D D L
10 27 9 8 10 29:30 -1 35
L L W L D
11 27 9 8 10 23:32 -9 32
W L W D L
12 27 9 5 13 23:35 -12 32
L D L L L
13 27 8 6 13 31:41 -10 30
L L W D L
14 27 9 2 16 26:38 -12 29
W L L L L
15 27 6 6 15 17:29 -12 24
L L L D L
16 27 5 5 17 14:37 -23 20
W L L W L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs