Guayaquil City FC vs Mushuc Runa SC Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
62.7%
|
1.53 | |
| BTTS | No |
50.8%
|
1.73 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.5%
|
1.60 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
76.4%
|
1.40 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
6.50 | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
7.50 |
Guayaquil City FC
Mushuc Runa SC
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Guayaquil City FC
32 matches
Mushuc Runa SC
29 matches
| Guayaquil City FC | Statistic | Mushuc Runa SC |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 9 |
| 9 | Draws | 11 |
| 13 | Losses | 9 |
| 33 | Goals For | 34 |
| 39 | Goals Against | 35 |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.17 |
| 1.22 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.21 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 3.31 | Shots On Goal | 3.69 |
| 8.62 | Total Shots | 12.28 |
| 2.9 | Corners | 4.9 |
| 53.3% | Ball Possession | 48.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Mushuc Runa SC. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Guayaquil City FC expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Mushuc Runa SC in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Mushuc Runa SC having the stronger overall control.
So far, Guayaquil City FC have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 36 points from 28 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 9 draws, and 10 losses, while the 27:31 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on E. Mero (8 goals), D. Díaz (4 goals), P. González (3 goals), with creative support from J. Ayovi (4 assists), E. Mero (2 assists), D. Díaz (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Mushuc Runa SC are currently 9 in the standings with 37 points from 28 matches. The record of 9 wins, 10 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 33:34 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through R. Carrillo (6 goals), Alex Renato Ibarra Mina (4 goals), Cristopher Adonis Angulo Caicedo (3 goals), with creative support from Esteban Nicolás Dávila Alarcón (3 assists), R. Carrillo (2 assists), Alex Renato Ibarra Mina (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Guayaquil City FC won 7 times, Mushuc Runa SC won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:22 from Guayaquil City FC's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | 40 | 74 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:27 | 24 | 51 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | 8 | 51 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | 5 | 50 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | 7 | 46 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | 7 | 44 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:34 | -1 | 41 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 39 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 9 |
Guayaquil City FC
Home
|
30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | -3 | 39 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
| 10 |
Mushuc Runa SC
Away
|
30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
| 11 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 36 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | -12 | 36 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | -11 | 33 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28:42 | -14 | 32 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:31 | -12 | 28 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17:42 | -25 | 21 |
D
L
L
W
L
|