Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
65.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | No |
60.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.8%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
71.2%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Guayaquil City FC
Libertad
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Guayaquil City FC
27 matches
Libertad
24 matches
| Guayaquil City FC | Statistic | Libertad |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 9 |
| 8 | Draws | 6 |
| 11 | Losses | 9 |
| 23 | Goals For | 26 |
| 29 | Goals Against | 27 |
| 0.85 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.08 |
| 1.07 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.13 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 2.96 | Shots On Goal | 3.67 |
| 8.13 | Total Shots | 10.79 |
| 2.92 | Corners | 3.58 |
| 52.6% | Ball Possession | 44.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Libertad having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Libertad. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Libertad look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.
Guayaquil City FC are currently 11 in the standings with 28 points from 23 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses, while the 20:25 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Edinson Mero (8 goals), Damián Díaz (4 goals), Pablo González (3 goals), with creative support from Junior Ayovi (4 assists), Edinson Mero (2 assists), Damián Díaz (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Libertad are currently 9 in the standings with 30 points from 23 matches. The record of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 24:26 goal balance, points toward very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking threat comes through Vilington Branda (5 goals), Gabriel Cortez (4 goals), Antony Chére (4 goals), with creative support from Gabriel Cortez (4 assists), J. Guisamano (2 assists), Enrique Caicedo (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Guayaquil City FC won 1 times, Libertad won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:4 from Guayaquil City FC's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | 40 | 74 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:27 | 24 | 51 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | 8 | 51 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | 5 | 50 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | 7 | 46 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | 7 | 44 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 |
Libertad
Away
|
30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:34 | -1 | 41 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
| 8 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 39 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 9 |
Guayaquil City FC
Home
|
30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | -3 | 39 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
| 10 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 39 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | -12 | 36 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | -11 | 33 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28:42 | -14 | 32 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:31 | -12 | 28 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17:42 | -25 | 21 |
D
L
L
W
L
|